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04-26 21:47

(Part 5 of 5) my investing muse (27Apr26)

My Investing Muse (27Apr26) Layoffs, closures and Delinquencies Meta is laying off 8,000 employees, 10% of its entire global workforce starting May 20, with a second, larger wave planned for the second half of the year. And this morning, Microsoft made a move that is in some ways even more significant. For the first time in its 51-year history, Microsoft is offering voluntary retirement buyouts to roughly 7% of its U.S. workforce, approximately 8,750 employees whose combined age and years of service total at least 70. - X user StockMarket News In the week of April 20-25, 2026, a fresh wave of corporate layoffs—largely AI-driven—hit major firms, continuing 2026’s trend of efficiency-focused cuts: Meta announced plans to lay off ~8,000 employees (10% of workforce) starting May 20, while scra
(Part 5 of 5) my investing muse (27Apr26)
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04-26 21:46

(Part 4 of 5) News and my thoughts (27Apr26)

News and my thoughts from the past week (27Apr26) @TigerStars $Vanguard S&P 500 ETF(VOO)$ $Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$
(Part 4 of 5) News and my thoughts (27Apr26)
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04-26 21:45

(Part 3 of 5) S&P500 outlook (27Apr26)

Market Outlook of S&P500 (27Apr26) Technical Analysis Overview MACD Indicator The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator for the S&P 500 is trending up. Chaikin Money Flow The Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) stands at 0.39, indicating there is more buying momentum than selling pressure in the market. Moving Averages Examining the moving averages, the most recent price action shows the last candlestick has been above the 50-day moving average (MA50) and the 200-day moving average (MA200). This pattern indicates a bullish shift in both the short and long term. Notably, the MA50 line has begun to turn upwards, raising the possibility of a “death cross” forming—a bearish technical pattern where the MA50 crosses below the MA200. Exponential Moving Averages The exponential
(Part 3 of 5) S&P500 outlook (27Apr26)
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04-26 21:43

(Part 2 of 5) Earnings Calendar (27Apr26) - UPS

Earnings Calendar (27Apr26) This is an exciting week for earnings with the results of UPS, Coca-Cola, Robin Hood, Microsoft, Amazon, Meta, Alphabet, Apple, Chevron Phillips and ExxonMobil. Let us look at the earnings release of UPS. The stock price of UPS has risen 16.8% compared to a year ago. With an EPS of $6.56 and a P/E ratio of 16.3, this is a rather attractive offering at the current price. According to technical analysis, there is a recommendation of “strong buy”. Analysts’ sentiment reflects a similar recommendation of “buy”. With the target price of $112.56, there is a potential upside of 5.17%. Total annual revenue has fallen from $97.2 billion in 2021 to $88.6 billion in 2025. We see a similar drop in gross profit from $23.2 billion in 2021 to $20 billion in 2025. Net
(Part 2 of 5) Earnings Calendar (27Apr26) - UPS
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04-26 21:42

(Part 1 of 5) - Economic Calendar (27Apr26) - Interest rate, PMI, Consumer Confidence

Economic Preview: Key Data Releases (week of 27Apr26) Consumer sentiment Conference Board (CB) Consumer Confidence (April): Due next week. The prior reading was 91.8 (lower confidence). This release will be an important gauge of US consumer sentiment and the broader economic outlook. Growth and demand indicators Durable Goods Orders: Forecast +0.5%, improving from the prior -1.4%. Crude oil inventories: A useful reference for near-term demand expectations, as inventory drawdowns can reflect anticipated consumption. Federal Reserve focus FOMC rate decision: The market expects the policy rate to be held at 3.75%. FOMC statement and press conference: Key for guidance on the likely path of future rate decisions. Leadership transition: Even
(Part 1 of 5) - Economic Calendar (27Apr26) - Interest rate, PMI, Consumer Confidence
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04-26 21:03

(Full article) Preview of the week (27Apr26)

