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11-13

$Dow Jones(.DJI)$ $S&P 500(.SPX)$ $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ πŸ”₯πŸ“ˆπŸŒ THE MARKET THAT REFUSES TO BREAK: 120 Years of Fear, Crisis, and Relentless New Highs πŸŒπŸ“ˆπŸ”₯

The Dow clearing 1,615 is not simply a milestone, it is a message. For more than a century, markets have absorbed every geopolitical shock and every so-called β€œend of the world” headline, only to emerge stronger on the other side. The updated Chart of Fears captures this with clinical clarity. From the Panic of 1906 to COVID and the current geopolitical environment, the pattern remains unchanged. Fear dominates the moment, compounding dominates history.

Study the sequence.

Panic of 1906 is followed by a melt-up.

Spanish Flu precedes the Roaring Twenties.

World wars and the Great Depression appear catastrophic in real time, yet the index multiplies more than one hundred fold over the following decades.

Pearl Harbor, Cuban Missile Crisis, oil embargoes, assassinations, inflation shocks, Chernobyl, Black Monday, the Tech Bubble, GFC, COVID, Ukraine. Each event fuelled anxiety. Each correction became the foundation for the next ascent.

This chart is more than a retrospective timeline. It is a behavioural blueprint. Markets consistently reward those who remain disciplined while the headlines insist collapse is imminent. Every crisis plotted on that line was the moment investors believed the narrative had permanently shifted. Every crisis was also the gateway to the next leg higher.

That brings us to today. Trump has signed the bill to end the government shutdown, removing a major fiscal overhang at a moment when risk appetite was already turning. Markets do not require euphoria. They require clarity, stability, and visibility into forward earnings. The shutdown resolution brings exactly that. Reduced policy uncertainty tightens earnings dispersion, strengthens liquidity expectations, and reinforces the structural drivers behind the rally.

The question has never been whether headlines feel unprecedented. They always do. The real question is whether earnings power, innovation cycles, demographic tailwinds, and capital investment remain intact. The answer is yes, and the Chart of Fears shows precisely what that combination produces over long horizons.

This is a market that has spent more than a century laughing in the face of apocalypse narratives. The right side of the chart is not an anomaly. It is the natural outcome of human progress meeting disciplined capital. The next decade will belong to those who recognise that uncertainty is not a stop sign. It is the entry ticket.

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Trade like a boss! Happy trading ahead, Cheers, BC πŸ“ˆπŸš€πŸ€πŸ€πŸ€

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Comments

  • Tui Jude
    11-14
    Tui Jude
    Seeing the Dow at 47668 after clearing 1,615 reinforces how powerful long term compounding really is. I’m thinking about how major indices often break into new price discovery when fear driven narratives fade. That’s why the Chart of Fears resonated with me, every cycle looks overwhelming until the index prints a new high. I’m reviewing how TSLL reacts when the Dow enters expansion phases like this because it often mirrors broad risk appetite turning upward
  • Hen Solo
    11-14
    Hen Solo

    Great article, would you like to share it?

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