This article covers options for the following underlying assets: NVDA, AMD, MU, TSLA, AAPL, AMZN, META, PLTR, CRCL
Key News:
Citigroup raised its price target on NVDA from $210 to $220. The FactSet analyst average price target is $233.59, maintaining a "Buy" rating.
Options Analysis:
The market anticipates significant price movement ahead of earnings (IV 56%). Overall sentiment is bullish, but caution is warranted against pullback risks.
Short-term (until 11/14): Expected to fluctuate between $180 - $195.
Medium-term (until 11/21): The trading range widens to $175 - $200.
Key Support: $180. This is a strong support level, coinciding with the 50-day moving average and options defense.
Key Resistance: $200. This is a psychological barrier and the area with the highest concentration of call open interest, creating significant pressure.
Options Strategy Reference:
Sell Put: $NVDA 20251114 180.0 PUT$
Rationale: Strong support at $180. Selling the put collects premium with a win rate of ~79% (Delta -0.24).
$Advanced Micro Devices, Inc.(AMD)$
Key News:
AMD recently secured a major AI chip order from a top-tier customer; the MI355X accelerator is driving market share to 25%.
Microsoft launched a CUDA conversion tool, breaking NVIDIA's ecosystem barrier and enhancing the cost advantage of AMD GPUs in AI inference scenarios.
AMD accounted for over 80% of Amazon's CPU sales in October, indicating robust demand for high-end products.
The Zen 6 architecture server processor will debut in 2026, utilizing TSMC's 2nm process, strengthening its computing layout.
Options Analysis:
The market expects high volatility (IV 62%). Bullish and bearish forces are balanced, but large institutional sell orders for calls suggest significant overhead pressure.
Short-term (until 11/14): Expected to fluctuate between $225 - $245.
Medium-term (until 11/21): The trading range widens to $220 - $250.
Key Support: $230. Puts are densely concentrated here, forming the first line of defense.
Key Resistance: $240. Calls are densely concentrated here, and institutions are selling, indicating significant pressure.
Options Strategy Reference:
Sell Put: $AMD 20251114 225.0 PUT$
Rationale: $225 is a strong support level (historical pullback low + concentrated Put OI). Limited downside to $233.54. Selling the Put locks in high premium amid elevated IV, with a win rate ≈82%.
Key News:
None
Options Analysis:
The market expects high volatility (IV 78%, at historically high levels), indicating intense battle between bulls and bears.
Short-term (until 11/14): Expected to experience wide fluctuations between $225 - $250, with potential breakout attempts due to high volatility.
Key Support: $235. This is a zone of dense put open interest; a break below could target the next support at $220.
Key Resistance: $245 - $250. $245 represents previous high resistance, while $250 has a high concentration of call open interest, making it a key upside target.
Options Strategy Reference:
Sell Put: $MU 20251114 235.0 PUT$
Rationale: High IV provides rich premium; $235 support is strong. High probability of profit (68%) if the stock remains stable.
Key News:
Tesla Cybertruck project lead Siddhant Awasthi announced his resignation, potentially raising short-term concerns about project progress.
Optimus-3 is planned for mass production in early 2026.
Tesla launched a daily rental service including FSD in San Diego, which may boost FSD adoption rates.
Options Analysis:
The market expects increased volatility (IV 64%). Sentiment is bullish but divided.
This Week (until 11/14): Expected to fluctuate between $415 - $445. $430 is a key support; $440-$450 is a strong resistance zone.
Next Week (until 11/21): The trading range widens to $400 - $460.
Key Support: $430 (this week) / $425 (recent low). A break below could target $400.
Key Resistance: $440 - $450. High concentration of call open interest here makes a breakout difficult.
Options Strategy Reference:
Sell Put: $TSLA 20251114 430.0 PUT$
Rationale: Strong support at $430, high open interest, clear收益 from time value decay. Win rate ≈71.52% (PoP 28.48%).
Stop-loss: If stock price breaks below $420 or premium doubles.
Key News:
ARC Independent Research raised its price target on AAPL from $250 to $275 on November 10th. The FactSet analyst average price target is $282.49, rated "Overweight".
Options Analysis:
Current market volatility expectations are moderate (IV 26%), but bullish sentiment prevails. Note large funds selling far-month calls, suggesting limited upside potential.
This Week (until 11/14): Expected to trade narrowly between $260 - $275.
Next Week (until 11/21): The trading range widens to $255 - $280.
Key Support: $260. Puts are densely concentrated here; a break below could trigger accelerated selling.
