$Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ Meta Platforms: Compelling Story With A Reasonable Valuation Meta Platforms is recommended as a buy due to its AI success, attractive valuation, clean balance sheet, and potential in VR technology. Recent earnings showed strong growth with a 22% revenue increase and 73% EPS growth, driven by effective cost management and AI investments. META's AI-driven advertising tools, like Advantage+, enhance advertiser returns and position Meta to capture more digital advertising spend. Despite risks from AI investments and Reality Labs losses, Meta's core business remains highly profitable, making it a compelling investment. Meta's AI initiatives are increasing user engagement and ad profitability, while maintaining
$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$ Nvidia: Reiterate Buy As Blackwell To Drive Growth Through Next Year Nvidia's TAM is projected at $2 trillion, with a conservative market cap estimate of $8T in 10 years, presenting limited downside risk for long-term shareholders. A bear case assumes 50% market share and 50% margin, while a bull case assumes 90% market share and 78% margin, leading to a $54T market cap in ten years. Key risks include a severe recession resetting client spend, loss of CEO Jensen Huang, and competition from AMD, Intel, and start-ups like Groq and Etched. Despite risks, Nvidia's strong moat and AI-driven chip advancements suggest a strong buy with huge upside potential and limited downside. Data center revenue grew 154% from the prio
$Micron Technology(MU)$ Micron: The Street Was Wrong, Full Steam Ahead Micron Technology, Inc. reported its fiscal Q4 earnings after the market closed on Wednesday. Consumer demand remains weak in NAND and DRAM markets, but enterprise and HBM show growth. While improvements in bit shipments are not uniform, the current upcycle remains intact. HBM will offset weakness until consumer demand recovers. The HBM market is expected to grow significantly, with Micron's HBM products projected to generate multiple billions in revenue by FY25. Micron plans $8.1 billion in CAPEX for FY25, focusing on greenfield fab construction and HBM investments to meet rising demand. Anticipate 50% revenue growth in FY25 and 30% in FY26
$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ Tesla: A Weak Hold Ahead Of The Robotaxi Event Tesla (TSLA) is currently preparing for its October 10 Robotaxi event, and investors’ eyes will be on what’s announced there. TSLA stock trades at a truly nosebleed valuation when using trailing earnings and growth rates, but if the company can really launch a fully autonomous global Robotaxi fleet, then it may start growing again. Tesla is trying to build truly autonomous EVs that can run anywhere in the world, including in cities that it has never been specifically trained on. Competing services like Google’s (GOOG) Waymo have taken a more conservative approach, launching robotaxis only in cities where they were rigorously pre-trained. This distinction makes the FSD
$Intel(INTC)$ Should Qualcomm Buy Intel? Intel Corporation is struggling with high costs, a weak balance sheet, and declining market share, making it a potential acquisition target for more profitable chip companies. Qualcomm Incorporated, with strong free cash flows and better management, could be interested in acquiring Intel, but the deal poses significant risks and complexities. A stock-for-stock deal would result in substantial dilution and lower earnings per share for Qualcomm, making the acquisition unattractive for QCOM shareholders. Regulatory hurdles are high, and the FTC is likely to oppose such a large deal in the semiconductor space, further reducing the likelihood of a successful acquisition. Re
Slashed. The Federal Reserve lowered its benchmark interest rate by half of a percentage point this afternoon, starting the next phase of the policy cycle with a bang. Officials are squarely focused on a slowing U.S. labor market, with inflation still too high but closing in on the central bank’s 2% annual target. The Federal Open Market Committee now has a new target range for the federal-funds rate of 4.75% to 5%, after holding rates steady since July 2023. Market pricing was all over the place in the week before the meeting, with odds shifting between quarter- and half-point reductions. The bigger move is an effort to front-load cuts and get ahead of further weakening in the jobs market. The median estimate in the latest so-called "dot plot" implies a fed-funds rate target range o
