$NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ Probability Sc-To The Moon - Tiger Brokers Online Investing Community - To The Moon

$NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ Probability Scenarios for Next Week

Here are the three possible scenarios with probability estimates based on trend strength, EMA positioning, and price structure.

Scenario A — Rebound Begins Next Week

Probability: 55% (Most likely)

Price holds above 22,600, forming a bullish candle (hammer or engulfing).

Expected move:

➡️ Rebound → 23,500

➡️ Retest → 24,000

➡️ Potential breakout → 24,200+

Reason:

Trend extremely strong

EMAs rising

Pullback looks orderly

Scenario B — Deeper Pullback Before Rebound

Probability: 35%

Price dips to 21,900 – 22,200 (EMA20 / major support) before bouncing.

Expected move:

➡️ Strong bounce → 23,200

➡️ Gradual retest → 24,000

Reason:

Normal correction after a strong rally

Many buyers waiting at EMA20

Scenario C — Trend Weakens (Bearish)

Probability: 10%

Price breaks below 21,300.

Expected move:

➡️ Could extend down to 20,800 – 21,000

➡️ Uptrend becomes neutral

➡️ Requires time to rebuild momentum

Reason:

Would require heavy selling pressure

Not supported by the current candlestick behavior

EMAs still in strong bullish alignment

This is unlikely unless a major macro shock happens.

Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

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trend strength, EMA positioning, and price structure.</p>\n<p>&nbsp;Scenario A — Rebound Begins Next Week</p>\n<p>Probability: 55% (Most likely)</p>\n<p>Price holds above 22,600, forming a bullish candle (hammer or engulfing).</p>\n<p>Expected move:</p>\n<p>➡️ Rebound → 23,500</p>\n<p>➡️ Retest → 24,000</p>\n<p>➡️ Potential breakout → 24,200+</p>\n<p>Reason:</p>\n<p>Trend extremely strong</p>\n<p>EMAs rising</p>\n<p>Pullback looks orderly</p>\n<p><br></p>\n<p>Scenario B — Deeper Pullback Before Rebound</p>\n<p>Probability: 35%</p>\n<p>Price dips to 21,900 – 22,200 (EMA20 / major support) before bouncing.</p>\n<p>Expected move:</p>\n<p>➡️ Strong bounce → 23,200</p>\n<p>➡️ Gradual retest → 24,000</p>\n<p>Reason:</p>\n<p>Normal correction after a strong rally</p>\n<p>Many buyers waiting at EMA20</p>\n<p><br></p>\n<p>Scenario C — Trend Weakens (Bearish)</p>\n<p>Probability: 10%</p>\n<p>Price breaks below 21,300.</p>\n<p>Expected move:</p>\n<p>➡️ Could extend down to 20,800 – 21,000</p>\n<p>➡️ Uptrend becomes neutral</p>\n<p>➡️ Requires time to rebuild momentum</p>\n<p>Reason:</p>\n<p>Would require heavy selling pressure</p>\n<p>Not supported by the current candlestick behavior</p>\n<p>EMAs still in strong bullish alignment</p>\n<p>This is unlikely unless a major macro shock happens.</p><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e92f8f015d4e724d8a767324e4a59854\" tg-width=\"968\" tg-height=\"2232\"></body></html>","htmlText":"<html><head></head><body><p><a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/.IXIC\">$NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ </a> Probability Scenarios for Next Week</p>\n<p>Here are the three possible scenarios with probability estimates based on trend strength, EMA positioning, and price structure.</p>\n<p>&nbsp;Scenario A — Rebound Begins Next Week</p>\n<p>Probability: 55% (Most likely)</p>\n<p>Price holds above 22,600, forming a bullish candle (hammer or engulfing).</p>\n<p>Expected move:</p>\n<p>➡️ Rebound → 23,500</p>\n<p>➡️ Retest → 24,000</p>\n<p>➡️ Potential breakout → 24,200+</p>\n<p>Reason:</p>\n<p>Trend extremely strong</p>\n<p>EMAs rising</p>\n<p>Pullback looks orderly</p>\n<p><br></p>\n<p>Scenario B — Deeper Pullback Before Rebound</p>\n<p>Probability: 35%</p>\n<p>Price dips to 21,900 – 22,200 (EMA20 / major support) before bouncing.</p>\n<p>Expected move:</p>\n<p>➡️ Strong bounce → 23,200</p>\n<p>➡️ Gradual retest → 24,000</p>\n<p>Reason:</p>\n<p>Normal correction after a strong rally</p>\n<p>Many buyers waiting at EMA20</p>\n<p><br></p>\n<p>Scenario C — Trend Weakens (Bearish)</p>\n<p>Probability: 10%</p>\n<p>Price breaks below 21,300.</p>\n<p>Expected move:</p>\n<p>➡️ Could extend down to 20,800 – 21,000</p>\n<p>➡️ Uptrend becomes neutral</p>\n<p>➡️ Requires time to rebuild momentum</p>\n<p>Reason:</p>\n<p>Would require heavy selling pressure</p>\n<p>Not supported by the current candlestick behavior</p>\n<p>EMAs still in strong bullish alignment</p>\n<p>This is unlikely unless a major macro shock happens.</p><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e92f8f015d4e724d8a767324e4a59854\" tg-width=\"968\" tg-height=\"2232\"></body></html>","text":"$NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ Probability Scenarios for Next Week Here are the three possible scenarios with probability estimates based on trend strength, EMA positioning, and price structure. Scenario A — Rebound Begins Next Week Probability: 55% (Most likely) Price holds above 22,600, forming a bullish candle (hammer or engulfing). Expected move: ➡️ Rebound → 23,500 ➡️ Retest → 24,000 ➡️ Potential breakout → 24,200+ Reason: Trend extremely strong EMAs rising Pullback looks orderly Scenario B — Deeper Pullback Before Rebound Probability: 35% Price dips to 21,900 – 22,200 (EMA20 / major support) before bouncing. Expected move: ➡️ Strong bounce → 23,200 ➡️ Gradual retest → 24,000 Reason: Normal correction after a strong rally Many buyers waiting at EMA20 Scenario C — Trend Weakens (Bearish) Probability: 10% Price breaks below 21,300. 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