Playing and Winning with META's Q3 Earnings: Made Easy

Q3 2025 Earnings Expectations:

Projected Q3 revenue and EPS are $50.0 billion and $7.30, respectively, exceeding the consensus estimates of $49.5 billion and $6.69.
Forecasted Q4 revenue and EPS are $58.8 billion and $8.90, also surpassing market expectations of $57.3 billion and $8.12.
Q3 ad revenue growth is accelerating, with only a modest deceleration anticipated in Q4.
FY2026 capital expenditure is expected to see "similar growth" to 2025, implying a total annual capex approaching $100 billion.

How to Evaluate META's Earnings Expectations:

Meta's near-term performance and future growth outlook are highly optimistic.
Revenue and profit forecasts for Q3, Q4, and 2026 are all significantly above market consensus.
The clarity and execution of its AI roadmap are key determinants of future investor sentiment.
Expected earnings volatility is ±7.1%, with a projected trading range of $685 to $790.

Trading Strategy:

Strong business fundamentals and lack of major negative catalysts make a significant drop below the range unlikely. Consider selling put options.
Sell puts ahead of the earnings announcement and close the positions at the market open on the day earnings are released.
Shareholders can sell out-of-the-money calls to generate additional premium income.

Suggested Strike Price and Expiration Date Reference:

Covered Call Strategy: $META 20251031 800.0 CALL$ (Win Rate: 84%)
Cash-Secured Put Strategy: $META 20251031 682.5 PUT$ (Win Rate: 81%)

Welcome to Tiger Options Hub! Here you may talk and learn about all things on options trading!

Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

Comments

Mortimer Arthur
10-25
Mortimer Arthur
Next week Meta will give me a lot of money
YoungYun
10-25
YoungYun
Absolutely love this analysis! So insightful! [Heart]
Merle Ted
10-25
Merle Ted
Im hoping for 800+ next week.
MichaelPerez
10-25
MichaelPerez
Incredible insights on META! 🌟👏

