Has S&P500 recovered from last week's red tide? Outlook for week starting 17Mar25

KYHBKO
03-16

Market Outlook of S&P500 - 17 Mar 2025

Volume tells of the momentum of the trend. The average volume is over 4.6 B, and the latest volume is 3.0 B. This suggests a weak strength to the current momentum. One day does not make a trend, and let us monitor. There is a difference between buying the dip and catching a falling knife.

Observations:

  • The MACD indicator is starting a downtrend.

  • Moving Averages (MA). The MA50 line has started a downtrend, while the MA200 line is on an uptrend. This implies a downtrend in the mid-term and bullish in the long term.

  • Candle. The last candle is below the MA50 and MA200 lines, implying a bearish outlook for the medium and long term.

  • The 3 Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) lines are showing a downtrend.

  • Chaikin’s Monetary Flow (CMF) shows a downtrend (below the 0 line).

Using technical indicators and Moving Averages, Investing.com has a “Strong Sell” rating for the S&P 500 (using daily interval). There are 20 indicators with a “Sell” rating compared to only 3 with a “Buy” rating.

Here are the indicators in detail.

The candlestick patterns above point to a more “bearish” outlook.

With the above information, I lean towards a bearish outlook in the coming days.

@TigerStars

$S&P 500(.SPX)$

$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$

$Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$

2025 Outlook: How Will Story Unfold?
The S&P 500 and Nasdaq eked out record closing highs recently, with tech-related shares extending recent gains. Major institutions have released research reports, with most optimistic about a rally in 2025. The highest target for the S&P 500 has been set at 7,000 points. What are your expectations for 2025? How do you plan to trade?
Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

Comments

  • zookie
    03-17
    zookie
    Great insights, your analysis is on point! [Wow]
    • KYHBKO
      thanks for your kind words. all the best
  • NotWizard
    03-17
    NotWizard
    Very insightful, thanks for sharing ! [Strong]
  • MichaelPerez
    03-17
    MichaelPerez
    Your analysis is thorough.
    • KYHBKO
      all the best to you. thanks.
    • KYHBKO
      thanks. hope that this is helpful
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