I tend to take profits based on intuition, selling when I feel the timing is right—usually after a substantial increase in stock prices. My approach is to only sell stocks that have already generated a profit; I avoid selling at an unrealized loss, as I prefer to wait for potential recovery. This strategy allows me to lock in gains while minimizing the risk of crystallizing losses unnecessarily.
Currently, I have no plans to sell my holdings in the TLT and TLH ETFs. These long-term Treasury bond ETFs show potential for price appreciation, particularly given my expectation of future interest rate cuts. As rates decline, bond prices typically rise, which could result in favorable returns for these investments. My strategy is to hold onto these positions to capitalize on this anticipated macroeconomic shift, as I believe they offer a solid opportunity for growth in the medium to long term.
25 bps is Certain? How Will Rate Cut Dot Plot Affect 2025?
The Federal Reserve will announce a rate decision on Wednesday, Dec. 18. It's expected December will cut another 25 bps. However, economists are now expecting fewer cuts in 2025. The keypoint of this meeting is the dot plot about 2025 rate cuts.
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How do you expect the final rate cut this year?
Will fewer rate cuts in 2025 force the market decline?
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