Bitcoin Flash Bullish Signs, Time To Get Into Crypto Stocks?

With Bitcoin hovering around $96,000, hitting $97,000 briefly, is Bitcoin flashing signs and would 100K coming by end of January 2026?

In this article, I would like to discuss a data-informed overview of Bitcoin’s near-term outlook (including the possibility of $100,000 by end of January 2026), what could prevent it from reaching that level, and how three major crypto-related stocks — Coinbase Global Inc (COIN), Strategy Inc. (MSTR), and MARATHON DIGITAL HOLDINGS, INC. (MARA) might perform by that time.

Is Bitcoin flashing bullish signs toward $100K by end-January 2026?

Bullish technical and fundamental signals:

• BTC has recently recorded higher highs (above $95K), and technical indicators show momentum building toward $100K if key resistance is breached. Analysts cite a breakout above near-term resistance and positioning above moving averages as bullish signs.

• Institutional inflows into Bitcoin products, including spot ETFs, have resumed, which can support upward momentum.

• Many analysts argue that the current setup (volume, institutional demand, and technical structure) positions Bitcoin for testing or exceeding $100,000 with continued trend strength.

Near-term price structure:

• Immediate resistance cluster near $100,000–$105,000, with next logical breakout targets beyond that if momentum continues.

Summary: There are bullish signals technically and from market participation that could support a push toward $100,000 in late January if current momentum persists.

What could prevent Bitcoin from hitting $100K by end-January 2026?

Even with bullish indications, multiple risk factors could delay or derail a $100K move:

A. Technical/price action risks

• Failure to sustain above key support ranges (e.g., below ~$92K–$94K) could weaken bullish structure and invite deeper corrections.

• Prolonged consolidation or rejection at near-term resistance could leave BTC stuck below $100K into Q1.

B. Macro and regulatory headwinds

• Macro tightening or risk-off environments (higher rates, liquidity tightening) could reduce speculative capital flowing to crypto.

• Regulatory setbacks (e.g., restrictive rules on exchanges, wallets, ETFs) can hurt demand and institutional participation.

C. Institutional flow uncertainty

• ETF and institutional flows are positive but not yet overwhelming; a slowdown or reversal could reduce upward pressure.

D. Broader equity/market risk

• Correlation with broader markets: major equity selloffs (e.g., S&P 500 declines) could weigh on crypto risk assets.

E. Sentiment and technical divergence

• Some analysts highlight lingering bearish signals (e.g., long-term moving averages or bearish crossovers) that signal structural resistance to rapid advances.

Summary: While a push to $100K is plausible, the timing remains subject to technical continuation, sustained inflows, macro/backdrop stability, and regulatory clarity. Any breakdown in these could delay or prevent the move.

3) How might COIN, MSTR, and MARA move by end-January 2026?

Performance of these stocks is generally correlated with Bitcoin price direction, but each has unique business drivers and risks.

Coinbase (COIN)

• Coinbase’s stock tends to benefit from higher Bitcoin prices via trading volumes, custody services, and broader crypto market activity.

• Diversification into services like its Layer-2 network and derivatives clearing can support revenue even if trading fees are soft.

• Outlook if BTC reaches $100K: COIN could be positively correlated and outperform broader equities if crypto sentiment improves.

• Risks: Regulatory scrutiny, reduced retail trading volumes, or slowing institutional activity could cap growth.

Implied near-term directional bias: Neutral-to-positive if BTC maintains or strengthens its rally.

Strategy (MSTR)

• Strategy (formerly MicroStrategy) is essentially a high-beta play on Bitcoin due to its large BTC holdings.

• Recent accumulation and renewed interest have supported stock performance.

• If BTC nears $100K: MSTR typically magnifies Bitcoin moves (greater percentage swings), so it could rally strongly.

• Risks: Even with substantial BTC on the balance sheet, the stock can lag due to volatility, liquidity concerns, or changes in how markets value its holdings (enterprise value premium compression).

Implied near-term directional bias: High-beta positive correlated with BTC movements; large swings likely.

MARA (Marathon Digital)

• As a Bitcoin miner, MARA’s earnings depend on BTC price and mining economics (hashrate, difficulty, energy costs).

• Rising BTC prices generally improve mining profitability, which supports MARA’s valuation.

• Downside risks: Rising mining difficulty, rising operational costs, and revenue volatility if BTC price softens.

Implied near-term directional bias: Positive with BTC, but more sensitive to operational and network-level conditions.

Probable Scenarios by End of January 2026

Bullish Base Case (BTC ≥ $100K):

• BTC breaks through resistance on renewed inflows, pushing above $100K.

• COIN and MARA rise with broader crypto sentiment.

