10 catalysts for SPY in Dec 2025 for target 700+ (possibly 710+)
1. 25–50 bp cut on Dec 10 (releasing dot plot)
→ $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ $Microsoft(MSFT)$ $JPMorgan Chase(JPM)$ $SoFi Technologies Inc.(SOFI)$
2. Decrease in November inflation (CPI) report
→ $Alphabet(GOOG)$ $Alphabet(GOOGL)$ $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ $Visa(V)$ $UnitedHealth(UNH)$
3. BITCOIN rally back towards $100,000+ and $120,000+
→ $Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$ $IREN Ltd(IREN)$ $Cipher Mining Inc.(CIFR)$ $Robinhood(HOOD)$
4.Weaker NFP or labor-market data
→ $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $Utilities Select Sector SPDR Fund(XLU)$ $iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF(TLT)$ $SPDR Gold ETF(GLD)$
5. Strong consumer spending for Black Friday / Cyber Monday
→ $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ $Wal-Mart(WMT)$ $McDonald's(MCD)$ $Nike(NKE)$
6. Earnings upside (especially tech / AI-heavy names)
→ $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ $Broadcom(AVGO)$ $Adobe(ADBE)$ $Micron Technology(MU)$
7. Renewed surge in AI capital spending
→ $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ $Salesforce.com(CRM)$ $Snowflake(SNOW)$ $Datadog(DDOG)$
8. Signs of housing-market stabilization or rebound
→ $Home Depot(HD)$ $Lowe's(LOW)$ $Opendoor Technologies Inc(OPEN)$ $Zillow(ZG)$
9. Reduction in global tariff tensions by Trump
→ $Caterpillar(CAT)$ $Boeing(BA)$ $FedEx(FDX)$ $General Motors(GM)$
10. FISCAL policy in 2026 is expansionary
→ $Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund(XLF)$ $Industrial Select Sector SPDR Fund(XLI)$ $AST SpaceMobile, Inc.(ASTS)$ $SEALSQ Corp(LAES)$
If these catalysts align like rate cut, soft inflation, solid consumer data, and strong earnings a rally toward SPY 700 (or higher) is 95% possible.
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