Nasdaq, S&P, Dow end higher after latest jobs report, but retreat on a weekly basis$Nasdaq100 Bull 3X ETF(TQQQ)$ Wall Street made solid gains on Friday, after the latest nonfarm payrolls report signaled cooling inflation and a U.S. economy that was powering ahead of others. The advance came despite the data also underscoring the Federal Reserve's wait-and-see approach to cutting interest rates. Fed speakers reacted with caution to the jobs print. The Nasdaq Composite gained 1.24% to end at 16,248.52 points. A rise in megacap stocks provided a boost to the tech-heavy index, with Netflix (NFLX) climbing more than 3% after Pivotal Research upped its price target on the streaming giant's stock to a Street high
Astera Labs: This Meme-Like Stock Is A Sell $Astera Labs, Inc.(ALAB)$ Astera Labs, Inc. provides building blocks for computer systems, but its financials reveal a less compelling picture. But investors should not extrapolate its financials too far. Astera Labs stock's valuation at 33x forward sales is unjustified, considering fluctuating revenue growth rates and uncertainty in profitability. Astera Labs, Inc., a supplier to AI-focused hyperscalers, has seen strong performance after it went public. The company offers semiconductor-based connectivity solutions for cloud and AI infrastructure. The biggest risk is the high valuation of the company, which is trading at around 50 times annualized sales. While Astera Labs operates in an attractive
Bitcoin: Potential Correction Despite ETFs And Halving Bitcoin reached a new all-time high of USD 73,794, marking a +91% increase in just seven weeks. The new demand from Bitcoin spot ETFs drove prices sharply upwards, but a potential correction is typical before and around the halving. Sentiment and seasonality indicators suggest a short-term pullback, but long-term bullishness remains with a potential price target of USD 100,000 and higher. Bitcoin (BTC-USD) is set to rise 8.8% on a weekly basis, as it recovered some lost ground and returned to the $70K mark over the week. The world's oldest digital currency, kicked off the week on a bullish note, as it hit $69.9K, and has since been roughly stable, after a volatile last week, which saw market participants grow more cautious ahead of the
$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ Tesla is in the spotlight ahead of highly-anticipated Q1 deliveries report Tesla (TSLA) will report Q1 deliveries sometime during the first few days of April in what could be a key turning point in the bull vs. bear debate. The shutdown of the electric vehicle maker's Model Y factory near Berlin over the last few weeks due to an arson attack, and soft demand in China during the Chinese New Year holiday are likely to have held back the overall deliveries tally. Sell-side sentiment has been bearish as of late, and the consensus deliveries expectation for the quarter has dropped all the way down to 425K from 494K just a few months ago. By comparison, Tesla delivered 484,507 vehicles in Q4 and delivered 422,875 a year
Reddit: Don't Buy The Hype $Reddit(RDDT)$ Reddit priced its shares at the top of the range for its IPO and saw a 48% increase in share price on its first day of trading. The social media platform is not profitable and has an unimpressive profitability picture. Reddit has not achieved a profit since 2005 when it was founded. Reddit's valuation is high with a price-to-revenue ratio of 7.6X and the valuation is likely chiefly driven by IPO hype. Reddit, Inc. shares have had a strong public debut, potentially making it a meme stock itself. The platform has a large and engaged user base, with 76 million daily active users participating in various communities. The company's valuation is reasonable based on its sales multiples, but it still faces r
One Quarter Down. $Nasdaq100 Bull 3X ETF(TQQQ)$ The Dow Jones Industrial Average and S&P 500 both finished a superlative first quarter at record highs ahead of the long weekend—stock and bond markets will be closed for Good Friday tomorrow. Both indexes are up in five of the past six quarters. The S&P 500, up 0.1% today, has gained 10.2% since the beginning of 2024—its best start to a year since 2019. That kind of early-year surge has historically been a sign of more good things to come. Since 1950, when the index gains 10% or more in the first quarter, it has finished the year higher 91% of the time and averaged a gain of 6.5% in the remainder of the year. The Nasdaq Composite slipped 0.1% today
Too Quiet. $Nasdaq100 Bull 3X ETF(TQQQ)$ The Nasdaq Composite marked another record close today, leaving behind the other two major indexes on the lowest volume day since November. The Nasdaq rose just 0.16% to build on Thursday's milestone, but a record high is a record high. The Dow Jones Industrial Average slid 0.8% and the S&P 500 fell 0.1%. With no major economic data and few earnings reports on the docket, trading was muted. Just 9.22 billion shares traded hands across the NYSE, Nasdaq, NYSE American and NYSE Arca exchanges, which is the lowest total composite volume since Nov. 27, according to Dow Jones Market Data. Just 120 S&P 500 components rose on the day, though gains for megacaps
