AfraSimon
AfraSimon
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avatarAfraSimon
01-06 12:53

Best 5-Year Winners Across Key Equity Themes

Best 5-Year Winners Across Key Equity Themes
avatarAfraSimon
01-06 12:49

5️⃣ simple reasons why BULLISH on $NBIS

5️⃣ simple reasons why I am BULLISH on $NEBIUS(NBIS)$ 1/ Rockstar CEOArkady Volozh is a visionary founder who turned Yandex into Russia's Google, worth $30B.After Putin forced him to sell it for a fraction of that, he didn't retire into the sunset with tail between his legs. Instead, he refocused on building the backbone of the next frontier of technology, AI!He has a deep understanding of how engineering, product strategy, and long-term cultural leadership come together to create innovation.2/ INSANE Demand for AI ComputeBrookfield forecasts that Global Data Center Capacity will expand by 10x.This means that $NBIS operates in an extremely fast-growing industry that the world has only scratched the surface of. 3/ Efficient Data Centers$NBIS builds
5️⃣ simple reasons why BULLISH on $NBIS
avatarAfraSimon
01-06 12:45

$CRCL: A Pick-and-Shovel Play on LATAM Monetary Instability

Just found a potentially bigger idea to profit off the Venezuela (and broader LATAM) instability.Venezuela has struggled with hyperinflation and its people are increasingly transacting in stablecoins.People literally use stablecoins to store savings, pay salaries, and move money because the bolívar is so unusable. Venezuela primarily transacts using 2 specific stablecoins.USDT (tether) and USDC (circle).I'm focusing on $Circle Internet Corp.(CRCL)$ because...*listen closely*... CRCL already has a history of collaborating with NGOs + local government officials to send humanitarian aid to Venezuela using USDC...In fact, CRCL was used in the first-ever instance of global aid being distributed via blockchain....aka USDC is used when institutions, NGOs
$CRCL: A Pick-and-Shovel Play on LATAM Monetary Instability

Which ticker is the most likely to double in 2026?

Which ticker is the most likely to double in 2026?

Everyone Sees Oil. I See Drones

The United States has taken control of Venezuela.Like many of you, I'm trying to figure out how to profit from this potentially world-altering event.And while everyone is focused on Venezuela's oil and gold.I zoomed out.When the US expands influence over highly strategic energy assets (like $17T worth of oil...), how are these assets monitored, secured, and controlled?Military Drones. $AeroVironment(AVAV)$ builds military drones for surveillance, border security, and battlefield intelligence...and if the US is expanding influence over Venezuela, this can be used to monitor and secure massive oil infrastructure. $Red Cat Holdings Inc.(RCAT)$ supplies tactical/ISR drones directly to the US military, focusin
Everyone Sees Oil. I See Drones

Social Arbitrage: Finding Alpha Through Real-World Observation

I’ve sat outside of a Victoria’s Secret for weeks and counted the numbers of bags each person had in their hand as they walked out.I went to three different Starbucks everyday for 3 months straight to count how many cars went through the drive thru from 7am-10am, just to support a thesis.I sat on a college campus and asked hundreds of students which social media platform was their newest obsession.(yes im f*cking nuts)I spent so many years trying to find an edge. How can I actually beat the markets?For most of history, there’s been 2 main ways to analyze an asset.Fundamental & technical analysis.Both are real + well researched.The age old debate though is…are these two universally trusted types of stock picking analysis statistically reliable if everybody uses them?I’m not here to sh*t
Social Arbitrage: Finding Alpha Through Real-World Observation

$RUM Bottoming with 20% Short Interest

Social arbitrage play setting up on $Rumble Inc.(RUM)$ .Nick Shirley's video has 134M views on X right now...he's gained 750K followers seemingly overnight.Features on every major news network and making the podcast rounds on @theallinpod, @PBDsPodcast, etc.$RUM CEO (@chrispavlovski) makes a very intriguing offer to Nick yesterday.> livestream everything, unfiltered> will pay nick for streams> will pay "far better" than youtube willBill Ackman retweeted it, telling Nick it "sounds like a great opportunity.If (*if*!!), nick accepts this deal, $RUM could rip.But there's more to the bull case.Tether, yes the largest stablecoin issuer in the world, is RUM largest shareholder and JUST bought more shares in late November. Also. President Trump h
$RUM Bottoming with 20% Short Interest
avatarAfraSimon
2025-12-30