Key Resistance: $275. This is the recent high and a call OI concentration zone; a breakout could test $280.
Options Strategy Reference:
Sell Put: $AAPL 20251114 260.0 PUT$
Rationale: $260 is strong support, high liquidity, win rate ≈84.51% (ITM probability 15.49%), premium ~$1.89-$2.02.
Stop-loss: Close position if stock price falls below $255.
Key News:
Amazon (AMZN) announced today that its Black Friday promotion week and Cyber Monday events will run from November 20th to December 1st, covering millions of discounted items.
The company also launched a two-day global promotion (Nov 10-11) celebrating the global expansion of its membership service, Amazon Haul.
Prime Video will offer 15 hours of exclusive live sports during Black Friday, viewable for free by non-members.
AWS recently signed a $3.8 billion GPU supply agreement with OpenAI, potentially further boosting cloud revenue expectations.
Options Analysis:
The market expects moderate volatility (IV 35%), with sentiment slightly bullish. Large funds selling puts indicates confidence the stock will hold key support.
This Week (until 11/14): Expected to trade narrowly between $240 - $250.
Next Week (until 11/21): The trading range widens to $235 - $255.
Key Support: $240. Puts are densely concentrated here, forming a recognized strong "floor".
Key Resistance: $250. High concentration of call open interest acts as the main "ceiling" for gains.
Options Strategy Reference:
Sell Put: $AMZN 20251114 240.0 PUT$
Rationale: $240 is key support, high open interest, implied probability of loss 25.75%. Selling captures premium (current price ~$2.15).
Stop-loss trigger: If stock price breaks below $235.
Key News:
Meta was reported to derive ~10% of its 2024 revenue ($16B) from scam and prohibited ads; US and EU regulators have initiated investigations, facing potential massive fines.
Daiwa Securities lowered its price target from $900 to $800; current analyst average target is $843.05 (FactSet).
Investing $72B capital expenditure to upgrade AI data centers; acquired Scale AI ($14.8B); developing custom chips.
Options Analysis:
The market expects noticeable volatility (IV 38%), with intense battle at key levels. Regulatory uncertainty creates pressure, but AI positives provide support.
This Week (until 11/14): Expected to fluctuate between $595 - $640.
Next Week (until 11/21): The trading range widens to $580 - $660; news flow could trigger large moves.
Key Support: $600. Puts are highly concentrated in the $580-$600 zone, forming a strong defense.
Key Resistance: $635. This is the dense pressure zone for recent call open interest.
Options Strategy Reference:
Sell Put: $META 20251114 600.0 PUT$
Logic: $600 is a recent strong support. Collecting premium in a state of potentially elevated IV. Win rate ≈81.18% (ITM probability 18.82%).
Stop-loss: Close position if stock price breaks below $590 (support level shifted down 3%).
$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$
Key News:
Analysis suggests PLTR, along with other AI concept stocks like Nvidia, is being targeted by major short sellers. Combined with OpenAI policy risks, this may lead to short-term pullback pressure. However, PLTR's application layer business is mature, and the long-term logic remains solid.
Options Analysis:
Current Implied Volatility is low, suggesting potential for increased price swings. Bulls and bears are fiercely contesting key price levels.
Short-term (until 11/14): Expected to fluctuate between $175 - $190, with potentially increasing volatility.
Next Week (until 11/21): The trading range widens to $170 - $195.
Key Support: $175 (recent low). A break below could test $170.
Key Resistance: $190 (recent high). A breakout is needed to open upside space.
Options Strategy Reference:
Sell Put: $PLTR 20251114 175.0 PUT$
Rationale: High liquidity, high probability stock price stays above strike. Low IV can enhance premium income.
Stop-loss: If stock price breaks below $170.
Key News:
None
Options Analysis:
The market expects sustained high volatility (IV 104%). Sentiment is neutral to slightly bullish, with some funds betting on an oversold bounce.
This Week (until 11/14): Expected to experience wide fluctuations between $95 - $115.
Next Week (until 11/21): The trading range widens to $90 - $120.
Key Support: $100. Puts are densely concentrated here, forming an important defense line; a break below could trigger panic selling.
Key Resistance: $115. This is the recent high; a breakout could challenge $120.
Options Strategy Reference:
Sell Put: $CRCL 20251114 100.0 PUT$
Rationale: High liquidity, ITM probability 30.74%, win rate ≈69.26%. Current stock price $103.14 provides a reasonable safety margin for this out-of-the-money put.
Stop-loss suggestion: Close position if stock price breaks below $95 (support level shifted down).
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