$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$ Here's How Trading Nvidia Stock Heading Into GTC 2024 Nvidia Corporation stock has seen significant growth due to high demand for its AI chips, which remain supply constrained. Although concerns over the sustainability of Nvidia's valuation and growth expectations have recently increase, industry capex allocation to AI-related infrastructure remains on the rise within the foreseeable future. Nvidia remains well-positioned for further fundamental outperformance, which is supportive of a similar extent of valuation multiple expansion as previously observed leading up to its next earnings release. Nvidia's FY4Q24 results continued to exceed expectations, with its datacenter business once again beating all expectations
$Microsoft(MSFT)$ Microsoft: Strong Financials, Bright Outlook And Solid Upside Potential, Buy Microsoft Corporation is a successful tech company with strong financial performance and a diverse range of products. The technical analysis shows that the stock is in a strong upward trend and the bulls are still in control. Microsoft's financial performance has been impressive, with consistently increasing revenues and profits, and it is projected to continue growing in the future. Microsoft reported strong financial performance in FQ2, with revenue growth and improved operating leverage, powered by strong momentum in cloud business. The strategic partnership with OpenAI positions Microsoft at the forefront of the generative AI revolution,
In Harmony ... For Now. $Nasdaq100 Bull 3X ETF(TQQQ)$ Just like that, stocks have had two consecutive weeks of declines. The S&P 500 fell 0.6% today, giving it a weekly loss of 0.1%. The Nasdaq Composite fell 1% on the day and finished the week down 0.7%. After a sustained stretch of gains, the lagging performance has investors on edge. Inflation is a renewed worry, sending bond yields gradually higher. Yields on the 2 and 10-year Treasuries rose every day this week, settling Friday at 4.721% and 4.303%, respectively. Both levels are down from their October peaks, but they're a full percentage point higher than they were last spring, when investors were still worried about recession.
$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ Tesla: Don't Let The Near-Term Challenges Dictate The Future Tesla's stock price has declined significantly in recent months, losing over half of its market cap since its peak. Weak quarterly results and tempered growth outlook for 2024 are the main factors behind the stock price decline. Tesla's Q4 2023 gross margin experienced a severe YoY decline, but it's starting to show some signs of bottoming out. I'm bullish on Tesla's long-term growth prospects due to its leadership in the EV and cleaner energy sectors, with additional potential upside from projects like robotics. Today's Tesla price challenges present a prime opportunity for a long-term position, potentially yielding over 10% annually by 2030, even at cu
$Sea Ltd(SE)$ Sea Limited Q4 Review: Uncertain But Exciting Times Ahead Sea announced Q4 2023 earnings with revenue up just 5% year-over-year. But under the surface much more strength could be seen. Garena's revenue declined by 46%, but bookings show signs of stabilization and management guided for double-digit growth for Free Fire. Shopee's revenue grew by 23% YoY, with investments in sales and marketing paying off in market share gains. While many investors feared TikTok, the numbers show that Shopee beats TikTok on its own turf. Sea Limited's Q4 2023 earnings report showed strong revenue growth in Shopee and SeaMoney, with signs of stabilization within Garena [with Free Fire emerging as 2023's most downloaded mobile game]. Despite it
Nvidia: Supply Growth Not Keeping Pace With Demand$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$ Recent developments in the technology sector suggest that the AI revolution is at an early innings of growth. NVIDIA dominates the market of AI chips and invests vast amounts in R&D to protect its technological edge. Despite a significant rally in stock price, NVIDIA is still attractively valued with a potential upside of 34%. NVIDIA Corporation's data center segment continues to be the company's revenue driver, with revenue totaling $18.4 billion in Q4 2024. The company faces risks related to supply shortages, competition from big tech companies making their own chips, and new chips from competitors like AMD. Revenue from the Chinese market in the data center se