10.2 Tiger Friends' Focus: Hot Stock News & Options Analysis

Hardware/Semiconductors

$NVIDIA(NVDA)$

Key News:

• NVIDIA's stock hit a new all-time high of $186.58 today, with its market cap exceeding $4.53 trillion.

• Surging demand for AI chips is driving institutional accumulation and target price increases to $220.

Options Analysis:

• Trading in both calls and puts is concentrated near the current stock price ($180-$185), indicating a fierce battle between bulls and bears.

• Active put trading suggests some demand for hedging downside risk.

• Next 1 Day (to Oct 3): Expected stock price range is $182.77 - $191.71 (narrow fluctuation).

• Next 8 Days (to Oct 10): Expected stock price range is $174.68 - $199.80.

• The short-term direction is unclear, but volatility is expected to increase over the next week. The stock has a high probability of wide fluctuations around the current price level.

Options Strategy Reference:

• Sell Put $NVDA 20251003 180.0 PUT$ , Probability of Profit ~92%

$Intel(INTC)$

Key News:

• Potential foundry talks with AMD spurred a 7% single-day gain; a deal would strengthen its wafer fabrication business.

Options Analysis:

• Based on options data, INTC's expected weekly volatility range is $34.0 - $37.0, potentially shifting higher to $35.0 - $38.0 the week of Oct 10.

• Strong support formed in the $30-$33 zone (high put OI concentration).

• Primary resistance lies in the $35-$36 zone (high call OI concentration).

• Implied Volatility is high at 70%-90%, indicating expectations for significant price swings.

• The Put/Call ratio is significantly greater than 1, showing bullish sentiment, supporting the expectation for mid-term resistance levels to shift higher. The stock is likely to trade widely within the mentioned ranges.

Options Strategy Reference:

• Sell Put $INTC 20251003 34.0 PUT$ , PoP ~85%, suitable for bullish investors willing to buy shares at $34.0. Annualized Return ~ (0.19/34.0)*(365/1) ≈ 20.3% (short-term).

$Micron Technology(MU)$

Key News:

• MU stock hit a new all-time high, driven primarily by memory chip price hikes and AI memory demand.

• Supply-demand imbalance in the memory chip market is fueling a new round of price increases, further boosting sentiment.

• Analysts note that while earnings beat expectations, part of the gains may already be priced in.

Options Analysis:

• Based on options data, short-term market sentiment for MU is slightly bullish, with call volume nearly double put volume.

• High Implied Volatility of 57.7% indicates expectations for sharp price movements.

• Next 1 Day (to Oct 3): Expected range is $175.5 - $188.8.

• Next 8 Days (to Oct 10): Expected wide trading range is $163.4 - $200.9.

• While the market leans bullish, very high volatility is expected. The stock might experience large swings around the current price in the coming week.

Options Strategy Reference:

• Sell Put $MU 20251003 175.0 PUT$ , PoP ~85%.

Internet/Software Services

$Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$

Key News:

• Plans to acquire AI chip startup Rivos to strengthen in-house semiconductor capabilities and reduce reliance on NVIDIA.

• Announced personalized ads based on user interactions with Meta AI (e.g., chat content), effective December on Facebook/Instagram.

• OpenAI's announcement of entering the short video space with the standalone social app Sora sparked concerns for META.

Options Analysis:

• Based on options data, META's expected weekly volatility range is $705 - $729, potentially expanding to $683 - $752 the week of Oct 10.

• Key support formed in the $700-$715 zone (high put OI concentration).

• Nearby resistance lies around $710-$720 (high call OI concentration).

• The high Put/Call ratio at key strikes like $715 indicates overall optimistic market sentiment. The stock is likely to fluctuate between support and resistance levels.

Options Strategy Reference:

• Sell Put $META 20251003 700.0 PUT$ , $700 is the lower bound of the Oct 3 expected range ($705), PP=15.34% (Probability stock < $700 ≈ 15%), high success probability.

$Oracle(ORCL)$

Key News:

• Company's AI and cloud infrastructure contract revenue surged 359%, listed by Wall Street as a top AI pick; Bernstein raised target price to $364.

Options Analysis:

• Based on options data, ORCL's expected short-term core volatility range is $270 - $300.

• Strong support formed at $270 (extremely high put OI concentration), indicating the market sees a low probability of the stock falling below this level.

• Primary resistance is at $300 (very high call OI concentration). While IV is at yearly highs, it remains below historical realized volatility, suggesting relatively cautious market expectations.

• The Put/Call ratio of 2.12 reflects actually bullish trading sentiment. The stock is likely to consolidate and trade within the $270-$300 range.

Options Strategy Reference:

• Sell Put $ORCL 20251003 277.5 PUT$ , PoP ~89%

$Alibaba(BABA)$

Key News:

• Stock price has doubled this year, shifting from "un-investable" to a FOMO (Fear Of Missing Out) trade.

• JPMorgan sharply raised its target price by 44% to $245, CLSA adjusted to $200, mainly due to AI-driven cloud growth and valuation re-rating.

• ARK Fund, led by Cathie Wood, added shares for two consecutive days, strengthening market confidence.

Options Analysis:

• Based on options data, BABA's expected short-term volatility range is $169 - $196.

• The $170-$180 zone (dense concentration of both put and call OI) forms a key support/resistance battle area, indicating fierce contention between bulls and bears.

• Implied Volatility is ~54% and higher than historical volatility,预示 potential for larger price moves.

• The Put/Call ratio of 2.23 shows clearly optimistic market sentiment.

• The stock is likely to fluctuate within this wide range, accompanied by upward-biased momentum.

Options Strategy Reference:

• Sell Put $BABA 20251010 172.5 PUT$ , PoP ~84%