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2025-11-20

$Strategy(MSTR)$ $Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$ $CME Bitcoin - main 2511(BTCmain)$ 📉 🩸 BTC just got brutally smashed off the channel top and never reclaimed the 0.618 fib or higher structure. Momentum flipped hard and I’m watching that double bottom at 89,100 because it is the last real demand zone before liquidity thins out. Dominance is bleeding, flow rotating out as the 20 week SMA rejects, the 50 week stays flat, and the 100 week weakens. Volatility looks ready to spike. 

$COIN 4hr chart ~ channel still working ~ $241, $244, $250 

Unusual for BTC to roll over before IWM breaks out to all time highs, so I’m tracking small cap strength closely!

🟠📉🅗🅐🅟🅟🅨 Ⓣⓡⓐⓓⓘⓝⓖ 🅐🅗🅔🅐🅓! 🅒🅗🅔🅔🅡🅢 🅑🅒 🍀🍀🍀 🟧

Modified in.2025-11-20
Bitcoin Reclaims $90,000! A Christmas Breakout or Another Consolidation?
Bitcoin is pushing toward the $90,000 level, while US-listed crypto-related equities traded higher in overnight sessions, with BMNR rising nearly 3% and names like MicroStrategy and Hut 8 gaining over 1%. Do you prefer direct Bitcoin exposure or crypto-related equities when prices approach major levels? At this stage, are you preparing for a breakout scenario or a period of consolidation?
Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

Comments

  • Cool Cat Winston
    2025-11-20
    Cool Cat Winston
    🔥📊我将您的BTC水平与COIN的4小时结构进行了比较，因为相关性再次收紧。COIN仍然尊重其通道，241、244和250水平与您标记的89,100需求区域完全吻合。如果BTC失去了这个基础，硬币通道可能会迅速展开，但如果它保持不变，旋转就会恢复势头。
    • Barcode: 
      CCW我喜欢你将COIN的4小时通道映射到BTC 89,100区域的方式。如果COIN继续尊重241、244和250，而BTC捍卫这一基础，这就强化了这是轮换而不是完全风险退出的观点。我正在观察这些水平作为实时确认。
    • Barcode: 
      🙏🏼一如既往地感谢CCW，你的观点每次都使分析更加尖锐。
  • Queengirlypops
    2025-11-20
    Queengirlypops
    this whole sequence is nuts. btc nukes then bounces like it never left. mstr hits that brutal low then snaps back with real momentum. coin holding the kijun is such a sneaky power signal. vibes flipped fast and it feels like traders were way offside. crazy setup with wild momentum and clean structure. love this rotation right now 🧃
    • Barcode: 
      Q your read on flow flipping was spot on. The speed of rotation into risk alternatives is exactly what I am watching as volatility builds.
    • Barcode: 
      🙏🏼 Thanks Q, your energy always lifts the conversation and brings traders into the moment.
  • Hen Solo
    2025-11-20
    Hen Solo
    That 20 week SMA rejection is textbook trend fatigue and I’m treating 89,100 exactly the same way you are, as the last clean structure left. The flattening 50 week and softening 100 week remind me of the breakdown we saw before the last COIN volatility spike.
    • Barcode: 
      🙏🏼 Appreciate your time HS, you have a rare ability to connect fundamentals and flow.
    • Barcode: 
      HS I agree the SMA stack is the real warning sign. Trend fatigue at those timeframes often precedes deeper liquidity shifts and COIN behaved exactly as you noted.
  • Tui Jude
    2025-11-20
    Tui Jude
    I agree that the small cap signal is huge here. The way IWM is still pressing against resistance while BTC fades suggests rotation into higher beta names. I’m also tracking how NVDA flow is cooling which usually marks a volatility pivot across crypto and equities at the same time.
    • Barcode: 
      TJ your read on NVDA flow cooling is sharp. Cross asset volatility often clusters at these inflection points and the BTC structure supports that.
    • Barcode: 
      🙏🏼 Always appreciate your feedback TJ, you’ve got a brilliant read on sentiment and structure.
  • PetS
    2025-11-20
    PetS
    Your dominance read is spot on. When dominance bleeds this fast while BTC loses channel structure it usually means capital is preparing for a broader rotation phase. I’m comparing this setup with how MSTR reacted the last time the 20 week SMA turned negative.
    • Barcode: 
      PetS your MSTR comparison is well observed. Dominance bleed plus weakening weekly structure often leads to that same reflexive move you mentioned.
    • Barcode: 
      🙏🏼 Thanks for joining the discussion PetS, your analytical clarity always cuts through the noise.
  • Cool Cat Winston
    2025-11-20
    Cool Cat Winston

    Great article, would you like to share it?

    • Barcode: 
      🙏🏼 Thanks for checking out my post CCW, it’s traders like you that make the journey worth it!
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