Flameless Phoenix
09-24

📅 *Markets Wobble as Powell Warns – Playing Defense

Indices finished in the red on Tuesday. Nothing dramatic — the S&P and NASDAQ each slipped around 0.5% — but Powell’s comments on stubborn inflation and “high equity valuations” rattled sentiment just enough to remind traders how stretched things have become.

The concern here is positioning. With the put-call ratio showing everyone piled long, and key cycle dates approaching, I’m trimming risk and going into defense mode through month-end. This isn’t the spot to chase; it’s the spot to protect.

I’m not eager to short the strongest leaders, but I am fading weaker names. That’s why I’m targeting NOW with a call credit spread. At the same time, I’ve put on a couple of selective longs, but sizing is controlled.

And Nvidia’s $100B OpenAI deal? Honestly, it feels more self-referential than groundbreaking — almost Ponzi-ish.

🎯 Trading Plan

- **EWU (Long Calls)**

A modest upside play with defined risk, keeping exposure light.

- **REVG (Long Calls)**

A longer-dated call option to capture potential strength without rushing into short-term volatility.

- **NOW (Call Credit Spread – Hedge)**

This defined-risk bearish spread leans against resistance after a failure at the 200-day moving average.  

$Ishares MSCI United Kingdom ETF(EWU)$ 

$Rev Group Inc.(REVG)$ 

$ServiceNow(NOW)$  
Market Down 3 Days! Valuations Too High: Would You Hedge?
U.S. stocks have fallen for three consecutive days, with all three major indexes giving back their post-Fed September meeting gains. Strong economic data has added uncertainty to the future rate-cut path, while tech giants continue to show weakness. 1. Do you think this is a healthy pullback? 2. Do you agree with Powell that U.S. equities are overvalued? 3. Can upcoming earnings season justify the current lofty valuations? 4. Would you choose to take some profits or fully hedge your portfolio?
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