這是甚麼東西
2025-10-01

1. 英偉達的漲勢能否進一步延續?

英偉達(NVDA.US) 當前市盈率(TTM)爲53.16,市銷率(PS ratio)27.44,處於行業較高水平,反映市場對其AI算力領域的壟斷地位和未來盈利的高預期。近期財務數據顯示,2025Q3單季淨利潤同比增長108.9%,營收增速達93.6%,主要驅動力來自數據中心業務(佔營收88%)的高速增長。然而需注意以下風險:

估值壓力:當前市淨率(PB)45.27遠高於半導體行業中位數,若未來盈利增速放緩,可能引發估值回調;

競爭環境:AMD等競爭對手在AI芯片領域的追趕可能削弱市場份額優勢;

需求持續性:全球AI基礎設施投資週期可能隨宏觀經濟波動調整。

結論:短期看,英偉達憑藉技術壁壘和行業需求仍具上漲動能,但中長期需警惕估值修正風險,投資者可關注財報指引和訂單數據變化。


2. 英偉達屢創新高,CoreWeave或Nebius能否跑贏?

CoreWeave:受益於Meta的14.2億美元協議短期催化,但財務風險較高(連續虧損且負債率超85%)。若後續未能實現規模化盈利,股價波動性或加劇。

Nebius:高增長但盈利不穩定(2025Q2淨利率580% vs. 2025Q1虧損205%),高估值(PE TTM 133.65)可能反映投機屬性。

對比英偉達:兩者均缺乏英偉達的技術生態與現金流穩定性,跑贏難度較大,但小市值特性可能帶來階段性超額收益。


3. 趕上英偉達這波最好的選擇是什麼?

臺積電 (TSM.US) :AI芯片核心代工廠,2025Q2淨利潤同比+60.5%,技術面均線呈多頭排列。

超微電腦(SMCI.US) :數據中心服務器供應商,受益於AI算力需求,PB 4.52低於英偉達。

蘋果(AAPL.US) :技術面MACD金叉,現金流穩健(FCF 244億美元)。

Modified in.2025-10-04
NVIDIA Galaxy Soaring: Can CoreWeave and Nebius Outperform?
CoreWeave surged 15% after striking a $14.2B compute deal with Meta, while Applied Digital, Nebius gained 6%, and Super Micro jumped over 3%. 1. Can Nvidia’s rally extend even further? 2. With Nvidia hitting new highs, can Coreweave or Nebius outperform? 3. What's the best choice to catch Nvidia's wave?
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