10 catalysts for SPY in Dec 2025 for target 700+

Michael Esther
11-30

10 catalysts for SPY in Dec 2025 for target 700+ (possibly 710+)

1. 25–50 bp cut on Dec 10 (releasing dot plot)

$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ $Microsoft(MSFT)$ $JPMorgan Chase(JPM)$ $SoFi Technologies Inc.(SOFI)$

2. Decrease in November inflation (CPI) report

$Alphabet(GOOG)$ $Alphabet(GOOGL)$ $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ $Visa(V)$ $UnitedHealth(UNH)$

3. BITCOIN rally back towards $100,000+ and $120,000+

$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$ $IREN Ltd(IREN)$ $Cipher Mining Inc.(CIFR)$ $Robinhood(HOOD)$

4.Weaker NFP or labor-market data

$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $Utilities Select Sector SPDR Fund(XLU)$ $iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF(TLT)$ $SPDR Gold ETF(GLD)$

5. Strong consumer spending for Black Friday / Cyber Monday

$Amazon.com(AMZN)$ $Wal-Mart(WMT)$ $McDonald's(MCD)$ $Nike(NKE)$

6. Earnings upside (especially tech / AI-heavy names)

$NVIDIA(NVDA)$ $Broadcom(AVGO)$ $Adobe(ADBE)$ $Micron Technology(MU)$

7. Renewed surge in AI capital spending

$Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ $Salesforce.com(CRM)$ $Snowflake(SNOW)$ $Datadog(DDOG)$

8. Signs of housing-market stabilization or rebound

$Home Depot(HD)$ $Lowe's(LOW)$ $Opendoor Technologies Inc(OPEN)$ $Zillow(ZG)$

9. Reduction in global tariff tensions by Trump

$Caterpillar(CAT)$ $Boeing(BA)$ $FedEx(FDX)$ $General Motors(GM)$

10. FISCAL policy in 2026 is expansionary

$Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund(XLF)$ $Industrial Select Sector SPDR Fund(XLI)$ $AST SpaceMobile, Inc.(ASTS)$ $SEALSQ Corp(LAES)$

If these catalysts align like rate cut, soft inflation, solid consumer data, and strong earnings a rally toward SPY 700 (or higher) is 95% possible.

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