(Part 5 of 5) - my investing muse (10Nov25)

KYHBKO
11-09

My Investing Muse (10Nov25)

Layoffs, Bankruptcy & Closure news

  • CNBC: “Announced corporate job cuts surging past 1 million so far this year, with 153,000 new layoffs just in October, according to Challenger. That is the worst October since 2003.”

  • The FAA officially began cutting 700 flights PER DAY across 40 airports. Airports are now facing a shortage of 3,500 air traffic controllers, with 4+ MILLION passengers impacted. - X user The Kobeissi Letter

  • Co-pilot is part of the transition. Transition to more automation (replacing humans) is one of the goals. What’s going to be the story now, CEOs?

From mid-2022 to now, the Bay Area has shed 80,000 tech jobs while supposedly being at the centre of the AI revolution. San Francisco alone dropped 39,600 positions in two years, an 11% collapse. Most of these jobs got permanently deleted. Entry-level employment fell 13% relative to experienced workers across the industry, and postings for junior roles are down 35% since early 2023.​ - X user Stock Market News

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Is AI solely responsible for the layoffs in 2025?

The above are some of the news about debts, closures and bankruptcies.

My final thoughts

Some approached investing using fundamentals, some with technicals and some with macro. Maybe a mix of the above with some psychology. May you understand your goals, investing personality, time horizon and risk tolerance so that you can be aware of your strengths and avoid your pitfalls.

Companies need $3 trillion to $8 trillion by 2030 for AI data centre capacity. In an accelerated growth scenario, that’s $7.9 trillion total: $4.7 trillion for IT equipment, $2.6 trillion for infrastructure, and $600 billion for power. Even in a constrained scenario, you’re looking at $3.7 trillion. - X user Stock Market news

For America to remain competitive, it needs to invest at least $3 trillion by 2030. With Federal debts at $38 trillion, they need to incur more debt to build these AI-related data centres. They will need to invest in energy, infrastructure and resources to support the data centre ecosystem. Will it be possible?

Are we watching a global reset in slow motion?

Financial Strategy and Outlook

Let us spend within our means, invest only what we can afford to lose, and avoid leverage. Let us review our current holdings with the intention of divesting from businesses that are losing their competitive advantages. Additionally, I will consider adding both hedging strategies and defensive positions to our portfolio to mitigate risk.

As we move forward, it is crucial to conduct thorough due diligence before assuming any new responsibilities.

Wishing everyone a successful week ahead.

@TigerStars

$Sea Ltd(SE)$

$S&P 500(.SPX)$

$Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$

@TigerStars

$S&P 500(.SPX)$

$Vanguard S&P 500 ETF(VOO)$

$Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$

New York Fed Reports Increase in Delinquency Rates and Household Debt in Third Quarter
The New York Fed reported a rise in delinquency rates for most types of borrowing in the third quarter, with mortgage balances increasing by $137 billion to $13.1 trillion. Additionally, credit card balances surged by $24 billion to $1.23 trillion. Despite this, the transition rate into early delinquency showed mixed results, while the transition into delinquency rate stabilized. Household debt also saw a 1% increase, totaling $18.6 trillion.
Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

Comments

  • vibzee
    11-10
    vibzee
    Wow, what an insightful analysis! [Wow]
    • KYHBKO
      thank you for your kind words
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