The S&P 500 is transitioning into a correction trend

pretiming
10-17

$.SPX(.SPX)$ $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $E-mini S&P 500 - main 2412(ESmain)$

Long-Term Strategy:

The market remains in a Bullish zone, with a 'Buy and Hold' strategy continuing to be effective for 21 days, resulting in a cumulative return of 3.9%. As no significant changes are anticipated in the trend, holding the current long-term investment position is recommended.

Short-Term Strategy:

The S&P 500 is transitioning into a correction trend as buying intensity weakens slightly, with an ascending rectangle pattern expected over the next 10 days. The short-term strategy remains 'Buy and Hold,' with upward movement dominating at a ratio of 4:6 (downward).

Selling Opportunity:

Date: October 14

Target Price: 5,856.2

Buying Opportunity:

Dates: October 16 to October 17

Target Price: 5,767.5

Trend Outlook:

The predicted price range for the next 10 days is between 5,776.4 and 5,924.4, with a median price of 5,850.4. The bullish trend continues, though volatility remains low due to stable buy-sell intensity.

Long-term strategy

The current trend zone is Bullish, and Investment position suitable for the trend zone is Buy and Hold.

The trend within a Bullish zone is divided into an 'Uptrend' in the upward direction and a 'Correction Trend' in the downward direction. In the Uptrend, there is a strong upward flow with occasional downward movements, while in the Correction Trend, there is a fluctuating flow involving limited or temporary downward movements and upward fluctuations. Investing in this zone is associated with high expected returns and a low risk of decline.

In a Bullish zone, the potential for strong buying pressure is maintained, leading to a robust upward trend and a relatively mild correction trend. When viewed through a medium to long-term investment approach, if the trend continues to move in the Bullish zone, one can anticipate an upward flow of the bullish trend, seeking the potential for high returns.

This is a method of investing in the long term, enjoying investment returns by holding assets for an extended period rather than engaging in repetitive buying and selling based on price fluctuations. And when the trend enters a Bearish zone, it becomes the Selling point.

As there are no anticipated changes in the trend zone that warrant considering a shift in investment strategy at this point, it is advisable to maintain the current investment position.

The 'Buy and Hold' position has been maintained for 21 days since the entry into the Bullish zone. During this period, the cumulative rate of return in the Bullish has been 3.9% as of the current date.

Short-term strategy

Indicating that We are currently in a bullish zone. Therefore, it is recommended to implement a strategy to increase profits and take a suitable investing position.

In a bullish zone, where buying intensity is potentially strong, anticipating significant upward movements is reasonable. Therefore, actively responding with aggressive buying at appropriate entry points in the short term is effective. During selling moments, a gradual and partial selling approach is recommended. This strategy allows for the exploration of opportunities to buy back at lower prices.

Currently, it's about to begin a correction trend as an upward trend gradually gives way to a slowdown in rises and falling fluctuations. and It's maintaining a suitable Buy-Sell intensity for the current trend conditions.

Entering a correction trend can be identified as the point when the previously strong buying intensity begins to gradually weaken, and the robust upward momentum starts to diminish.

It is expected that the overall trend movement over the next 10 days will follow an ascending rectangle pattern, with a ratio of 4 : 6 for the downward to upward direction, indicating a higher proportion of the upward trend. And, in terms of the expected intensity of the upward and downward movements, the upward intensity is higher, while the downward intensity is moderate.

Take Profit as S&P Hits 5800 or Hold Till 6000?
As the stock market hits record highs more than 40 times this year, there are concerns that history might repeat itself and another financial crisis could occur. ---------------- Will S&P 500 hit 6000 by year-end as institutions predict? Would you take profit and stay cautious ahead or hold till the year-end?
Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

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