This is the moment many IPOs fail to reach.
Astera Labs has crossed from “AI promise” into **real, GAAP-profitable execution** — and the inflection is now confirmed.
ALAB sits at the center of hyperscaler AI clusters, supplying the **connectivity backbone** (retimers, switches, modules) that makes large-scale AI compute actually work.
📈 Inflection status: CONFIRMED POSITIVE
Profitability, cash flow, and scale efficiency have all flipped.
Atomic evidence:
• Q3’25 revenue $230.6M, +104% YoY
• GAAP net income $91.1M vs loss last year
• Diluted EPS $0.50 vs $(0.05)
• YTD operating cash flow $224M
• Gross margin ~76% while scaling hardware
• R&D intensity fell to 34% from 45%
This is no longer a venture-style story.
ALAB is now operating as a **profitable AI infrastructure utility**, with massive operating leverage.
💰 Valuation context:
• Revenue run-rate nearing $1B annualized
• Op income swung to +$55M from a loss
• $1.1B+ cash provides strategic flexibility
⚠️ Key risks to monitor:
• Top 3 customers = ~74% of revenue
• Gross margin must stay above ~75%
• Export controls remain a friction point
🧠 Verdict: Buy.
The profitability inflection validates ALAB’s role as critical AI plumbing — not optional hardware.
🤖 AI-assisted analysis
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