AfraSimon
AfraSimon
No personal profile
4Follow
977Followers
0Topic
0Badge
avatarAfraSimon
07-31 11:38

Why Did $MRDN Drop 22% After Another Profitable Quarter?

$Meridian Hldg(MRDN)$ just released a good Q2 earnings report, reaching GAAP net income profitability of $2.2M, the second strong profit quarter in a row. Despite this, the stock tanked 22%. In my opinion, here are the factors driving this harsh reaction: - Slight revenue miss of $50M vs $51-53M guide. - Gross margin decline from 56.4% to 53.5%. - New CEO and CFO - H2 2026 guide of 8-10% revenue growth, barely in line with the analyst consensus estimate of 9.6%. The miss was tiny. While the gross margin decline and the earnings miss can mostly be explained by $1.2M in large casino win this quarter. The house always wins, and gamers won't be lucky for long, this will reverse. Congratulations to Zoran Milošević as the new CEO of Meridian Holdings Z
Why Did $MRDN Drop 22% After Another Profitable Quarter?
avatarAfraSimon
07-31 11:34

Leopold’s portfolio if he hadn’t been forced to sell

Leopold’s portfolio if he hadn’t been forced to sell
avatarAfraSimon
07-31 11:29

From SBF to Leopold, Does History Repeat for Great Assets?

Boy genius blows up fund right before multi year run for the ages. Sounds like a movie script. I think we are going to look back at Leopold blowing up as the bottom for most of his holdings. Seen this before? Guys blows up -> then all of his holdings run hundreds of %s the next few years. Remember Sam Bankman-Fried and FTX? He had Anthropic, Circle, and LayerZero YEARS ago, none of them were household names yet…before he was liquidated. Feel eerily similar. SBF blows up, his holdings go nuclear. Leopold blows up, his holdings take off without him? Different situations of course, but from the lens of a young investor blowing up while owning a basket of exceptional assets…parallels feel eerily similar. Anyways, a spectacle event like that has the power to change sentiment and perception.
From SBF to Leopold, Does History Repeat for Great Assets?

10 Market Calls for the Rest of 2026. Which Ones Will Happen?

As we head into the final months of 2026, several bold predictions are emerging across equities, commodities, and crypto. Whether they play out or not, they highlight where investors are looking for leadership in the next phase of the market. Here's the outlook: 📈 The broader market finishes the year more than 10% higher. 🥇 Gold and silver rally another 30%. 🔐 Cybersecurity becomes the best-performing segment within technology. 🚁 Drones emerge as the market's hottest new investment theme. 💬 $Reddit(RDDT)$ climbs above $200. ⭕ $Circle Internet Corp.(CRCL)$ doubles to over $120. 💊 Continued enthusiasm around peptides pushes $Hims & Hers Health Inc.(HIMS)$ above
10 Market Calls for the Rest of 2026. Which Ones Will Happen?

$SPY Choppy Now, Stronger Into Year-End?

Every dip in the stock market during BOTH of trump's presidencies has been violently bought up. Violently. But $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ still looking sketchy. Prediction remains the same: chop + some downside in late summer months, rip into the end of the year. Good news. This chop WILL create really interesting opportunities in some growth names that have taken a beating. Some insane setups currently (and to come) in SMID-cap land if you believe we're going higher into EOY.
$SPY Choppy Now, Stronger Into Year-End?

