Apple's Brutal 8-Week Tumble: Time to Scoop Up Shares Before Earnings Fireworks? 📉🚀

xc__
01-26 23:10

$Apple(AAPL)$ Whoa, folks—Apple's stock just wrapped up its eighth straight losing week, the longest skid since May 2022! 😱 Shares have plummeted from a peak near $288 down to around $248, shedding over 13% in a brutal sell-off. With fund outflows hitting Apple harder than any other Magnificent 7 giant since last July, and AI-driven memory prices spiking 40-50%, margins are under siege. But hold up—is this the ultimate dip to buy, or a sneaky value trap? Let's dive deep into the chaos, crunch the numbers, and see if Goldman's bold call to load up before January 29 earnings is spot on. 💥

First off, the pain is real. Persistent selling pressure has hammered AAPL into the mid-$240s, fueled by worries over rising hardware costs for iPhones and beyond. Explosive demand for AI gear is jacking up memory expenses, sparking fears of profit squeezes. Yet, amid the gloom, Goldman Sachs is waving the buy flag high! They forecast a juicy 11% year-over-year revenue jump for Q1 fiscal 2026, pinning hopes on AI feature rollouts and a potential iPhone super cycle. Their $320 price target screams upside— that's over 29% potential gain from current levels. 🤑

Analysts are buzzing with optimism too. Expectations point to record-breaking Q1 results, with revenue eyed between $136.7 billion and $139.2 billion—beating last year's haul by 10-12%. EPS could hit $2.65, up 10% year-over-year, fueled by double-digit iPhone sales growth and services strength. China demand and overall hardware trends look solid, despite the short-term cost hiccups. If Apple nails guidance, we could see a sharp rebound, especially with whispers of iPhone Fold innovations on the horizon for later this year. 📱✨

But let's not sugarcoat it: risks lurk. If earnings miss on iPhone weakness or guidance flops amid memory woes, that capitulation bottom might deepen. Storage gloom is no joke, and broader tech sell-offs could drag AAPL further. Still, history hints at hope—past 8-week dips have often bounced 9-10% post-earnings. With shares down 15% year-to-date, this could be that rare "golden pit" for savvy buyers. 🕳️💰

Here's a quick snapshot of key Q1 expectations in a handy table to break it down:

For a visual vibe on Apple's wild ride, check this chart to plot the weekly closes🎨

Wall Street pros like JP Morgan are hiking targets to $315, betting on iPhone 18 hype, while voices on X echo the buy-the-dip vibe—think exploded Mac Mini sales and services estimates getting cranked higher. Jim Cramer's yelling "buy" loud, slamming bears for lowballing numbers. Even prediction markets are split, with bets on whether AAPL claws back above $250 by month-end hinging on that earnings pop. 🤔

Bottom line? If you're eyeing weakness as a setup, snag shares now—proof of AI execution could rocket this beast. But if caution's your game, wait for that January 29 reveal to confirm the turnaround. Either way, Apple's not done innovating; this dip might just be the launchpad for 2026 gains. What’s your move—buy the fear or sit tight? Drop your takes below! 🔥🍏

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📝 Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions.

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JPM Expects Apple to Beat! Can Strong iPhone 17 Demand Offset Margin Pressure?
JPMorgan Chase expects Apple to beat market expectations in FY26 Q1, citing stronger-than-expected iPhone demand and lower operating expenses. The bank reiterated an Overweight rating and raised its price target to $315 from $305 ahead of Apple’s earnings on Thursday. Can strong iPhone 17 demand offset margin pressure from higher memory costs? If Apple beats expectations, is this enough to reverse recent underperformance?
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Comments

  • quixy
    01-27 09:54
    quixy
    Buying now lah, earnings pop incoming! [看涨]
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