Daily Charts - Stocks go up in the long-run

Callum_Thomas
11-19 07:12

1.Stocks go up in the long-run, you've seen the chart with the near-straight up to the right sloping line...

BUT: there are cycles and entry-point matters a lot. This chart shows how even longer-term returns (10yr annualized real total returns) can swing wildly from very good to pretty bad $.SPX(.SPX)$ $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$

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2.Absolute Valuations help determine future absolute returns... AND Relative Valuations help determine future *relative* returns:

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3.Best Stocks of all-time?

=those who stuck around long-enough

most companies were 70-90yrs+ old

>> big win for "time in the market"

(obviously some survivorship/selection stuff going on here, but interesting nonetheless)

From the paper "Which U.S. Stocks Generated the Highest Long-Term Returns?"

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Comments

  • MojoStellar
    11-19 07:24
    MojoStellar
    thanks for sharing your intriguing insights.🙏
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