$SoFi Technologies Inc.(SOFI)$ reports earnings on Friday!
Here are 5️⃣ key metrics to pay attention to:🧵
1/ Members & Products
$SOFI Member Ads in 2025:
- Q1 800K
- Q2 850K
- Q3 905K
Can they add 1M in Q4?
2/ ADJ EBITDA
This is a key metric and a proxy for FCF.
$SOFI guided for $1,035B for 2025.
So far in 2025, they have earned $736M.
$299M to reach the guide would imply 51% Y/Y growth.
3/ Lending Originations
In Q3, $SOFI Originated:
- $3.4B in Loan Platform Business
- $4.1B in Personal Loans
- $1.5B in Student Loans
- $945M in Home Loans
Strong LPB growth is required for the share price to increase.
4/ The Technology Platform
This segment has been underperforming expectations for 3 years.
- 12% Y/Y growth in 2023
- 12% in 2024
- 10.6% in LTM as of Q3 2025
An acceleration is necessary.
5/ Credit Performance
A significant deterioration in credit performance and higher loan defaults would crater the stock.
6/ Bonus
Crypto - An update on the adoption of the newly released retail and institutional crypto services would be welcome. A market would love strong adoption.
M&A - Sofi raised over $3B in the second half of 2025 from convertible notes. An acquisition could be welcomed by the market.
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