<Part 3 of 5> S&P 500 outlook for the week (15Sep25)

Market Outlook of S&P500 (15Sep25)

Technical observations:

• MACD analysis indicates a bullish crossover, which can signal the potential for an uptrend. However, it is important to note that a continuation of the prior downtrend remains a possibility, and this signal should be confirmed with other indicators.

• The Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) are aligned in an uptrend, which supports a bullish outlook.

• Both the 50-period and 200-period Moving Averages (MA) are showing an uptrend, suggesting a bullish market sentiment in both the short and long term.

• The Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) is positive at 0.23, which confirms that there has been an influx of buying volume over the last 20 periods. Nevertheless, this buying pressure appears to be weakening, which could signify a loss of momentum.

Technical Analysis is recommending a “strong buy” for daily intervals. 21 indicators show a “Buy” rating and none show a “Sell” rating. There are 2 indicators that show “overbought” and some correction can be in the works.

Outlook and Implications for the Coming Week

• Short-Term Outlook: The S&P 500 is likely to trend bearish into the week. A neutral scenario could emerge if the price holds with a bullish pattern (e.g., Morning Star) and volume.

• Long-Term Trend: Bearish. The long-term bullish trend has reversed, as confirmed by the Evening Star. The decline potentially supports a sustained bearish trend.

The candlestick patterns suggest a bearish short-term outlook with a bearish long-term trend, indicating continued correction unless a bullish reversal forms at key support.

Given the above, I am leaning towards a bearish run in the coming week.

@TigerStars

$S&P 500(.SPX)$

$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$

$SPDR Gold Shares(GLD)$

$Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$