The intersection of aggressive price targets (Gold $5,000) and escalating geopolitical tensions creates a volatile backdrop for precious metals. Here is an analysis of how these factors typically interact: 1. How will precious metals react to geopolitical crisis? Precious metals, particularly gold, are the ultimate "fear barometer." In the event of a military strike or a breakdown in diplomatic relations with Iran, metals typically react in three phases: The Knee-Jerk Spike: Gold and silver usually see an immediate price surge as investors flee "risk assets" (stocks) for "safe havens." Currency Correlation: If the crisis leads to a stronger U.S. Dollar (also a safe haven), it can sometimes cap gold's gains, as gold is priced in dollars. However, in a true Middle East crisis, the "geopoliti

The upcoming Nvidia earnings report on February 25 is highly anticipated, with a consensus estimate of $65.58 billion in revenue. While Nvidia is expected to deliver a strong performance, the key question is whether customers can maintain the current pace of artificial intelligence (AI) capital expenditures (capex). Nvidia's CEO, Jensen Huang, has hinted at the release of "never-before-seen" chips at the upcoming GTC conference, which could potentially be Rubin derivatives or the next-generation Feynman architecture focused on inference. This could further widen the gap between Nvidia and its competitors, solidifying its position as a leader in the AI infrastructure space. However, if growth slows down even slightly, there is a risk that AI capex could shift from a "grab compute" mentality

Figma's impressive Q4 earnings report, with 40% revenue growth and a significant beat on adjusted EPS, has certainly sent a positive signal to investors, as evidenced by the nearly 16% jump in premarket shares. The guidance for Q1 and FY2026 also exceeded expectations, suggesting a strong momentum for the company. The acceleration in AI traction, with a 70% QoQ increase in Figma Make weekly active users, is particularly noteworthy. This, combined with strategic partnerships with Anthropic and OpenAI, reinforces Figma's position as a leader in the AI-enhanced design and collaboration space. As for whether Figma is proving that AI enhances its offerings, the numbers seem to suggest a positive correlation. The company's ability to integrate AI capabilities into its platform appears to be driv

Meta's decision to expand!!!!! its partnership with Nvidia, planning to deploy millions of Nvidia AI chips, signifies a significant deepening of their infrastructure collaboration. This move has several implications for both companies and the broader tech industry: Nvidia's Growth Prospects: The large-scale deployment of Nvidia's AI chips by Meta underscores the growing demand for advanced computing solutions in the tech sector. This partnership could contribute substantially to Nvidia's revenue growth, potentially securing its stock performance in the short to medium term. Meta's AI Ambitions: By integrating Nvidia's chips, including the upcoming Vera Rubin architecture and, notably, the Grace CPU into its standalone computing systems for the first time, Meta is bolstering its AI capabili

The latest 13F filing from Berkshire Hathaway offers a glimpse into Warren Buffett's investment strategy as he prepares to step down as CEO. Several key takeaways emerge from the filing: Concentration Remains Key: Despite some adjustments, the top ten holdings still account for 88% of the portfolio, reflecting Buffett's long-standing approach of concentrating investments in a few high-conviction bets. Apple Adjustment: The trimming of Apple for the third consecutive quarter may indicate that Buffett views the stock as fully valued or is rebalancing the portfolio. However, Apple remains a significant holding, suggesting that Berkshire still sees long-term value in the company. Amazon Reduction: The substantial cut in Amazon holdings (over 77%) is noteworthy. This could be due to valuation c

The recent developments in the Warner Bros. Discovery (WBD) and Paramount Skydance (PSKY) saga have introduced new dynamics to the situation. With Paramount increasing its bid to $31 per share and indicating a willingness to cover Netflix's breakup fee, the stakes have been raised. Bullish on WBD and PSKY: From a technical perspective, the recent price movements suggest that investors are bullish on PSKY, with its stock price surging 8%. WBD's 3% increase also indicates a positive sentiment, although it's essential to consider the binding deal with Netflix and the upcoming shareholder vote. Fundamentally, PSKY's increased bid and willingness to cover the breakup fee demonstrate its commitment to acquiring WBD. This could lead to a potential bidding war, which might drive up WBD's stock pri

