I think the market might be getting a bit ahead of itself here. A 25 bps cut could support short-term sentiment, but the bigger question is whether the Fed is reacting to slowing growth or just fine-tuning policy. If it’s the former, then the rally could lose steam quickly.
As for 2025, I wouldn’t expect an aggressive cutting cycle unless inflation falls well below target. More likely we’ll see a gradual easing path, maybe 2–3 cuts spread over the year, depending on data. Trade tensions easing definitely helps risk assets, but fundamentals will need to confirm the optimism.
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