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2025-11-20

$Strategy(MSTR)$ $Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$ $CME Bitcoin - main 2511(BTCmain)$ πŸ“‰ 🩸 BTC just got brutally smashed off the channel top and never reclaimed the 0.618 fib or higher structure. Momentum flipped hard and I’m watching that double bottom at 89,100 because it is the last real demand zone before liquidity thins out. Dominance is bleeding, flow rotating out as the 20 week SMA rejects, the 50 week stays flat, and the 100 week weakens. Volatility looks ready to spike. 

$COIN 4hr chart ~ channel still working ~ $241, $244, $250 

Unusual for BTC to roll over before IWM breaks out to all time highs, so I’m tracking small cap strength closely!

πŸŸ πŸ“‰πŸ…—πŸ…πŸ…ŸπŸ…ŸπŸ…¨ β“‰β“‘β“β““β“˜β“β“– πŸ…πŸ…—πŸ…”πŸ…πŸ…“! πŸ…’πŸ…—πŸ…”πŸ…”πŸ…‘πŸ…’ πŸ…‘πŸ…’ πŸ€πŸ€πŸ€ 🟧

Modified in.2025-11-20
Bitcoin Reclaims $90,000! A Christmas Breakout or Another Consolidation?
Bitcoin is pushing toward the $90,000 level, while US-listed crypto-related equities traded higher in overnight sessions, with BMNR rising nearly 3% and names like MicroStrategy and Hut 8 gaining over 1%. Do you prefer direct Bitcoin exposure or crypto-related equities when prices approach major levels? At this stage, are you preparing for a breakout scenario or a period of consolidation?
Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

Comments

  • Cool Cat Winston
    2025-11-20
    Cool Cat Winston
    πŸ”₯πŸ“Š I’m lining your BTC levels up with COIN’s 4hr structure because the correlation is tightening again. COIN is still respecting its channel and the 241, 244 and 250 levels map cleanly against the 89,100 demand zone you flagged. If BTC loses that base the COIN channel probably unwinds fast, but if it holds the rotation flips back into momentum.
    • Barcode:Β 
      CCW I like how you have mapped COIN’s 4hr channel to the BTC 89,100 zone. If COIN keeps respecting 241, 244 and 250 while BTC defends that base, it reinforces the idea this is rotation and not full risk off. I am watching those levels as a real time confirmation.
    • Barcode:Β 
      πŸ™πŸΌ Grateful as always CCW, your perspective sharpens the analysis every time.
  • Queengirlypops
    2025-11-20
    Queengirlypops
    this whole sequence is nuts. btc nukes then bounces like it never left. mstr hits that brutal low then snaps back with real momentum. coin holding the kijun is such a sneaky power signal. vibes flipped fast and it feels like traders were way offside. crazy setup with wild momentum and clean structure. love this rotation right now πŸ§ƒ
    • Barcode:Β 
      Q your read on flow flipping was spot on. The speed of rotation into risk alternatives is exactly what I am watching as volatility builds.
    • Barcode:Β 
      πŸ™πŸΌ Thanks Q, your energy always lifts the conversation and brings traders into the moment.
  • Hen Solo
    2025-11-20
    Hen Solo
    That 20 week SMA rejection is textbook trend fatigue and I’m treating 89,100 exactly the same way you are, as the last clean structure left. The flattening 50 week and softening 100 week remind me of the breakdown we saw before the last COIN volatility spike.
    • Barcode:Β 
      πŸ™πŸΌ Appreciate your time HS, you have a rare ability to connect fundamentals and flow.
    • Barcode:Β 
      HS I agree the SMA stack is the real warning sign. Trend fatigue at those timeframes often precedes deeper liquidity shifts and COIN behaved exactly as you noted.
  • Tui Jude
    2025-11-20
    Tui Jude
    I agree that the small cap signal is huge here. The way IWM is still pressing against resistance while BTC fades suggests rotation into higher beta names. I’m also tracking how NVDA flow is cooling which usually marks a volatility pivot across crypto and equities at the same time.
    • Barcode:Β 
      TJ your read on NVDA flow cooling is sharp. Cross asset volatility often clusters at these inflection points and the BTC structure supports that.
    • Barcode:Β 
      πŸ™πŸΌ Always appreciate your feedback TJ, you’ve got a brilliant read on sentiment and structure.
  • PetS
    2025-11-20
    PetS
    Your dominance read is spot on. When dominance bleeds this fast while BTC loses channel structure it usually means capital is preparing for a broader rotation phase. I’m comparing this setup with how MSTR reacted the last time the 20 week SMA turned negative.
    • Barcode:Β 
      PetS your MSTR comparison is well observed. Dominance bleed plus weakening weekly structure often leads to that same reflexive move you mentioned.
    • Barcode:Β 
      πŸ™πŸΌ Thanks for joining the discussion PetS, your analytical clarity always cuts through the noise.
  • Cool Cat Winston
    2025-11-20
    Cool Cat Winston

    Great article, would you like to share it?

    • Barcode:Β 
      πŸ™πŸΌ Thanks for checking out my post CCW, it’s traders like you that make the journey worth it!
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