• MSTR outperforms proportionally due to significant Bitcoin holdings.

Neutral/Mixed Case (BTC remains $90K–$100K):

• Stocks reflect range-bound trading; COIN and MARA show modest gains.

• MSTR’s volatility remains high, possibly outperforming or lagging depending on risk appetite.

Bearish Case (BTC fails to hold support):

• Breakdown below major supports could lead to corrections toward lower ranges.

• COIN, MSTR, and MARA could weaken sharply, with MSTR especially volatile given its leverage to BTC.

Takeaway

• There are bullish technical and flow signals that support a plausible run toward $100,000 by end-January 2026, but significant risks — especially macro, regulatory, and structural technical factors — could delay or prevent it.

• COIN likely tracks overall market sentiment; MSTR remains high-beta and volatile; MARA benefits from mining economics tied to BTC and operational factors.

• Timing is inherently uncertain — even if a move to $100,000 is likely in 2026, exact timing (such as by January 31, 2026) cannot be confidently predicted.

In the next section, we are looking at a concise bull–base–bear price model table for Bitcoin (BTC) and the three correlated equities, (Coinbase), (Strategy/MSTR), and (Marathon Digital/MARA), summarizing potential outcomes by end of January 2026 based on current technical levels and risk factors.

Bitcoin (BTC)

$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$

$Strategy(MSTR)$

$MARA Holdings(MARA)$

Notes on model context and risks:

BTC: Bull scenario hinges on a breakout above key resistance (~96.6K) and sustained volume; base case reflects recent consolidation near ~$90K–$95K. Bear case includes a break below ~$85K–$90K which historical models identify as key support.

COIN: Coinbase often tracks overall crypto transaction volume; historical analyst upgrades offer upside cushion, but downside support around recent SMAs could be tested if volatility spikes.

MSTR: Strategy/MSTR forecasts vary widely; technical models show potential rally zones but neutral/weak sentiment could keep the stock range-bound or trending lower with BTC.

MARA: Marathon’s price depends on BTC and specific miner economics; its mixed technical signals suggest a broad range with higher resistance if BTC momentum resumes.

Summary Interpretation

Bullish scenario: BTC breaks resistance and extends momentum — pushing toward or above $100K — which generally lifts COIN, MSTR, and MARA proportionally, with MSTR often behaving as a high-beta play.

Base scenario: BTC remains in the current consolidation range, leading these stocks to trade within defined ranges with moderate volatility.

Bearish scenario: A drop below key supports for BTC could cascade into deeper corrections for related equities, especially those with higher leverage to BTC moves (MSTR and MARA).

Summary

As of mid-January 2026, Bitcoin is flashing significant bullish signs, with many analysts targeting the $100,000 milestone by the end of the month.

Bullish Signs & The $100K Path

Current market momentum is driven by several converging factors:

Institutional Adoption: Major corporate players like MicroStrategy continue aggressive accumulation (recently adding over 13,000 BTC).

ETF Inflows: Spot Bitcoin ETFs are seeing massive daily inflows (exceeding $850 million on some days), signaling strong institutional demand.

Macroeconomic Environment: U.S. inflation data (CPI) coming in as expected has fueled risk appetite and boosted hopes for Federal Reserve interest rate cuts, which historically benefits Bitcoin.

Regulatory Clarity: Anticipation surrounding the Digital Asset Market CLARITY Act is providing the legal framework needed for broader market stability.

Factors That Could Prevent $100K

Despite the optimism, several hurdles could stall the rally:

Psychological Resistance: $100,000 is a massive mental barrier; heavy profit-taking often occurs just below such milestones, leading to "rejection" at the level.

Macroeconomic Shifts: Unexpectedly high Producer Price Index (PPI) data or a sudden hawkish shift by the Federal Reserve could dampen the "risk-on" sentiment.

Geopolitical Risks: Ongoing global conflicts (e.g., tensions in the Middle East) can cause spikes in oil prices and sudden retreats from volatile assets like crypto.

Market Exhaustion: After a rapid climb from the $80,000s to the high $90,000s, the market may enter a "consolidation phase" where it trades sideways to digest recent gains before attempting a breakout.

While technicals and institutional flows strongly favor a run to $100K by February, macroeconomic volatility and profit-taking at the finish line remain the primary risks.

Appreciate if you could share your thoughts in the comment section whether you think Bitcoin is on track to 100K, and we should see some crypto stocks gaining strength as well.

@TigerStars @Daily_Discussion @Tiger_Earnings @TigerWire @MillionaireTiger appreciate if you could feature this article so that fellow tiger would benefit from my investing and trading thoughts.

Disclaimer: The analysis and result presented does not recommend or suggest any investing in the said stock. This is purely for Analysis.