SPY Eyes 690 as Global Bonds Reprice

Michael Esther
12-05 09:14

THIS IS BAD: $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ just went GREEN ahead of the most important payrolls print in 2025.

As long as it can hold above 684 and 680 this week it should break 690 within 9 days. This chart confirms it (make sure to study it).

Stocks in Asia and Europe surged overnight.

US futures stayed firmly green.

Traders are now betting that a Fed rate cut could ignite a worldwide rally into year-end so a massive explosion is coming.

Europe’s Stoxx 600 rose 0.3%, with autos and industrials leading.

Asian markets hit their highest levels in two weeks, powered by Japanese heavyweights.

SPY is set for an eighth gain in 9 sessions.

But here’s the part nobody is highlighting.

Global bonds slumped again.

Japanese yields are now driving the entire world’s risk pricing.

Senior government officials signaled they won’t oppose a Bank of Japan rate hike this month.

One sentence shifted global sentiment.

The 10-year US Treasury yield quietly pushed to 4.08%.

The 30-year auction was strong, but it didn’t matter.

Rising Japanese rates are shaping the global bond market.

Bitcoin held above $93,000.

The Dollar stayed stable.

Investors rotated into defensive and value sectors while tech valuations remain a concern.

This is not noise.

This is positioning before a catalyst.

And yet the real story is deeper than the green numbers.

Sentiment is shifting.

The market is preparing for a world where a single Fed cut could change the entire trajectory of 2025.

You are watching a reset.

The assumptions of November do not apply anymore.

A new playbook is forming in real time.


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