Don't Sleep on $CSCO, AI's Networking Winner Is Waking Up

There's always a strange nervousness that comes with trying to price a company that no one doubts anymore. Unlike those messy, “misunderstood” names that are easy to dig into, a company everyone already likes gives you almost nothing to push back against… except for maybe some far-fetched speculation. And that's exactly why it's the process of digging into those messy names where investors usually find their edge. I'm not talking about those speculative artificial intelligence (AI) infrastructure bets that are clearly overvalued, but those well-established names with the deepest pockets that even the most conservative investors pour money into. With those companies, the bright future has already been imagined for you by everyone else in the room, and it's already baked into the stock
Don't Sleep on $CSCO, AI's Networking Winner Is Waking Up

Upcoming Q2 Earnings for GOOG Stock: Here’s Why Bulls Are Optimistic

$Alphabet(GOOG)$ $Alphabet(GOOGL)$ the parent company of Google, is all set to report its second quarter results on July 22. Investors have plenty of reasons to be optimistic heading into earnings after Alphabet raised the bar with a strong first quarter. Here’s why bulls are optimistic ahead of Alphabet’s Q2 print. A Strong First Quarter Raised the Bar Alphabet’s strong first quarter has raised the bar for the rest of 2026. With total revenue up 22% year-over-year (YoY) to $109.9 billion, marking the company’s 11th consecutive quarter of double-digit revenue growth. When the AI boom began, investors questioned whether generative AI would disrupt Google's search business. But Google integrated AI into se
Upcoming Q2 Earnings for GOOG Stock: Here’s Why Bulls Are Optimistic

Photonics Is Down, Wall Street Still Loves Semiconductors

AI infrastructure remains one of the market's biggest long-term themes, but leadership is starting to diverge. Photonics names have pulled back sharply, while Wall Street still sees meaningful upside across several semiconductor leaders. Here's a quick snapshot. 👇 1.Which Photonics stock is the best buy today? - $POET Technologies Inc(POET)$ at 60% Drawdown - $Silver Verde May Mining Co., Inc.(SIVE)$ at 55% Drawdown - $Applied Optoelectronics(AAOI)$ at 46% Drawdown - $IPG Photonics(IPGP)$ at 30% Drawdown - $Ciena(CIEN)$ at 26% Drawdown - $L
Photonics Is Down, Wall Street Still Loves Semiconductors

$ORCL, $SOFI, $LMND: Three Charts Flashing Buy Signals

Three stocks. Three different industries. One thing in common: attractive technical setups backed by improving fundamentals. Here's why $ORCL, $SOFI, and $LMND are on the watchlist. 👇 1. $Oracle(ORCL)$ - if there was ever a "safe"/clear add spot.. - it's right here @ $140 - risk daily close under ~$135 - looking for push back to $200 - aka +40% move (or more) with little risk $ORCL now $140.64 2. $SoFi Technologies Inc.(SOFI)$ - ceo buying - weekly chart looks so good - fintech theme perky lately - getting tighttt -earnings in ~2 weeks $SOFI currently @ $18.78...love this as a swing idea for 50%+. Biz is booming too btw. 3. $Lemonade, Inc.(LMND)$ - resistance tur
$ORCL, $SOFI, $LMND: Three Charts Flashing Buy Signals

How to Handle Speculative Stocks

Speculative stocks can go up 100%, 200%, or even more in a short time. But they can also fall 50%, 70%, or 90% when the story cools down, the hype fades, or the market turns against risky assets. That means the upside can be huge. But the downside can be just as brutal. That is what makes them interesting. But it is also what makes them risky. You usually find them in hot sectors like AI, quantum computing, biotech, crypto, space, robotics, drones, nuclear, defense tech, new energy, or any sector getting sudden attention. Sometimes they are driven by actual fundamentals. But often they just move because of news, hype, momentum, short squeezes, or exciting stories about the future. Many of these companies are not profitable yet. Many have weak balance sheets. Some trade at extreme valuation
How to Handle Speculative Stocks

5 High-Quality Undervalued Fallen Angels

7 High-Quality Undervalued Fallen Angels 1. $AppLovin Corporation(APP)$ Drawdown: 31% Net Margin: 64% (yes, its real) FWD P/E: 29 2028 Revenue CAGR: 32% 2028 EPS CAGR: 35% Their AI advertising model analyzes billions of data points from 1.6B devices in real time. Then it matches the right users with the right apps, and dynamically optimizes ad spend, ad formats, and ad targeting to achieve the best outcome. 2. $MercadoLibre(MELI)$ Drawdown: 41% EBITDA Margin: 13.9% FWD P/E: 39 2028 Revenue CAGR: 25.7% 2028 EPS CAGR: 34.8% It is Latin America's most powerful AI e-commerce, logistics, and fintech ecosystem. Its marketplace connects millions of buyers and sellers, Mercado Pago enables secure digital payments
5 High-Quality Undervalued Fallen Angels

