$Richtech Robotics(RR)$ Got done all ends up last night. Thought if I bought below the $6 could hope to make a quick buck on the rebound but instead crashed further. Definitely a hard lesson learned.

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ The U.S. equity market has stumbled after an impressive run. For three consecutive sessions, all three major indexes—the S&P 500, Dow Jones Industrial Average, and Nasdaq Composite—have posted losses, giving back their post-Fed September meeting gains. The slide has injected a dose of caution into an environment where investor sentiment had grown complacent. The big questions now: Is this simply a routine pullback? Or is it an early warning sign that valuations have gone too far and that a more substantial correction looms? With economic data still robust, inflation not entirely tamed, and Fed Chair Jerome Powell himself warning about “quite high” stock valuations, the market sits at a crossroads. This article takes a close

📉 Market Down 3 Days! Valuations Too High: Time to Hedge or Stay the Course? 🚀 Introduction – From Euphoria to Anxiety in 72 Hours It only takes a few red days to shift market sentiment. After three straight sessions of declines, U.S. stocks have erased their post-Fed September gains. The S&P 500, Nasdaq, and Dow all pulled back, with tech giants leading the weakness. Why the sudden change? Powell’s warning that equities look “quite high by many measures” still lingers. Stronger economic data muddied the outlook for future rate cuts. Valuations stretched: Price-to-earnings ratios remain well above historical averages. So the question for investors is timely: Is this just a healthy pullback… or a signal to hedge portfolios against deeper risk? --- 1️⃣ The Bearish View – Valuations Too H

$Direxion Daily Small Cap Bull 3x Shares(TNA)$ is poised for potential gains with 2 expected rate cuts this year, as small-cap stocks tend to thrive in low-rate environments. Key points to consider: - *Leveraged play*: TNA offers 3x leverage on small-cap stocks. - *Rate cuts*: Expected to boost small-cap performance. Keep in mind the potential risks and volatility associated with leveraged ETFs. $TNA 20260116 29.0 PUT$   $iShares Russell 2000 ETF(IWM)$  

🌟🌟🌟The US market saw 3 days of red, 1 day of green.    It has just danced through a week of emotional whiplash, rising Friday after a cooler inflation print but still closing the week lower.  The S&P500, Nasdaq and the Dow Jones Indexes all gave back their post Fed September meeting gains.  Jerome Powell's words linger like a warning bell: "Stocks are fairly highly valued".  Suddenly, the exuberance that defined 2025 feels fragile. Strong economic data, once a source of comfort, now casts doubt on the Fed's rate cut path.  Tech Giants - those symbols of innovation and comfort are stumbling.  Nvidia, Oracle and even Tesla have lost their shine.  Is this a healthy pullback?  Or is it the market's way of asking - Can earnings justify the hype?

Here is a structured view of the situation, along with my views and a tentative tactical posture. (These are not investment recommendations, but rather a reasoned framework.) --- 1. Is this a “healthy” pullback? In my view, yes — and in fact I would prefer to see occasional corrective pressures in such a stretched market. Here’s why I lean that way: Supporting arguments for a healthy pullback Overbought conditions: The U.S. equity market has run strongly through September (helped by the Fed’s rate cut). At some point, profit-taking and trimming become natural. Valuation introspection: With many valuation metrics at (or near) extremes, a modest pullback helps “reset” investor expectations. Technical/composure: A shallow, controlled decline (say 3%–5%) is often healthier than letting sentime

I've just sold my Tesla shares, may consider taking profit for others too such as  $Warner Bros. Discovery(WBD)$ I think the recent dip is due to profit taking, not something to be worried about I'm thinking of bond ETFs, gold or other downstream AI companies Mega-cap companies may have been overbought and it's feels scary to buy in at current prices

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ $ISHARES S&P MID-CAP ETF/AUS(IJH.AU)$ $Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight ETF(RSP)$ I’m keeping this simple. The spread in forward P/E between U.S. large caps and SMID caps has blown out again. As of 26Sep25, the S&P 500 sits near 22.5× forward earnings while the S&P 400 and S&P 600 are nearer 17.1× and 16.6×. That’s a double-digit multiple premium for size rather than for quality. The Yardeni-style chart makes it obvious; large caps have rerated while SMID has not. 🧩 Why that matters The JPM data frames it perfectly: the 30-year average forward P/E is 17.0×. Today’s 22.5× means investors are paying a 30%+ premium to history. Ad

Will hedge or won't buy if high

Market remains bullish across indexes, with no clear signs of bull traps or bearish reversals as Q3 ends. Valuations are elevated, especially among Mag 7 and S&P 500, nearing historical peaks seen before past downturns. Institutional selling and climax top indicators suggest rising downside risks, but price action still favors further rally into Q4. Continue monitoring for shifts in momentum; maintain bullish bias unless clear downside signals emerge.

Why the U.S. market has been down the past 3 days 1. Rising bond yields / hawkish Fed fears 2. Cooling momentum in tech / AI names Many of the market’s leaders (e.g. Nvidia, Meta, Alphabet) have pulled back from recent highs. The exuberance that drove recent gains is moderating.  3. Valuation concerns & profit‐taking With indices trading near record highs, some investors are taking profits. The recent dip may just be a normal pullback.  4. Uncertainty over macro data & policy direction Key upcoming reports (jobs, inflation) and potential surprises could shift confidence. Also, risks like a U.S. government shutdown are lurking.  ⸻ Outlook for the next week 👍👍 • Watch the jobs / labor data The nonfarm payroll report will be closely watched. A weak print could nudge expectations fo

This is such a good topic for discussion that has come after a long time. My thinking on this is as follows: 1. Do you think this is a healthy pulback?: Quite agree with this. A pullback was essential though the market has been choppy after trump has come in. Every fortnight we have seen at least one pullback due to political machinations. In that context, this is not unexpected & in a way helps to remove the froth. 2. Do you agree with Powell that U.S. equities are overvalued?: certainly some areas and some counters certainly seem over valued. For example, we saw the mad spurt in $Lithium Americas Corp.(LAC)$ . Agree that there is a positive (?) move with the govt iintervention but is is really justifying the  almost 1

Here’s my take — these are nuanced issues, so I’ll lay out what I see as the balance of probabilities (not certainties). You should treat this more as a strategic counsel than a prediction. --- 1. Is this a “healthy pullback”? I lean yes, it can be viewed as a healthy correction, though not without risks. Arguments supporting a healthy pullback: The U.S. indices had rallied sharply following the September Fed meeting, so some reversion was overdue. The downturn is relatively modest — losses over three days are not unusual in extended bull runs (and indeed, analysts have flagged that three-day declines following records happen with some regularity).  It may help shake out weaker hands, reducing froth and restoring some balance (liquidity, valuations, risk premiums) before the next leg

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ The S&P 500 just clawed back from a brutal three-day skid, but let's cut the fluff—this isn't some gentle correction; it's a stark reminder that the bull run had legs made of nitro. After the Fed's September powwow sparked a quick sugar high, those gains evaporated faster than a meme stock pump. Blame it on scorching jobs reports and consumer spending figures that screamed "no rush on those rate slashes," leaving traders jittery as tech behemoths like Oracle cratered 5% in a single gut punch. Nasdaq's bleeding out on AI hype fatigue, Dow's dragging its blue-chip boots, and suddenly everyone's whispering about overcooked multiples. But here's the real gut check: is

Great and fantastic read