$USA Rare Earth Inc.(USAR)$ surged yesterday. The U.S. government is set to acquire a 10% stake in USA Rare Earth, backed by a total funding package of around $1.6 billion (federal funding + loans) to accelerate the buildout of domestic rare earth mining and magnet production capacity.
This would mark the largest single U.S. government investment in critical minerals under the Trump administration so far.
1. Four Trump Deals in One Year! And the Market Went Wild
In the past year, Trump-backed deals have repeatedly sent U.S. stocks flying:
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First, $400M was injected into rare earth miner $MP Materials Corp.(MP)$
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Then $10B went into struggling chip giant $Intel(INTC)$
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After that, the government took a stake in U.S. lithium player $Lithium Americas Corp.(LAC)$
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Most recently, the White House confirmed plans to acquire 10% of $Trilogy Metals(TMQ)$
In 1Y performance, the stocks have rallied near or more than 100%.
2. What Exactly Is This Resource-Stock Rally Trading?
1. Policy Funding = Certainty. Example: $MP Materials Corp.(MP)$+ U.S. Department of Defense
DoD will purchase $400M of convertible preferred shares, plus warrants. Reuters reported the effective stake could reach around 15%
2. A “Repricing” of Financing Costs and Refinancing Risk. Example: $Lithium Americas Corp.(LAC)$
The government receives 5% equity via warrants, and also gains an additional 5% interest in the Thacker Pass JV project. This structure was disclosed in both DOE statements and company filings
3. Government Endorsement = Liquidity + Attention
Once a policy signal lands, the market typically reacts in this sequence: volume + attention surge first → valuation framework gets rerated → fundamentals slowly catch up later
3. What Should You Buy? Key Watchlist Summary
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$USA Rare Earth Inc.(USAR)$ : A $1.6B funding package to build out rare earth mining in Texas and magnet production capacity in Oklahoma. The U.S. government participates through equity ownership + additional purchase rights.
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$MP Materials Corp.(MP)$ : $400M DoD convertible preferred + warrants. The policy goal is clear: U.S. independence in rare earth magnets. Reuters estimates ~15% effective stake.
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$Lithium Americas Corp.(LAC)$ : DOE takes 5% equity via warrants, plus an additional 5% interest in the Thacker Pass JV — a textbook “loan structure + equity protection” combo.
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$Trilogy Metals(TMQ)$ : Reuters reported a U.S. government investment of around $35.6M for roughly a 10% stake, plus potential warrant upside of about 7.5%.
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$CRITICAL METALS CORPORATION(CRML)$ : Partnered with U.S. critical minerals company GreenMet to develop Greenland’s southern Tanbreez project, focused on heavy rare earth extraction.
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$Energy Fuels(UUUU)$: A leading U.S.-based critical minerals company that has successfully expanded from traditional uranium mining into rare earth elements (REE) and heavy mineral sands (HMS).
High-Beta “Sentiment Plays” in the Same Theme
Rare Earth / Critical Minerals: AREC NB TMRC TMC UAMY
Lithium: SQM RIO SGML SLI ATLX
Uranium / Nuclear Fuel Chain: LEU CCJ UEC DNN NXE
Community Poll
Which theme do you think becomes the next major market storyline?
Rare earths + magnets (USAR / MP)
Domestic lithium supply chain (LAC / Thacker Pass)
Uranium + nuclear fuel (LEU / CCJ / UEC)
High-beta critical minerals small caps (UUUU / AREC / NB, etc.)
Would you join the resource stock trade?
Will Trump trade last for another 4 year term?
Leave your comments to win tiger coins~
Comments
The truth is that they are a signal that resources are finite. The next 4 years focus will be on Lithium, Uranium, Critical Minerals and Nuclear Fuel.
Among the 4 mega resource trends, I believe that Nuclear Fuel is the most important . It provides the power to fuel the AI revolution and Uranium is the heart of Nuclear Fuel.
Centrus Energy $Centrus(LEU)$ is the quiet gatekeeper of the nuclear fuel cycle . It is only US company capable of producing High Assay Low Enriched Uranium, the advanced fuel required for the next generation reactors. This makes Centrus Energy the bridge between Uranium & nuclear fuel.
Exciting times are ahead for Centrus Energy.🌈🌈🌈💰💰💰
@Tiger_comments @TigerStars @Tiger_SG
第一类,是像 MP、UUUU 这种已经有产量或多元业务支撑的公司,政策是增量,不是救命稻草;
第二类,是 LAC 这种融资结构被政府深度“兜底”的项目,至少最危险的阶段已经过去。