Economic Preview: Key Data Releases (week of 27Apr26) Consumer sentiment Conference Board (CB) Consumer Confidence (April): Due next week. The prior reading was 91.8 (lower confidence). This release will be an important gauge of US consumer sentiment and the broader economic outlook. Growth and demand indicators Durable Goods Orders: Forecast +0.5%, improving from the prior -1.4%. Crude oil inventories: A useful reference for near-term demand expectations, as inventory drawdowns can reflect anticipated consumption. Federal Reserve focus FOMC rate decision: The market expects the policy rate to be held at 3.75%. FOMC statement and press conference: Key for guidance on the likely path of future rate decisions. Leadership transition: Even with Chair Jerome Powell expected to step down, the co
(Full article) Preview of the week (27Apr26)
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04-19

(Full Article) Preview of the week (20Apr26) - Can Dow make it?

Economic Preview: Key Data Releases (week of 20Apr2026) Retail Sales Data The coming week begins with the release of core retail sales figures for March. This data is a crucial indicator, as it reflects consumer sentiment in the market. Observing how consumers are spending provides valuable insight into the broader economic outlook. Crude Oil Inventories Another significant factor affecting market sentiment is the crude oil inventories report. Previously, there was a drawdown of approximately 913,000 barrels. If the upcoming report shows a drawdown larger than the forecasted 1,000,000 barrels, it could be considered bullish for the market demand. Initial Jobless Claims Initial jobless claims are forecasted to reach 212,000, which represents a slight increase from the previous figure of 207
(Full Article) Preview of the week (20Apr26) - Can Dow make it?
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04-14
Quick analysis of S&P500 S&P500 closed the day with 6886.24, a gain of 1.02%. Analysts have claimed that the Gulf War losses were wiped out. Let us look at some of the technicals. MACD is on an uptrend. The last candle is above both the 50- and 200-day moving average (MA) lines on the daily interval. This implies bullish in both the short and long term. The 3 exponential moving average (EMA) lines are on the up trend. The Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) remains in the selling region even though there is increasing buying momentum. What is concerning is the volume. Volume is the momentum of the trade that is not supported, meaning that the current run may not last. Let us exercise caution and do our due diligence. @TigerStars
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04-12

Part 5 of 5 > My investing Muse (13Apr26)

My Investing Muse (13Apr2026) Layoffs, closures and Delinquencies GoPro (April 8, 2026): Cutting ~145 employees (23% of its global workforce of 631) as part of a restructuring to reduce operating costs. The cuts are expected to begin in Q2 2026 and largely wrap up by year-end, with an estimated charge of $11.5–15 million. (businessinsider.com) Pendo (April 7, 2026): The Raleigh-based tech unicorn (product experience platform) laid off 90 employees (10% of its ~850-person workforce) due to restructuring and operational changes tied to AI investments. (informationweek.com) Bolt (April 6, 2026): Cut 30% of its workforce (specific headcount not detailed in reports). (intellizence.com) Disney (reported April 9, 2026): Planning up to 1,000 layoffs, primarily in the marketing department, as part
Part 5 of 5 > My investing Muse (13Apr26)
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04-12

Part 4b - News Highlight with Private Credit Highlight (13Apr26)

Special Focus on Private Credit Risk The Fed is now asking banks how exposed they are to private credit. The Treasury is asking insurers the same question. They’re doing it quietly, through routine examination channels & not a formal investigation. That’s what regulators do when they’re worried but don’t yet know how worried to be. - X user Nic @TigerStars $Vanguard S&P 500 ETF(VOO)$ $Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$
Part 4b - News Highlight with Private Credit Highlight (13Apr26)
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04-12

Part 4 of 5 > News Highlight from past week (13apr2026)