Leave a comment

4

938

37

{"i18n":{"language":"en_US"},"detailType":1,"isChannel":false,"data":{"magic":2,"id":492777643655520,"tweetId":"492777643655520","gmtCreate":1761326553260,"gmtModify":1761326588181,"author":{"id":3527667645834579,"idStr":"3527667645834579","authorId":3527667645834579,"authorIdStr":"3527667645834579","name":"OptionsBB","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/f1e0deba0895fb30eee2a3aaec61cd42","vip":2,"userType":2,"introduction":"Options volatility","boolIsFan":false,"boolIsHead":false,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[],"fanSize":5494,"starInvestorFlag":false},"themes":[{"themeId":"6e1c80e1b0c649e4b4472938cebd4ac0","categoryId":"997e3653d17d4f86ac5ca7a2c649ef17","name":"Options Hub","type":0,"rnLink":"https://laohu8.com/RN?name=RNTheme&page=/theme/detail&rndata={\"themeId\":6e1c80e1b0c649e4b4472938cebd4ac0}&rnconfig={\"headerBarHidden\": true}","description":"Welcome to Tiger Options Hub!\nHere you may talk and learn about all things on options trading!","image":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/ff0f1a617c615bc3d55c60d687ac808a"}],"images":[],"coverImages":[],"title":"Playing and Winning with META's Q3 Earnings: Made Easy","html":"<html><head></head><body><p style=\"text-align: start;\"><strong>Q3 2025 Earnings Expectations:</strong></p><ul style=\"\"><li><p>Projected Q3 revenue and EPS are $50.0 billion and $7.30, respectively, exceeding the consensus estimates of $49.5 billion and $6.69.</p></li><li><p>Forecasted Q4 revenue and EPS are $58.8 billion and $8.90, also surpassing market expectations of $57.3 billion and $8.12.</p></li><li><p>Q3 ad revenue growth is accelerating, with only a modest deceleration anticipated in Q4.</p></li><li><p>FY2026 capital expenditure is expected to see \"similar growth\" to 2025, implying a total annual capex approaching $100 billion.</p></li></ul><p style=\"text-align: start;\"><strong>How to Evaluate META's Earnings Expectations:</strong></p><ul style=\"\"><li><p>Meta's near-term performance and future growth outlook are highly optimistic.</p></li><li><p>Revenue and profit forecasts for Q3, Q4, and 2026 are all significantly above market consensus.</p></li><li><p>The clarity and execution of its AI roadmap are key determinants of future investor sentiment.</p></li><li><p>Expected earnings volatility is ±7.1%, with a projected trading range of $685 to $790.</p></li></ul><p style=\"text-align: start;\"><strong>Trading Strategy:</strong></p><ul style=\"\"><li><p>Strong business fundamentals and lack of major negative catalysts make a significant drop below the range unlikely. Consider selling put options.</p></li><li><p>Sell puts ahead of the earnings announcement and close the positions at the market open on the day earnings are released.</p></li><li><p>Shareholders can sell out-of-the-money calls to generate additional premium income.</p></li></ul><p style=\"text-align: start;\"><strong>Suggested Strike Price and Expiration Date Reference:</strong></p><ul style=\"\"><li><p>Covered Call Strategy: <code><a href=\"https://ttm.financial/OPT/META 20251031 800.0 CALL\">$META 20251031 800.0 CALL$&nbsp;</a></code> (Win Rate: 84%)</p></li><li><p>Cash-Secured Put Strategy: <code><a href=\"https://ttm.financial/OPT/META 20251031 682.5 PUT\">$META 20251031 682.5 PUT$&nbsp;</a></code> (Win Rate: 81%)</p></li></ul></body></html>","htmlText":"<html><head></head><body><p style=\"text-align: start;\"><strong>Q3 2025 Earnings Expectations:</strong></p><ul style=\"\"><li><p>Projected Q3 revenue and EPS are $50.0 billion and $7.30, respectively, exceeding the consensus estimates of $49.5 billion and $6.69.</p></li><li><p>Forecasted Q4 revenue and EPS are $58.8 billion and $8.90, also surpassing market expectations of $57.3 billion and $8.12.</p></li><li><p>Q3 ad revenue growth is accelerating, with only a modest deceleration anticipated in Q4.</p></li><li><p>FY2026 capital expenditure is expected to see \"similar growth\" to 2025, implying a total annual capex approaching $100 billion.</p></li></ul><p style=\"text-align: start;\"><strong>How to Evaluate META's Earnings Expectations:</strong></p><ul style=\"\"><li><p>Meta's near-term performance and future growth outlook are highly optimistic.</p></li><li><p>Revenue and profit forecasts for Q3, Q4, and 2026 are all significantly above market consensus.</p></li><li><p>The clarity and execution of its AI roadmap are key determinants of future investor sentiment.</p></li><li><p>Expected earnings volatility is ±7.1%, with a projected trading range of $685 to $790.</p></li></ul><p style=\"text-align: start;\"><strong>Trading Strategy:</strong></p><ul style=\"\"><li><p>Strong business fundamentals and lack of major negative catalysts make a significant drop below the range unlikely. Consider selling put options.</p></li><li><p>Sell puts ahead of the earnings announcement and close the positions at the market open on the day earnings are released.</p></li><li><p>Shareholders can sell out-of-the-money calls to generate additional premium income.