In my opinion 3 of these scena

In my opinion 3 of these scenarios, viz. Gold breaking above $5,000, U.S. equities hitting new highs & Repeated Fed policy reversals, are base-case forecasts - at least looking at the ssituation prevailing now.

And the other 2, viz. Al bubble bursting & above all "nothing happens" are ideally black-swan eventualities. While these may happen, their impact will be as serious.

2026: Will “Nothing Happen,” or Will Everything Be Repriced?

Deutsche Bank macro strategist Jim Reid recently put forward a highly counterintuitive view: after years of shocks—from the pandemic and surging inflation to abrupt policy pivots—the most surprising outcome ahead might actually be no surprises at all. Which scenario do you think is most likely to actually happen in 2026? An AI bubble bursting Gold breaking above $5,000 U.S. equities hitting new highs Repeated Fed policy reversals Or… “nothing happens”

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