News and my thoughts from the past week (13Apr2026) JD Vance says the US delegation will return to America WITHOUT a deal with Iran, but that this outcome is MUCH worse for Iran than the US. “We've been at it for 21 HOURS. We've had substantive discussions...but the bad news is, we have NOT reached an agreement.” “That's bad news for Iran MUCH more than it is bad news for the USA.” - X user Nick Sortor US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell called Wall Street leaders to an ‘urgent meeting’ on concerns that the latest AI model from Anthropic will ‘usher in an era of greater cyber risk’, according to Bloomberg report. OpenAI is pausing its Stargate project in the UK due to high electricity cost + regulatory environment - X user Nik Nearly half of the plan
Part 4 of 5 > News Highlight from past week (13apr2026)
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04-12

Part 3 of 5 > S&P500 outlook (13Apr26) - most indicators are b...ish

Market Outlook of S&P500 (13Apr2026) Technical Analysis Overview MACD Indicator The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator for the S&P 500 has completed a bottom cross-over, showing an uptrend. Chaikin Money Flow The Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) stands at -0.14, indicating there is more selling momentum than buying pressure in the market. Moving Averages Examining the moving averages, the most recent price action shows the last candlestick has been above the 50-day moving average (MA50) and the 200-day moving average (MA200). This pattern indicates a bullish shift in both the short and long term. Notably, the MA50 line has begun to slope downward for the first time in recent months, raising the possibility of a “death cross” forming—a bearish technical pa
Part 3 of 5 > S&P500 outlook (13Apr26) - most indicators are b...ish
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04-12

Part 2 of 5 > Earnings Calendar (13Apr26) - Is Netflix a buy?

Earnings Calendar (13Apr2026) Banking Sector Earnings and Netflix Analysis This week, earnings results for the banking sector will be announced. Alongside these updates, Netflix stands out as one of the leading players in the market. Over the past year, Netflix’s stock price has risen by 12.17%. However, its price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio suggests the stock may be somewhat expensive at current levels. Key Financial Metrics P/E Ratio: 40.47 Earnings Per Share (EPS): $2.53 Investment Ratings and Target Price Technical analysis recommends a “strong buy” for Netflix stock. Analyst sentiment is also positive, with a “buy” rating. The target price for Netflix is set at $114.3, indicating a potential upside of 10.7% from current levels. Revenue and Profit Growth Netfl
Part 2 of 5 > Earnings Calendar (13Apr26) - Is Netflix a buy?
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04-12

Part 1 of 5 > Economic Preview: Key Data Releases (week of 13Apr2026)

Economic Preview: Key Data Releases (week of 13Apr2026) Existing Home Sales Existing home sales for March are projected to reach 4.05 million units. This figure serves as a reliable indicator of the overall health of the American real estate market, reflecting both buyer demand and market activity. Home Builder Confidence The home builder confidence index is expected to decrease to 37, down from 38 in the previous month. This index is an important gauge for the residential and real estate industry, providing insight into the sentiment of builders regarding current and future market conditions. Producer Price Index (PPI) One of the most closely watched macroeconomic reports in the upcoming week is the core Producer Price Index (PPI) for March. The PPI measures inflation affecting producers,
Part 1 of 5 > Economic Preview: Key Data Releases (week of 13Apr2026)
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04-12

Full article - Preview of the Week (13Apr2026) - Buy Netflix?

Economic Preview: Key Data Releases (week of 13Apr2026) Existing Home Sales Existing home sales for March are projected to reach 4.05 million units. This figure serves as a reliable indicator of the overall health of the American real estate market, reflecting both buyer demand and market activity. Home Builder Confidence The home builder confidence index is expected to decrease to 37, down from 38 in the previous month. This index is an important gauge for the residential and real estate industry, providing insight into the sentiment of builders regarding current and future market conditions. Producer Price Index (PPI) One of the most closely watched macroeconomic reports in the upcoming week is the core Producer Price Index (PPI) for March. The PPI measures inflation affecting producers,
Full article - Preview of the Week (13Apr2026) - Buy Netflix?
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04-10
congrats to all. congrats to my tiger authors - @nerdbull1669 JC888 & @koolgal , @thanks @TigerStars
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04-05

