U.S. November employment data released on Tuesday showed the unemployment rate unexpectedly rising to 4.6%. While still relatively low by historical standards, it marks the highest level since early 2021. Data from the University of Michigan indicate that as of November, most consumers expect unemployment to continue rising over the next year.According to Morgan Stanley, if this week’s U.S. labor data show moderate softness, it could increase the probability of further Federal Reserve rate cuts, which would be supportive for equities. “We are firmly back in the ‘good news is bad news, bad news is good news’ regime,” Wilson wrote in a note. He explained that while a strong labor market is positive for the economy, it reduces the likelihood of rate cuts in 2026.Against the backdrop of softer
BTCmain (CME Bitcoin - main 2602)
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$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$
$Strategy(MSTR)$ $CME Bitcoin - main 2602(BTCmain)$
$Strategy(MSTR)$ $CME Bitcoin - main 2602(BTCmain)$ $Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$ 📉📉📉 $MSTR earnings due tomorrow and the real tell isn’t EPS, it’s dilution vs. BTC per share. BTC holdings +5.1% in Q4, but diluted shares +7.8%.. so a -2.5% drop in BTC/share. With $BTC below avg cost & short interest at 12%, this stays a high-beta, sentiment-driven trade ⚠️ $MSTR has lost nearly $100 Billion in market cap since July 2025 Down 74% in 6.5 months If Bitcoin goes to $65k, Strategy could see $75 😱 ⓗⓐⓟⓟⓨ ⓣⓡⓐⓓⓘⓝⓖ ⓐⓗⓔⓐⓓ! ⓒⓗⓔⓔⓡⓢ, ⓑⓒ🍀🍀🍀
Why We’re Trimming Longs in Silver ,Even Though It’s Still Bullish
Gold and silver gapped higher to fresh record highs, but the weekly time frame is sending mixed signals.Last week, precious metals continued their upward momentum, led by silver. At the start of this week, gold gapped sharply higher to a new all-time high, driven by escalating geopolitical tensions surrounding Greenland. Both fundamental (news-driven) and technical factors are currently supporting further upside. $Gold - main 2602(GCmain)$ From a timing perspective, the "ninth signal" on the weekly chart is notably more pronounced in silver’s price behavior. Historically, during the previous five occurrences of this signal—even when silver was firmly entrenched in a strong bullish trend—it still experienced some degree of correction or sideway
Why We’re Trimming Longs in Silver ,Even Though It’s Still Bullish
Bitcoin $250K Might See Longer Consolidation Phases Before Rapid Up
Bitcoin has recently broken above $91,000 and briefly tested ~$94,000 — a sign that bullish momentum persists in the short-term price action, but volatility remains pronounced (intraday swings of thousands of dollars). $CME Bitcoin - main 2601(BTCmain)$ In this article, we would like to make grounded analysis addressing the questions about bullish momentum, the $250K target, and likely timing. Is the Bullish Momentum Still Present? Short-term momentum: • A break above $90K–$94K can be interpreted as bullish in the near term, showing buyers are stepping in above key resistance zones. • However, the market has shown significant volatility, including notable sell-offs and range trades below prior all-time highs. Longer consolidation phases often
Bitcoin $250K Might See Longer Consolidation Phases Before Rapid Up
Bitcoin Next Move: Consolidation and Potential Breakout
Over the past week trading sessions, $CME Bitcoin - main 2601(BTCmain)$ Bitcoin has gained more than 2% to climb back above the $90,000 per BTC zone, a level not seen since we saw $84,000 around 22 Nov 2205, and Bitcoin have been trying to push for a renewed bullish momentum. It looks like the current sideways trading, primarily in the $85,000 to $95,000 range, is a natural period of market indecision where buying and selling pressures are temporarily balanced. Currently, Bitcoin continued to hover around $87,000, so is the current behavior gearing more towards a “Pump and Dump”, or we think that the current price behavior is far more consistent with a high-level consolidation following a prior impulse move than with a classic “pump and dump”
Bitcoin Next Move: Consolidation and Potential Breakout
Santa Rally in Doubt? Will BOJ Rate Hike Deepen Market Downturn?
Santa Rally in Doubt? Will BOJ Rate Hike Deepen Market Downturn?
