Wall Street just wrapped a rough session, dipping lower with the Nasdaq taking the biggest hit at 1% down, dragging the S&P 500 by 0.5% and the Dow barely slipping 0.1%. Tech giants stumbled amid valuation worries and fresh regulatory jabs, while banks like Wells Fargo (down 4.6%), Bank of America, and Citigroup extended losses after mixed earnings β profits surged on trading activity, but missed forecasts fueled concerns over Trump's proposed credit-card rate caps. Defensive sectors like staples and energy bucked the trend with gains, hinting at investor shifts to safety. Broader indexes show the Nasdaq 100 nearly erasing yearly gains, underscoring volatility as algorithms react to Washington headlines. Energy prices jumped, pushing producer prices up 0.2% in November (annual 3%), while core measures hit 3.5% β the hottest since March. This sticky inflation signals the Fed might hold rates steady, adding pressure on growth-sensitive plays.
Meanwhile, consumer spending powered ahead with retail sales climbing 0.6% in November (beating 0.4% estimates), led by autos, sporting goods, and clothing β a resilient economy flexing despite shutdown delays in data. Core sales rose 0.4%, aligning with strong Q4 GDP vibes, but wholesalers are absorbing tariff hits, potentially passing costs soon. ππ
The Supreme Court skipped a verdict on Trump's global tariffs under IEEPA, leaving businesses in limbo β lower courts already deemed them illegal, and a ruling could trigger refunds or chaos in freight volumes post-Lunar New Year. Trump warned of a "complete mess" if struck down, with justices skeptical at November hearings. This uncertainty keeps trade-sensitive sectors on edge, especially as refunds might cover all IEEPA levies if ruled invalid. Logistics pros eye boosts in China-US orders if duties fall, but for now, it's watch-and-wait mode.
Trump's executive order on critical minerals deferred tariffs on rare earths, lithium, and more, opting for negotiations with allies to secure supplies and cut foreign dependency β a nod to processing vulnerabilities. This sent rare earth stocks soaring against the market dip, with the sector index up 7.78%. Domestic miners get a policy push via faster approvals, targeting self-reliance in uranium, copper, gold, and beyond. πβοΈ A 180-day deadline for binding deals warns suppliers: diversify or face barriers.
Fresh off that, Trump slapped a 25% tariff on select advanced computing chips like Nvidia's H200 and AMD's MI325X, effective immediately, to bolster US production and national security. Exemptions apply for domestic supply chain builds, data centers, startups, and public sector β no hit to AI growth hubs. Broader semiconductor duties loom, potentially shaking global chains, but it's laser-focused for now to collect revenue from foreign buyers. ππ‘οΈ
OpenAI's massive $10B+ multiyear pact with Cerebras for 750 megawatts of AI compute power (through 2028) supercharges inference speeds for ChatGPT, eyeing the next billion users. This diversifies beyond Nvidia/AMD, fueling faster responses on complex tasks and positioning Cerebras for a $22B valuation pre-IPO. AI inference demand explodes, with data centers leased for cloud access. π€
$NVIDIA(NVDA)$ $Broadcom(AVGO)$ $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ $MP Materials Corp.(MP)$ $Wells Fargo(WFC)$
Opportunities abound in this whirlwind: Swing into rare earths for quick gains on policy hype, but hedge with puts amid court tariff risks. Long AI plays like Cerebras-linked firms or NVDA for compute boom, targeting 15% upside as deals accelerate innovation. Short overvalued banks if rate caps materialize, or pivot to consumer stocks riding sales momentum. My plan? 40% allocation to minerals for growth, 30% semiconductors for tech edge, 20% energy hedges, and 10% cash to pounce on dips β diversification crushes FOMO! Stay nimble, volatility's your friend. ππ
For a quick visual on index dips, here's chart to plot recent performance:
π’ Like, repost, and follow for daily updates on market trends and stock insights.
π Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions.
π@Daily_Discussion @Tiger_comments @TigerStars @TigerEvents @TigerWire @CaptainTiger @MillionaireTiger
Comments