The recent decline in gold and silver prices can be attributed to the easing of geopolitical tensions, particularly with the US and Iran engaging in diplomatic talks. The "war premium" that had driven up prices last year has decreased, leading to a decrease in the value of precious metals. In general, precious metals like gold and silver tend to react positively to geopolitical crises, as investors seek safe-haven assets during times of uncertainty. However, the current situation suggests that diplomacy is being given a chance, which has reduced the immediate risk premium. Whether every dip is a buy depends on various factors, including the overall market sentiment, economic indicators, and the progression of geopolitical events. It's essential to consider the following: Dollar strength: A

$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$  Long-Distance Horse — Compounding is the eighth wonder of the world. Reason: By 2026, the "AI gold rush" noise has settled into actual infrastructure. I believe consistency beats intensity; staying the course with high-quality core holdings allows me to capture the full trajectory of growth without getting bucked off by short-term market tantrums.

The thrill of the hunt for the first dark horse of 2026! As the Stock Whisperer, I'll share my insights to help you uncover a potential gem. Given the current market landscape, I'm inclined to look for a stock that combines the benefits of emerging trends with overlooked potential. Here are a few possibilities: AI Leader: Consider a company like NVIDIA (NVDA), which has been a pioneer in AI computing. While not entirely under the radar, its valuation has been somewhat range-bound lately. As AI continues to gain traction, NVDA's dominance in the space could lead to a re-rating, making it a potential dark horse. Value Stock: Micron Technology (MU) might be an attractive candidate. As a leading memory chip manufacturer, MU has been facing headwinds due to industry cyclical

The AI landscape is indeed undergoing a significant transformation, with numerous players, both in China and overseas, accelerating their product launches and advancements. This "AI arms race" is characterized by rising capital intensity, shorter iteration cycles, and rapidly shifting narrative leadership. Which AI Model or Ecosystem Has the Strongest Moat? DeepSeek: As a newcomer, DeepSeek's moat is still being established. However, its association with ByteDance, a company known for its successful AI-driven products (e.g., TikTok), could provide a significant advantage in terms of resources and expertise. Doubao (ByteDance): Doubao, being part of ByteDance, leverages the company's vast user base and AI capabilities. Its moat is strengthened by the network effects and the abilit

The upcoming Figma earnings report on February 18 is highly anticipated, especially given the recent AI-driven selloff in the software sector. The focus has indeed shifted from growth-at-all-costs to more nuanced metrics such as pricing power, enterprise demand, and competitive positioning against AI-native design tools. Expectations for Figma's Earnings Revenue Growth & Net Retention Rate: Expectation: A moderate slowdown in revenue growth due to the current economic climate and increased competition from AI-driven design tools. However, the net retention rate is expected to remain strong, indicating loyal customer base and successful upselling/cross-selling efforts. Bull Case: Figma surprises with better-than-expected revenue growth, driven by strong enterprise adoption and

How I Expect Rocket Lab's Earnings (Feb 26 Report) I expect the earnings call to be a high-stakes balancing act between near-term execution and long-term vision. The market will punish any signs of fundamental deterioration or Neutron delays. 1. Revenue & Backlog (The "Now"): Expectation: Solid quarter-over-quarter growth from Electron launch cadence. The key will be commentary on the backlog conversion rate. Investors want to see contracted revenue turning into realized revenue efficiently. Bull Case: They beat on launches completed and raise guidance for 2026 launch cadence, pointing to strong demand for small-satellite launch and their space systems (satellite components) division. Bear Case: Launch delays (weather, technical) cause a revenue miss, or t

The recent US January CPI report showing a slower-than-expected inflation rate has significant implications for the market. The 0.2% MoM and 2.4% YoY increases in headline inflation, along with softer core inflation, suggest that the Federal Reserve may be more likely to cut interest rates sooner rather than later. The market's reaction, with Treasury yields slipping and equities initially rising, indicates that investors are indeed interpreting the softer CPI as a sign of a higher possibility of rate cuts. The 80% market pricing for a Fed rate cut by June reflects this sentiment. Regarding the S&P 500, the index may extend its gains if the rate-cut optimism continues to drive investor sentiment. Historically, lower interest rates have been beneficial for stocks, as they can lead to in