Netflix Isn't Losing Its Business to the World Cup

Netflix Inc_ on phone by- Wachiwit via iStock $Netflix(NFLX)$ reports second-quarter earnings on July 16, three days before the World Cup final. That is awkward timing. The biggest sporting event on the planet is taking viewers away from almost every other form of entertainment, and Netflix does not own the rights. Engagement will likely drop. It would be strange if it did. But I think investors are in danger of drawing the wrong conclusion from that. Watching less (NFLX) during the World Cup is not the same as cancelling (NFLX). It is not the same as weaker pricing. It is not the same as lower advertising revenue. And it certainly is not proof that the business has lost its relevance. The World Cup began on June 11, so it only affected the final
Netflix Isn't Losing Its Business to the World Cup

5 Charts: Meta Breaks Out, Semis Go Wild & Valuations Near Dot-Com Levels 🚨

Markets are sending mixed signals—from record valuations and historic volatility to technical breakouts and changing market structure. Here are five charts that stand out today. 👇 1.Bank of America $Bank of America(BAC)$ = Rekt 🚨 S&P 500 $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ now up 43% since BoA told us to go short 🤦‍♂️ 2.Semiconductor $VanEck Semiconductor ETF(SMH)$ Stocks have moved 3% up or down 15 times in the last 30 trading days 🚨 This hasn't occurred since the Dot Com Bubble 🤯 👀 3. $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ has done it!! Reclaimed its 200-day moving average and trading above it by the largest margin since January
5 Charts: Meta Breaks Out, Semis Go Wild & Valuations Near Dot-Com Levels 🚨

$SPCX, $BE, $SPX & $MSFT - 4 Charts Driving Markets Right Now

Today's market is being driven by a mix of high-profile stock moves, valuation concerns, and technical signals. From SpaceX's sharp decline and Bloom Energy's short-seller controversy to the S&P 500's stretched valuation gap and Microsoft's key technical test, these are the charts investors should be watching closely. 1. $SpaceX(SPCX)$ & $Tradr 2X Long SpaceX Daily ETF(SPCM)$ SpaceX $SPCX will eventually be worth more than Planet Earth, proclaims Founder Elon Musk 👀 Hard to beat the risk/reward on that if it plays out ✅ For magnified exposure, consider the Tradr 2X Long SpaceX Daily ETF $SPCM SpaceX has now lost $1 Trillion in market cap since hitting an all-time high last month 📉 📉 2.
$SPCX, $BE, $SPX & $MSFT - 4 Charts Driving Markets Right Now

Why AI Giants Are Turning to $AVGO Over $NVDA

Why are $Alphabet(GOOGL)$ $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ OpenAI, Anthropic, and now $Apple(AAPL)$ paying $Broadcom(AVGO)$ hundreds of billions for AI chips instead of simply buying them from $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ ? Well, Broadcom's custom AI ASICS are built for SPECIFIC AI tasks. Broadcom's ASICs can run those workloads more efficiently than general-purpose NVIDIA GPUs. They deliver higher performance per watt, which reduces power consumption and operating costs for large data centers. The custom design is optimized for customers' AI infrastructure, allowing faster and more efficient pr
Why AI Giants Are Turning to $AVGO Over $NVDA