Down 47.5%, IREN Still a Top 10 AI Pick for 2026

Despite falling 47.5% since highs, I picked $IREN Ltd(IREN)$ as one of my Top 10 AI stocks for 2026!- Efficient Data Centers- Cheap Renewable Energy Access- Huge $9.7B Anchor agreement with $Microsoft(MSFT)$ But most importantly, they have access to 3GW of electricity at a time when electricity access is poised to become the biggest bottleneck to AI development.In a recent interview, Jensen Huang of $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ said that the US is losing the AI energy race to China. Simply put, it doesn't matter how many chips you have and how efficient they are if there is no electricity to power them.IREN energy capacity is starting to look increasingly "tasty", positioning
Down 47.5%, IREN Still a Top 10 AI Pick for 2026
avatarAfraSimon
2025-12-30

Why I’m Bullish on $NBIS for 2026 Despite a 36% Drawdown

Despite falling 36% from highs, I picked $NEBIUS(NBIS)$ as one of my Top 10 AI stocks for 2026!- $7-9B 2026 ARR Target- 2.5GW Contracted Power Target- 0.8-1GW Connected Power Target- Nebius trades 2-3X its 2026 ARRI find this valuation attractive for a company poised to grow revenues with a 299% CAGR till 2027.But most importantly, the execution of NBIS CEO Arkady Volozh has been incredible.He worked tirelessly for 20 years to turn Yandex into Russia’s largest technology company, worth $30B. Then, Putin essentially forced him to sell all the lucrative Russian assets at a rock-bottom price because he spoke out openly against the War in Ukraine.Arkady could have ridden off in the sunset and lived out his days in a Miami mansion with 100 Instagram mo
Why I’m Bullish on $NBIS for 2026 Despite a 36% Drawdown
avatarAfraSimon
2025-12-29

8 Key Insights to Understanding Markets

How I learned markets (with no finance background), before ever looking at a chart.One. “Learn the game of business”. The incentives. Internal politics. How things operate. What drives leadership. Signs of struggle. You can piece the puzzle together.Two. “Psychology & game theory”. Why humans make decisions. What drives behavior. How emotional responses are triggered. Understanding pain & euphoria.Three. “Money motives”. Who's stands to gain. Who's pulling the strings. Where are commissions being made. When is a spread earned. What are the INCENTIVES for all parties involved.I need a fundamental understanding of where every cent is going, and *why* it's going there.Four. “The real world”. Social media narrative. Relationships. Themes. Trending topics. Pop culture. What's "cool”.Mor
8 Key Insights to Understanding Markets
avatarAfraSimon
2025-12-27

$NFLX Watches Another Potential “Squid Game” Moment

Seems like a huge coordinated effort to push "One Piece" on $Netflix(NFLX)$ .Mr Beast, the biggest creator ever, is tweeting about the show...and even changed in profile picture to a character.Kai Cenat, Cinna, and Hasan all chimed in with some tweets about "One Piece".Four of the largest social creators on earth, all tweeting about the same NFLX show, within hours of each other?Probably not a coincidence.But what does this actually mean?Well, NFLX has a history of popular shows making a meaningful impact on stock price."Squid Game" premiered in Sept '21, and led to a +20% increase in NFLX over 3 months.Stranger Things (2019) & Tiger King (2020) both led to significant increases in subscribers, viewership, and earnings.Meaning just one show go
$NFLX Watches Another Potential “Squid Game” Moment
avatarAfraSimon
2025-12-27

Is $RKT the Next AI-Driven Housing Play?

The next rocket will be $Rocket Companies(RKT)$ .Recent acquisitions, a strong openAI connection, CEO shuffle, and an interesting company "restructuring"...?Let's dive in. First, I know you're curious about the openAI connection...look at Bret taylor.Bret Taylor is the *chairman* of OpenAI. He's ALSO the co-founder of Sierra, an AI company who now has a strong partnership with RKT. On October 27th, he announced that "Sierra and RKT are going to transform home ownership together".OpenAI chairman partnered with RKT through his other company (Sierra AI)...interesting.Safe to say he's veryyy familiar with Rocket. OpenAI x Rocket soon?Anywaysss, moving on.Rocket recently added an .80c dividend + "simplified its structure"... This is where it gets intere
Is $RKT the Next AI-Driven Housing Play?
avatarAfraSimon
2025-12-26
My family is having steak as our Christmas meal.Mom's cooking. But this is the first time we've ever had steak on Christmas.But then I remembered seeing a few recent headlines that I originally overlooked/disregarded. Per Instacart, requests for:> ribeye roasts increased +2,238% > prime rib increased +1,909%> tenderloin roasts increased +898%...all surged TWO days before Christmas compared to the yearly average.Red meat purchases always spike around the holidays, but this is an outlier.For a longer term play, $Tyson(TSN)$ , has been sitting in a $10 range for almost three years now.I'm tracking TSN's recent ability to shake off "bad press" closely too.Just a month ago...Tyson announced that it's planning to close one of its largest beef-pr
avatarAfraSimon
2025-12-23