(Part 5 of 5) My investing muse - Layoffs, AI Data Centre, Private Credit - canary (06Apr2026)

My Investing Muse Layoffs, closures and Delinquencies AMAZON JUST EXECUTED 16,000 WORKERS WHILE BURNING $200 BILLION ON AI INFRASTRUCTURE We are expecting more layoff news to come. Let us monitor and hedge accordingly. Private Credit - a canary in the Financial coalmine? The Private Credit sector continues to leak confidence with withdrawal limits and default news. Will this trip up the market? Probably. Data Centre updates Half of US data centers planned for 2026 are expected to be delayed or canceled. One big reason is shortage of electrical equipment, such as transformers, switchgear and batteries. US doesn’t have manufacturing capacity, forcing it to rely on imports. - Bloomberg Outdated electricity grids are now a “national security risk,” JPMorgan has said. The promised AI of a multi
(Part 5 of 5) My investing muse - Layoffs, AI Data Centre, Private Credit - canary (06Apr2026)
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04-05

(Part 4 of 5) News and my thoughts from the past week (06Apr2026)

News and my thoughts from the past week (06Apr2026) Hedge funds' net selling of US tech and communication stocks last week was the largest since September 2024 and the 3rd-largest in 5 years. - X user Global Markets Investor President Trump's "48-hour warning" to Iran to open the Strait of Hormuz expires at 10:05 AM ET on Monday, April 6th. This also happens to be 35 minutes after the US stock market reopens after the 3-day weekend. "BIG SHORT" INVESTOR MICHAEL BURRY WARNS: US FINANCIAL MARKETS AND ECONOMY WILL CRASH. "THE PROBLEM IS TOO BIG TO SAVE." Poolside’s Project Horizon just lost CoreWeave as anchor tenant and its $2B Nvidia-led funding round at the same time. The deal collapsed after Poolside couldn’t stand up its first GPU cluster to CoreWeave’s timeline. The capital followed the
(Part 4 of 5) News and my thoughts from the past week (06Apr2026)
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04-05

(Part 3 of 5) - S&P500 technical analysis (06Apr2026)

Market Outlook of S&P500 (06Apr2026) Technical Analysis Overview MACD Indicator The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator for the S&P 500 has completed a bottom cross-over, and this can be the start of an uptrend. Chaikin Money Flow The Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) stands at -0.27, indicating there is more selling momentum than buying pressure in the market. Moving Averages Examining the moving averages, the most recent price action shows the last candlestick has moved below the 50-day moving average (MA50) and the 200-day moving average (MA200). This pattern indicates a bearish shift in both the short and long term. Notably, the MA50 line has begun to slope downward for the first time in recent months, raising the possibility of a “death cross” forming—a bearish techn
(Part 3 of 5) - S&P500 technical analysis (06Apr2026)
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04-05

(Part 2 of 5) Earnings Calendar - Delta, time to take off (06Apr2026)

Earnings Calendar (06Apr2026) Let us look at Delta Airlines for this week’s stock analysis. Valuation Metrics The company currently has a Price/Earnings (P/E) ratio of 8.7 and an Earnings Per Share (EPS) of $7.72. These figures suggest that, based on its earnings, Delta appears to be an attractive investment opportunity. It will be intriguing to observe how Delta manages the ongoing energy crisis, especially given the expected increases in jet fuel prices in various regions. The key question is whether consumers will continue to travel or begin to cut back, as rising energy costs contribute to inflationary pressures throughout the business, including the supply chain and overall cost of living. Analyst Recommendations Tanika’s analysis recommends a strong buy for Delta’s sto
(Part 2 of 5) Earnings Calendar - Delta, time to take off (06Apr2026)

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