The recent pullback in gold prices has sparked a debate about whether this is a consolidation phase or a sign of a top. Given the diverse predictions from major banks, let's analyze the factors at play and the potential targets for gold. ANZ's Revised Target: ANZ's decision to lift its Q2 2026 gold target to $5,800 suggests that the bank believes the current pullback is an opportunity for fresh inflows. This optimism is based on structural drivers such as central bank diversification, dollar skepticism, geopolitical stress, and policy uncertainty, which are seen as underpinning demand for gold as a strategic "insurance" asset. Comparison with Historical Trends: The analysts' argument that the current situation differs from 1980 or 2013 is crucial. In those periods, gold prices were driven

The proposed Brazilian plan to accumulate 1 million BTC over five years, representing approximately 5% of the total circulating Bitcoin, has indeed sparked a notable rebound in the cryptocurrency's price, with a 5% increase. To assess the sustainability of this bounce, let's break down the potential implications and factors at play. Sovereign Accumulation Impact: If Brazil were to successfully accumulate 1 million BTC, it would indeed reduce the float and tighten supply. This reduction in available Bitcoin for trading could potentially drive up demand and, consequently, the price. However, the actual impact would depend on how the accumulation is executed, whether it's through direct market purchases or other means, and how it's perceived by the market. Comparison with ETF Flows and Macro

The recent market movement, with the Nasdaq declining 2.03% and defensive sectors such as Consumer Staples and Utilities gaining over 1%, suggests a shift in investor sentiment. Let's analyze the situation: Market Rotation: The surge in defensive sectors, such as Consumer Staples and Utilities, along with the outperformance of cash-flow-stable names like Walmart and Coca-Cola, indicates a rotation of capital into safer assets. This rotation could be a response to the increasing uncertainty and volatility in the market. Risk-Off Sentiment: The plunge in Goldman's Al Risk Basket, which tracks high-risk assets, suggests a risk-off sentiment among investors. This sentiment is further reinforced by the decline in the Nasdaq, which is heavily weighted with tech and growth stocks that are typical

The recent earnings report from AppLovin (APP) and the subsequent market reaction, along with the warnings from Apollo's Co-President, present a complex scenario for investors. Let's analyze the situation: Strong Earnings Report: AppLovin's Q4 revenue and net income growth of 66% and 84% YoY, respectively, along with an 82% increase in adjusted EBITDA, indicate a robust financial performance. These numbers suggest that the company is executing well and growing its business substantially. Market Reaction: Despite the strong earnings, APP's stock price plunged 20% post-earnings. This reaction seems counterintuitive, given the positive fundamentals. The disconnect between the company's performance and the market's response could be attributed to broader market sentiment and the "software apoc

The recent sharp decline in gold and silver prices, along with other assets, suggests a significant risk-off sentiment in the markets. This phenomenon, where traditional safe havens like gold and silver are also affected, warrants a closer examination: De-Risking and Margin Calls: The sudden drop in tech stocks and the subsequent surge in liquidity demand led to a cascade of margin calls. Traders were forced to sell their positions in metals, such as gold and silver, to cover losses in equities. This selling pressure, rather than a change in the fundamental outlook for these metals, drove the price decline. Liquidity Crunch: The rotation of capital into U.S. Treasuries indicates a flight to quality and a search for liquidity. In times of market stress, investors often seek the safety of go

The recent decline in Netflix's stock price has sparked interest in its potential value. Considering the current market dynamics and the news about Ancora Capital's move regarding Warner Bros. Discovery, let's analyze the situation: Market Volatility: Netflix's stock has been experiencing significant volatility, and the 4% drop is part of a larger trend. This volatility could be due to various factors, including investor sentiment, competition in the streaming market, and broader economic conditions. Ancora Capital's Move: The decision by Ancora Capital to increase its stake in Warner Bros. Discovery and oppose a potential transaction with Netflix indicates a strategic play that could impact both companies. This opposition could affect Netflix's future content acquisition and streaming str

The January nonfarm payrolls report was a mixed bag, with the headline number beating expectations, but the details raising concerns about the breadth of job gains. The market's initial optimism quickly faded, and the major indices ended the day with modest losses. The stronger-than-expected labor market report has indeed become a headwind for equities, at least in the near term. The reasons for this are twofold: Reduced likelihood of rate cuts: With the labor market showing signs of strength, the probability of a rate cut in the near term has decreased. This has led to a decrease in the market's expectations for monetary policy easing, which had been a key driver of the equity rally. Increased concerns about inflation: A strong labor market can lead to higher wages and inflation, which co