Fed Moves May Be Fully Priced In: A Technical Arbitrage Study of Three Major Futures Contracts
As possibly the most critical week toward year-end, the Fed’s 25‑basis‑point rate cut this week is already common knowledge. This means the market now needs new information to trigger meaningful volatility. Some believe Chair Powell may announce a bond‑buying program, while others expect a highly dovish outlook at the press conference. However, given that Powell is set to step down in May next year, doing nothing may actually be the best option.From recent market behavior, even though monetary policy no longer dominates as it once did, investors still generally accept the logic that rate cuts equal easier financial conditions, which in turn are positive for markets. Following this line of reasoning, announcing Treasury purchases or signaling a more dovish path for next year would both be
Fed Moves May Be Fully Priced In: A Technical Arbitrage Study of Three Major Futures Contracts
TA Education 2｜How to Spot 2 Common Bearish Patterns?
Hello everyone! Today, we’ll be learning the second lesson of the TA Challenge, focusing on identifying two types of bear market patterns and providing relevant stock examples. You can click here to access yesterday’s lesson: 🎁TA Education｜Understand Market Signals! How to Spot $MSFT & $TSLA's Uptrend? and future lessons will continue to be published on the Tiger Chat account!Healthy DowntrendKey Characteristics of a Healthy Downtrend:Price forms lower lows and lower highs: Each bounce is weaker than the last, confirming sellers are in control.Volume expands on downswings: Red volume bars increase as selling pressure intensifies.Volume contracts on relief rallies: Temporary upward moves happen on weak volume, showin
TA Education 2｜How to Spot 2 Common Bearish Patterns?
$SPDR Gold Shares(GLD)$ $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ $CME Bitcoin - main 2511(BTCmain)$ 📊🟡📈 Gold Positioning Quietly Turns Constructive Decades of navigating Wall Street cycles taught me one principle that never fails. The most profitable rotations whisper before they roar. Gold is doing exactly that. While the crowd remains glued to $BTC and $NVDA, the options market is signalling a far more interesting shift beneath the surface. The GC futures chain is showing a clean, supportive build. Positive GEX is stacking across the mid to upper strikes, clustering near 4100 to 4150, while a reinforced put wall sits just under 4000. That structure has always been a classic footprin
$Strategy(MSTR)$ $Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$ $CME Bitcoin - main 2511(BTCmain)$ 📉 🩸 BTC just got brutally smashed off the channel top and never reclaimed the 0.618 fib or higher structure. Momentum flipped hard and I’m watching that double bottom at 89,100 because it is the last real demand zone before liquidity thins out. Dominance is bleeding, flow rotating out as the 20 week SMA rejects, the 50 week stays flat, and the 100 week weakens. Volatility looks ready to spike. $COIN 4hr chart ~ channel still working ~ $241, $244, $250 Unusual for BTC to roll over before IWM breaks out to all time highs, so I’m tracking small cap strength closely! 🟠📉
$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$ $CME Bitcoin - main 2511(BTCmain)$ $Strategy(MSTR)$ ⚡🔥 COIN Breakdown Ignites Fibonacci Freefall Risk 🔥⚡ I am tracking a clean trend break as $COIN loses the $295 support on the 4H chart. That breach confirms structural weakness and shifts the entire momentum profile. The failed $286.20 defence has exposed a low volume Fibonacci void at $270.70, and a floor break activates the deeper $254 Fibonacci magnet that aligns with prior volatility pivots. This is exactly where trend structure and liquidity geometry collide. 📉 BTC is amplifying the stress across the crypto correlation network. Bitcoin is down 3% to $96422 and heading for
1-Year Anniversary of Trump 2.0: One Word to Sum Up Would Be?
This week marks the one-year anniversary of Trump’s re-election — so what has happened in the markets since then?After Trump’s victory last year, $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ surged 70% and $CME Bitcoin - main 2511(BTCmain)$ broke above $100,000.But one year later, $S&P 500(.SPX)$ is up only 0.13% year-to-date, Bitcoin has fallen below $100,000, returning to where it started, and Tesla, during the Musk-Trump crisis mid-year once has retraced to gap-up level last year.Meanwhile, US stocks have broadly underperformed compared to other markets, and Trump’s public approval rating has also fallen sharply.Since Trump’s second presidential win, benchmark indices in Chi
1-Year Anniversary of Trump 2.0: One Word to Sum Up Would Be?
