微风轻扬
2024-11-22

I am more optimistic about Xpeng Motors, while I believe NIO’s battery swap model is a strategy that requires huge investments to build swap stations, which is a completely flawed decision. The construction of swap stations not only requires massive capital investment but also faces high operating costs and maintenance challenges. In a large market like China, building and operating such a vast infrastructure is no easy task, and the adoption and acceptance of the battery swap model by users are uncertain.

In contrast, Xpeng Motors focuses more on improving charging infrastructure and developing intelligent technologies, while also leading the industry in battery technology and autonomous driving innovations. This allows Xpeng to maintain high operational efficiency and profit potential with less reliance on heavy asset investments. NIO’s over-reliance on the battery swap model has led to continuous large losses, which is clearly detrimental to the company’s long-term sustainable development.

XPEV, NIO & LI Earnings Out: Which One Is the Best Play?
NIO is still posting losses, with a Q3 net loss of ¥3.48 billion, though this marks a narrowing of over 30%. At the same time, the company’s overall gross margin reached 13.9%, the highest in three years, and both operating cash flow and free cash flow turned positive. This time, NIO not only expressed confidence in achieving profitability in Q4 but also set more ambitious targets, aiming for full-year profitability next year. Li Auto’s Q3 revenue fell 36% year over year, with a net loss of 624 million yuan. Its Q4 guidance came in nearly 30% below expectations.
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Comments

  • 沃伦老巴
    2024-11-22
    沃伦老巴
    xpeng is overvalued given cn climate now. it will back to ps of 1.2 timex. trading at 2.2times now doesnt make sense.
  • Myron Bright
    2024-11-22
    Myron Bright

    thanks for sharing! i’m also bullish on xpeng’s move

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