The market still fears GLP-1 drugs will kill sleep apnea demand. The numbers say otherwise.
ResMed is showing a **confirmed positive inflection**, driven by margin expansion and earnings leverage — not hype.
📈 Inflection status: CONFIRMED POSITIVE
Margins and earnings are accelerating faster than revenue.
Atomic evidence:
• Revenue +9% YoY to $1.34B (Q1 FY26)
• Net income +12% YoY to $348.5M → clear operating leverage
• Gross margin expanded to 59.4% (+80bps YoY)
• Core Sleep & Breathing revenue +10% YoY ($1.17B)
• Dividend raised 13% YoY to $0.60
This directly contradicts the “terminal decline from GLP-1” narrative.
💰 Balance sheet strength:
• Cash $1.38B vs debt $668M → net cash optionality
• Efficiency gains not yet fully priced into valuation
⚠️ Bottleneck to watch:
• Residential Care SaaS growth slowed to +6% YoY
🎯 Kill-switch risks:
• Gross margin <57%
• Adverse litigation outcome
• Core sleep growth <5%
🧠 Verdict: Buy (6–12m).
This is a classic profitability inflection hiding behind sentiment noise.
🤖 AI-assisted analysis
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