Educational: How to calculate target profit from a cup and handle pattern - case study on AAPL stock

Binni Ong
12-13

This is an educational piece. When it comes to stock investment, I always keep an eye out for the cup-and-handle pattern. It's one of my favourite and most reliable patterns.

Cup and handle pattern

A cup-and-handle pattern is a bullish continuation pattern where the price forms a rounded "cup" followed by a smaller consolidation or "handle." Once the price breaks above the resistance at the rim of the cup, it typically signals strong bullish momentum with the potential for a significant upward move.

AAPL cup and handle pattern

How to Measure the Target Price of a Cup-and-Handle Pattern:

Calculation of cup and handle target price

  1. Measure the Depth of the Cup:

    Find the distance between the lowest point of the cup and the breakout level (rim of the cup).

  2. In the attached chart:Breakout level = $199.56

  3. Lowest point of the cup = ~$164.42

  4. Depth = $199.56 - $164.42 = $35

  5. Add the Depth to the Breakout Level:

    Target Price = Breakout Level + DepthTarget = $199.56 + $35 = $234.56

Target Price for AAPL Based on the Chart:

The target price for this cup-and-handle breakout is $234.56. Highest reached was 237 and subsequently price dropped.

Apple has a cup and handle pattern now. What is the calculated target price?

Current price chart of AAPL

From the chart, we can estimate the following:

  • Cup High: Approximately $237.42

  • Handle Height: Approximately $237.42 - $196.49 = $38.07

Calculating the Target Price:

Target Price = $237.42 + $38.07 = $275.49

Short-term trading on AAPL

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AAPL DLCs

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Is it Wise to Buy Stocks at Historical Highs?
Over the past year and a half, the S&P 500 has been rising, currently up nearly 50% from its low at the end of 2022. If you buy at historical highs and the market subsequently falls, your portfolio could suffer significant losses. Although buying at high points seems risky, if you can hold on firmly for the long term, this risk can be mitigated. ------------ Is it really wise to buy at historical highs? Have your bought at historical highs? Did you profit or lose moner?
Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

Comments

  • Eva_nana
    12-13
    Eva_nana

    Thank you for sharing. The technical analysis is very impressive

  • Ryan_Z0528
    12-13
    Ryan_Z0528

    Thank you for sharing!!!

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