THIS IS BAD: $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ just went GREEN ahead of the most important payrolls print in 2025.
As long as it can hold above 684 and 680 this week it should break 690 within 9 days. This chart confirms it (make sure to study it).
Stocks in Asia and Europe surged overnight.
US futures stayed firmly green.
Traders are now betting that a Fed rate cut could ignite a worldwide rally into year-end so a massive explosion is coming.
Europe’s Stoxx 600 rose 0.3%, with autos and industrials leading.
Asian markets hit their highest levels in two weeks, powered by Japanese heavyweights.
SPY is set for an eighth gain in 9 sessions.
But here’s the part nobody is highlighting.
Global bonds slumped again.
Japanese yields are now driving the entire world’s risk pricing.
Senior government officials signaled they won’t oppose a Bank of Japan rate hike this month.
One sentence shifted global sentiment.
The 10-year US Treasury yield quietly pushed to 4.08%.
The 30-year auction was strong, but it didn’t matter.
Rising Japanese rates are shaping the global bond market.
Bitcoin held above $93,000.
The Dollar stayed stable.
Investors rotated into defensive and value sectors while tech valuations remain a concern.
This is not noise.
This is positioning before a catalyst.
And yet the real story is deeper than the green numbers.
Sentiment is shifting.
The market is preparing for a world where a single Fed cut could change the entire trajectory of 2025.
You are watching a reset.
The assumptions of November do not apply anymore.
A new playbook is forming in real time.
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