Why $XPEV Could Be the $TSLA Setup of 2026

This is one of my highest conviction ideas for 2026.My thesis for a 200%+ move on $XPeng Inc.(XPEV)$ is simple.Much like $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ a year ago, the market has NOT remotely priced in the whole picture for XPEV.CEO @xiaopenghexpeng was on X two days ago publicly outlining XPEV's triple threat strategy. Robots. Autonomous cars. Low altitude aircraft.3 of the most explosive technology themes, maybe ever...inside one company.Now zoom out.Autonomy, robotics, and AI *will* dominate headlines in 2026. Elon's going to be all over the news in '26 (spaceX ipo, optimus, trillionaire), and $XPEV benefits directly from the same themes the market already understands.China risk? Eh, XPEV is expanding globally (
Why $XPEV Could Be the $TSLA Setup of 2026
avatarAfraSimon
2025-12-23

Why $HOOD Wants You Trading 24/7

$Robinhood(HOOD)$ is "rather brilliantly evil".It's important for retail traders to understand the game that trading platforms are playing.Wall St. Journal just reported that "Vlad Tenev has come to realize that plugged-in, aggressive traders are actually key to his company’s success."The company needs you to be aggressively (even degenerately) active 24/7 on:- ODTE options- prediction markets- crypto- leverage- daytradingMore activity = more order flow, wider spreads, more interest income.HOOD makes money by selling order flow to hedge funds + market makers, spreads on options/crypto, and margin lending.I'm not hating on Robinhood, I think they're brilliant at what they do (and I'm bullish on $HOOD).But as a retail trader, you NEED to understand
Why $HOOD Wants You Trading 24/7
avatarAfraSimon
2025-12-23

From Retail to Arena: Why $DKS Is Different

Physical retail stores are adapting to become "third places".Sephora adding hair salons in store.Barnes & Noble adding coffee shops & couches. $Lululemon Athletica(LULU)$ hosting in-store yoga classes.Feel, smell, touch, spend time...the experience.Legacy brick & mortar retailers turning into experience businesses, that just happen to sell something.The most asymmetric bet I see? $Dick's Sporting Goods(DKS)$ , with the new(ish) "House of Sport" offering.The House of Sport is a large-format, experiential retail concept inside stores.Turf fields, batting cages, golf simulators, climbing walls, even some ice rinks.Started this concept in '21, but it's just now starting to scale...and early data sh
From Retail to Arena: Why $DKS Is Different
avatarAfraSimon
2025-12-23

Santa Came Early for Theme Stocks

Santa Came Early for Theme Stocks
avatarAfraSimon
2025-12-21

META Ready for Explosive 2026 Move

$Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ is the ONLY mag7 that's never split its stock.Trading at the lowest P/E ratio of the group too.Look at what’s coming down the pipe for the media + ads business:- u.s. midterms in '26 (more ad demand from parties & campaigns)- fifa world cup in '26 (huge ad $$$ / engagement)- instagram reels coming to smart TVsAnd that’s *before* factoring in AI improving ad targeting, pricing, and margins.META still barely monetizes whatsapp (2B users!!) and massive buybacks are not priced in yet imo.People love to say "never bet against Elon" (1000% agree), but Zuck is on that level for me.Never bet against Zuck.Chart is tight on the weekly. Ready to be a big winner in '26 if $SPDR S&P 500
META Ready for Explosive 2026 Move
avatarAfraSimon
2025-12-21

$JOBY Eyes Explosive Aviation Catalysts in 2026

$Joby Aviation, Inc.(JOBY)$ is one of my big sleepers.Look at these recent headlines.- U.S gov't to "unleash drone dominance"- War department asking for 300K+ MORE drones This is a priority for the administration.And don't forget...- JOBY + $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ exclusive aviation partnership- FAA certification potentially coming in "late '25 or early '26"- first passenger flights coming in Dubai in '26?Few HUGE catalysts for JOBY.Also, just FOUR days ago. "Joby announces plans to double manufacturing capacity in united states."eVTOL + aerial robotics idea has all the ingredients to be a really hot trade soon.JOBY is currently $14.22, but I've been adding in the teens for awhile now.Weekly chart is looking explo
$JOBY Eyes Explosive Aviation Catalysts in 2026
avatarAfraSimon
2025-12-21

Forward Revenue Growth Highlights: ASTS Tops, NVO Bottoms

Forward Revenue Growth Highlights: ASTS Tops, NVO Bottoms

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