</p></li></ul><p style=\"text-align: start;\"><strong>Suggested Strike Price and Expiration Date Reference:</strong></p><ul style=\"\"><li><p>Covered Call Strategy: <code><a href=\"https://ttm.financial/OPT/META 20251031 800.0 CALL\">$META 20251031 800.0 CALL$&nbsp;</a></code> (Win Rate: 84%)</p></li><li><p>Cash-Secured Put Strategy: <code><a href=\"https://ttm.financial/OPT/META 20251031 682.5 PUT\">$META 20251031 682.5 PUT$&nbsp;</a></code> (Win Rate: 81%)</p></li></ul></body></html>","text":"Q3 2025 Earnings Expectations: Projected Q3 revenue and EPS are $50.0 billion and $7.30, respectively, exceeding the consensus estimates of $49.5 billion and $6.69. Forecasted Q4 revenue and EPS are $58.8 billion and $8.90, also surpassing market expectations of $57.3 billion and $8.12. Q3 ad revenue growth is accelerating, with only a modest deceleration anticipated in Q4. FY2026 capital expenditure is expected to see \"similar growth\" to 2025, implying a total annual capex approaching $100 billion. How to Evaluate META's Earnings Expectations: Meta's near-term performance and future growth outlook are highly optimistic. Revenue and profit forecasts for Q3, Q4, and 2026 are all significantly above market consensus. The clarity and execution of its AI roadmap are key determinants of future investor sentiment. Expected earnings volatility is ±7.1%, with a projected trading range of $685 to $790. Trading Strategy: Strong business fundamentals and lack of major negative catalysts make a significant drop below the range unlikely. Consider selling put options. Sell puts ahead of the earnings announcement and close the positions at the market open on the day earnings are released. Shareholders can sell out-of-the-money calls to generate additional premium income. Suggested Strike Price and Expiration Date Reference: Covered Call Strategy: $META 20251031 800.0 CALL$ (Win Rate: 84%) Cash-Secured Put Strategy: $META 20251031 682.5 PUT$ (Win Rate: 81%)","highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":938,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":37,"favoriteSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/492777643655520","repostId":0,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3326,"commentLimit":10,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"symbols":["META"],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"EN","currentLanguage":"EN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"andRepostAutoSelectedFlag":false,"upFlag":true,"length":1249,"optionInvolvedFlag":true,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ORIG"},"commentList":[{"id":492920622187272,"commentId":"492920622187272","gmtCreate":1761361368221,"gmtModify":1761361372849,"authorId":10000000000010994,"author":{"id":10000000000010994,"idStr":"10000000000010994","authorId":10000000000010994,"name":"Mortimer Arthur","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b8515044e6fcc500a9ce3ca05f33533b","vip":8,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":492777643655520,"objectIdStr":"492777643655520","type":1,"supId":0,"supIdStr":"0","prevId":0,"prevIdStr":"0","content":"Next week Meta will give me a lot of money \n<br><br>","text":"Next week Meta will give me a lot of money \n<br><br>","html":"Next week Meta will give me a lot of money \n<br><br>","likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"subComments":[],"verified":10,"allocateAmount":0,"commentType":"valid","coins":0,"score":0,"disclaimerType":0},{"id":492764930719808,"commentId":"492764930719808","gmtCreate":1761326832074,"gmtModify":1761573739439,"authorId":3479274724739743,"author":{"id":3479274724739743,"idStr":"3479274724739743","authorId":3479274724739743,"name":"YoungYun","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f63b3c9844fec1361496f60171c10016","vip":8,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":492777643655520,"objectIdStr":"492777643655520","type":1,"supId":0,"supIdStr":"0","prevId":0,"prevIdStr":"0","content":"Absolutely love this analysis! So insightful! [Heart]","text":"Absolutely love this analysis! So insightful! [Heart]","html":"Absolutely love this analysis! So insightful! [Heart]","likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"subComments":[],"verified":10,"allocateAmount":0,"commentType":"valid","coins":0,"score":0,"disclaimerType":0},{"id":492919997829472,"commentId":"492919997829472","gmtCreate":1761361307702,"gmtModify":1761361312537,"authorId":10000000000010990,"author":{"id":10000000000010990,"idStr":"10000000000010990","authorId":10000000000010990,"name":"Merle Ted","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d0681550b13e51a8ffa4c08327616955","vip":8,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":492777643655520,"objectIdStr":"492777643655520","type":1,"supId":0,"supIdStr":"0","prevId":0,"prevIdStr":"0","content":"Im hoping for 800+ next week.  \n<br><br>","text":"Im hoping for 800+ next week.  \n<br><br>","html":"Im hoping for 800+ next week.  \n<br><br>","likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"subComments":[],"verified":10,"allocateAmount":0,"commentType":"valid","coins":0,"score":0,"disclaimerType":0},{"id":492766299459688,"commentId":"492766299459688","gmtCreate":1761326831357,"gmtModify":1761327284506,"authorId":9000000000000203,"author":{"id":9000000000000203,"idStr":"9000000000000203","authorId":9000000000000203,"name":"MichaelPerez","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3eb335d4670b62d2f6f58595a4ebf23b","vip":8,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":492777643655520,"objectIdStr":"492777643655520","type":1,"supId":0,"supIdStr":"0","prevId":0,"prevIdStr":"0","content":"Incredible insights on META! 🌟👏","text":"Incredible insights on META! 🌟👏","html":"Incredible insights on META! 🌟👏","likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"subComments":[],"verified":10,"allocateAmount":0,"commentType":"valid","coins":0,"score":0,"disclaimerType":0}],"isCommentEnd":false,"isTiger":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"url":"/m/post/492777643655520"}