StickyRice
12-22
$NVIDIA(NVDA)$ NVDA's Q3 results show reaccelerating revenue growth, robust data center demand, and continued leadership in AI compute. Q4 guidance implies further NVDA top-line acceleration, gross margin expansion to 75%, and strong operating efficiency as well. Despite competition and China uncertainty, NVDA’s pipeline, demand, and forward P/E of 36.4 offer a compelling entry.
Nvidia Corporation offers a compelling long-term entry after a 14% pullback, with bullish sentiment and robust AI-driven growth. NVDA's data center revenue surged 66% YoY in FQ3 2026, with $500B in confirmed AI chip orders and strong partnerships fueling demand. Valuation has become attractive: NVDA's P/E dropped to 44, below its five-year average, implying 11–50% upside depending on scenario. NVDA risks include potential AI bubble, regulatory hurdles, and production bottlenecks, but technicals and sentiment support a rebound thesis. 
H200 China Sales Near Confirmation: Can Nvidia's Rally Last?
Plans to sell the H200 to the Chinese market are now largely confirmed. NVIDIA has informed Chinese clients that it plans to begin delivering H200 chips around mid-February 2026. Total shipments are expected to reach 5,000–10,000 module sets, equivalent to roughly 40,000–80,000 H200 chips. NVIDIA shares rose 3% yesterday. With H200 sales acting as a catalyst, can this rebound be sustained? At current levels, is NVIDIA undervalued or already overvalued?
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