AI Memory Dominates: $MU Leads FCF Growth by a Mile

AI infrastructure is reshaping corporate cash generation. Forward free cash flow growth estimates show memory makers leading the next cycle, with $MU far ahead of every other $1 trillion company, while many former mega-cap leaders are expected to see slower or even declining cash flow growth. FWD FCF Growth of $1T Club Stocks: - $Micron Technology(MU)$ +2,819% - $Samsung Electronics Co., Ltd.(SSNLF)$ +488% - $SK Hynix, Inc.(HXSCF)$ +487% - $Eli Lilly(LLY)$ +159% - $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ +121% - $Broadcom(AVGO)$ +85% -
AI Memory Dominates: $MU Leads FCF Growth by a Mile

6️⃣ Undervalued Stocks under $10B - PGY, DLO, OSCR, ZETA, HROW & TMDX

Every trader eventually discovers that success isn't just about finding better setups—it's about mastering risk, controlling emotions, and staying disciplined. Here are some hard-earned lessons that separate consistent traders from those who never make it to the next cycle. 6️⃣ Undervalued Stocks under $10B 1. $Pagaya Technologies Ltd.(PGY)$ Ticker: $PGY Country: US/Israel Industry: AI Lending Market Cap: $1.5B Net Margin: 7% ROA: 22% FWD P/E: 5 2028 Revenue CAGR: 13% 2028 EPS CAGR: 54% 2. $DLocal Limited(DLO)$ Ticker: $DLO Country: Uruguay Industry: Payments Market Cap: $4.3B EBITDA Margin: 22.5% ROE: 37.2% FWD P/E: 16 2028 Revenue CAGR: 28% 2028 EPS CAGR: 30% 3. $Osc
6️⃣ Undervalued Stocks under $10B - PGY, DLO, OSCR, ZETA, HROW & TMDX

SpaceX, SNDK & the S&P 500: 5 Charts Raising Eyebrows

Today's market is sending a mix of bullish opportunities and cautionary warnings. From Morgan Stanley's bullish outlook on SpaceX to extreme optimism in the S&P 500 options market, alongside notable weakness in Costco and Pepsi, these five charts highlight where investors should be paying close attention next. 1. $SpaceX(SPCX)$ SpaceX will double from today's prices, forecasts Morgan Stanley, which just gave $SPCX a $300 price target 🚨 For magnified exposure, consider the Tradr 2X Long SpaceX Daily ETF $Tradr 2X Long SpaceX Daily ETF(SPCM)$ 2. $SanDisk Corp.(SNDK)$ Sandisk has plunged 18% from June's ATH, and while that might be a buy-the-dip opportunity for
SpaceX, SNDK & the S&P 500: 5 Charts Raising Eyebrows

4 Charts That Could Shape the Next Market Move

The market is sending several important signals beneath the surface. From the Magnificent Seven trading at their most attractive relative valuation in years, to NVIDIA reaching its cheapest multiple in over seven years, healthcare flashing a fresh Golden Cross, and single-stock volatility diverging sharply from the VIX, these developments suggest investors may be entering a very different market environment. Here are four charts worth watching. 1.Magnificent 7 Magnificent 7 Stocks are now trading at their cheapest valuation relative to the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ in more than a decade $Apple(AAPL)$ $Alphabet(GOOG)$ $Microsoft(MS
4 Charts That Could Shape the Next Market Move

The AI Rally Has Broadened, 9 Sectors Are Quietly Leading

The market is much broader than most investors realize. Everyone is still talking about AI chips, HBM, and memory stocks. But if you look beneath the surface, leadership has quietly expanded across the market. This rally is no longer being driven by just a handful of AI names. Capital is rotating into multiple industries, and many of the strongest setups today are appearing outside the traditional AI trade. Here are the sectors worth watching. 🧬 Biotech & Healthcare Healthcare continues to attract fresh momentum as investors look beyond mega-cap tech. Names on my radar: $Erasca, Inc.(ERAS)$ $ImmunityBio, Inc.(IBRX)$ $AbCellera Biologics(ABCL)$
The AI Rally Has Broadened, 9 Sectors Are Quietly Leading

Go to Tiger App to see more news