Hello evreyone! Today i want to share some option strategies with you!
1.
Earnings trade idea on: $Okta Inc.(OKTA)$
Earnings date: Tuesday Dec 3 after market close
Expected move: ~13% (subject to change on Tuesday)
Pre-Earnings Trade Idea:
- Debating what to do here ... looks like OKTA might be setting up for an upside move post-earnings, but we don't have a good feel for it
- If we do write options, it would be to sell the Dec 6 expiration put, 55 or 60 strike
Post-Earnings Trade Reactions:
- Buy-to-close if OKTA stays above put strike and IV crush kills the premium to position the trade in profit
- If the underlying breaches the put strike, then close for a loss or roll to a lower strike and farther-out date to get either a worthless expiration or get a better entry price for assignment (depending on earnings results and forward guidance)
- Close for a loss to avoid assignment of shares
Points to Consider:
- OKTA is trading below the 200EMA at the 83 level
- 2X the expected move places downside to around 57 and upside to around 97
- Big unfilled gap at the 95 level (we might buy the 90/95 call debit spread to play as a lotto)
- Volume support and point-of-control at the 72 level (based on the selected daily timeframe)
- Not a lot of support down to the 44 bottom if OKTA breaches 65
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