📉🔥💰 Bitcoin’s $100K Fault Line Cracks as Wall Street’s AI Darlings Unravel 💰🔥📉
$S&P 500(.SPX)$ $CME Bitcoin - main 2511(BTCmain)$ $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ 📅 04Nov25 ET / 05Nov25 NZT 🇳🇿 📉 When Conviction Turns to Complacency Every cycle ends the same way. I’ve watched it unfold through the dot-com mania, the credit bubble, and now the AI and crypto boom. Momentum blinds precision. Greed outruns liquidity. Then the same market that rewarded excess suddenly punishes hesitation. Bitcoin’s record ETF inflows gave investors a false sense of structural legitimacy. Instead, it became a perfect barometer for sentiment excess. After months of institutional accumulation and retail FOMO, Bitcoin has surrendered roughly 20 percent from its highs, probing
📉🔥💰 Bitcoin’s $100K Fault Line Cracks as Wall Street’s AI Darlings Unravel 💰🔥📉
October Turns to be Uptober! What’s Your Game Plan for Final 2 Months?
October wrapped up with fireworks! $S&P 500(.SPX)$ +2%, $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ +4%, and $Straits Times Index(STI.SI)$ surged +2.99%! Even $XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$ ,after pullback, still ended the month up +4%.So much for the “October curse” turns out it was Uptober! 🚀The Magnificent 7 totally delivered:💥 $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ , $Apple(AAPL)$ , $Alphabet(GOOG)$ , $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ hit new highs📈 $Microsoft(MSFT)$<
October Turns to be Uptober! What’s Your Game Plan for Final 2 Months?
$Strive(ASST)$ $Strategy(MSTR)$ $CME Bitcoin - main 2510(BTCmain)$🚀💎 $ASST – Pattern, Patience, Payoff 💎🚀 I’m still waiting for that clean $1.81 breakout. Price is coiled tight, momentum cooling at the Keltner midline after the $0.78 surge. If we dip into $1.20, I’m adding; that’s where liquidity reloads before the next drive. On the 1D chart, the deep-crab harmonic projects to $30–$35; structure’s perfect, symmetry intact, and every pivot aligns with Fibonacci geometry. This isn’t guesswork; it’s precision. Michael Saylor says $ASST will hit $100 B. Some still think a squeeze above $50’s impossible? The chart already disagrees. CEO Matt Cole’s live on Bloom
$HIVE Digital Technologies Ltd(HIVE)$ $CME Bitcoin - main 2510(BTCmain)$ $Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$ 🐝🔥💰 $HIVE: Institutional Surge Meets Perfect Swing Execution! 💰🔥🐝 I’m locking in a quick +5.07% gain on my $HIVE swing after today’s clean technical breakout. Entry filled at $5.91, and the setup couldn’t have aligned better. Volume spiked, trendline support held, and the clean break through descending resistance ignited bullish momentum. 🏦 Institutional Tailwind Morgan Stanley’s latest 13F filing showed a 146.3 percent increase in its $HIVE position, adding 1,557,259 shares as of August 2025. Citadel Advisors remains the largest holder with about 3.5 milli
$Bitfarms Ltd.(BITF)$ $CME Bitcoin - main 2510(BTCmain)$ $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ Still riding the wave 🌊 holding in there for higher 🎯 ty BC! @Barcode
$Bitfarms Ltd.(BITF)$ $Riot Platforms(RIOT)$ $CME Bitcoin - main 2510(BTCmain)$ 🚀💰🔥 Bitcoin Miners >>> Bitcoin – The Leverage Engine of the Crypto Cycle 🔥💰🚀 The data doesn’t lie; Bitcoin miners are crushing it. Bloomberg’s chart shows the CoinShares Valkyrie Bitcoin Miners ETF up nearly 200% since January 2025, while Bitcoin itself has barely moved. That’s not luck; it’s leverage. When BTC edges higher, miner margins explode because every $1,000 uptick in Bitcoin lifts profit potential exponentially. Bitcoin currently trades at $108,521, pressing against key resistance at $109,542 and $113,760. A decisive close above $113,760 could ignite a surge to
📊 The Setups: Volatility, Gold, Breadth & My Playbook
$S&P 500(.SPX)$ $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ $CME Bitcoin - main 2510(BTCmain)$ I’m layering technicals with flows because isolated signals mislead, and the confluence here screams reversal. The S&P’s RSI dipped to 35 from 75, hugging the 50-day EMA at 5,850. A close above 5,900 triggers my buy for a run to 6,200 by December. Semiconductors (SOX index) formed a hammer at 4,800 support, with NVDA’s MACD crossover turning bullish. I’m watching $220 for entry, eyeing $280 on AI tailwinds. Flows confirm it. Hedge funds like Bridgewater added $2.3 billion to cyclicals pre-dip. BlackRock’s iShares semis ETF saw $500 million inflows last week. Analyst consensus is leanin
📊 The Setups: Volatility, Gold, Breadth & My Playbook