$Strategy(MSTR)$ $CME Bitcoin

$Strategy(MSTR)$ $CME Bitcoin - main 2602(BTCmain)$ $Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$ 📉📉📉 $MSTR earnings due tomorrow and the real tell isn’t EPS, it’s dilution vs. BTC per share.

BTC holdings +5.1% in Q4, but diluted shares +7.8%.. so a -2.5% drop in BTC/share.

With $BTC below avg cost & short interest at 12%, this stays a high-beta, sentiment-driven trade ⚠️

$MSTR has lost nearly $100 Billion in market cap since July 2025

Down 74% in 6.5 months

If Bitcoin goes to $65k, Strategy could see $75 😱

ⓗⓐⓟⓟⓨ ⓣⓡⓐⓓⓘⓝⓖ ⓐⓗⓔⓐⓓ! ⓒⓗⓔⓔⓡⓢ, ⓑⓒ🍀🍀🍀

💰Stocks to watch today?(5 Feb）

1. What news/movements are worth noting in the market today? Any stocks to watch? 2. What trading opportunities are there? Do you have any plans? 🎁 Make a post here, everyone stands a chance to win Tiger coins!

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Comments

PetS
08:33
PetS
I like how your post frames $Strategy(MSTR)$ as a structure story, not just earnings noise. $CME Bitcoin - main 2602(BTCmain)$ share dilution shifts positioning and volatility fast. Watching liquidity pockets and gamma flow into earnings. Similar regime risk sits in $Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$ momentum here.
Cool Cat Winston
08:39
Cool Cat Winston
Your post nails how sentiment dominates $Strategy(MSTR)$ here. Liquidity pockets below support matter if $CME Bitcoin - main 2602(BTCmain)$ slips again. Momentum and cross asset flow still rule this regime. Watching earnings reaction similar to $Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$ positioning lately.
Queengirlypops
09:52
Queengirlypops
nah this post actually flipped my brain, everyone screaming earnings but you zoomed straight into $CME Bitcoin - main 2602(BTCmain)$ per share dilution and positioning, like THAT’S the real momentum driver rn?? volatility crazy, liquidity pockets below, gamma and Vanna flow ready to send things either way, whole cross asset regime feels shaky and $Strategy(MSTR)$ legit moves on sentiment vibes now, tomorrow gonna be chaos fr 🧃
Kiwi Tigress
09:38
Kiwi Tigress
yeah kinda wild seeing how you broke down dilution vs $CME Bitcoin - main 2602(BTCmain)$ per share, fr makes the earnings less hype and more structure driven. ngl volatility on $Strategy(MSTR)$ feels heavy and momentum still shaky, lowkey watching how flow reacts after numbers
Tui Jude
11:04
Tui Jude
Your breakdown shows cross asset pressure clearly, $CME Bitcoin - main 2602(BTCmain)$ weakness feeding into $Strategy(MSTR)$ support tests. Momentum feels flow driven, not fundamental. Earnings could reset regime expectations. Seeing similar volatility structure in $MARA Holdings(MARA)$ lately.
Hen Solo
11:13
Hen Solo
I’m aligned with your macro view, dilution versus $CME Bitcoin - main 2602(BTCmain)$ per share matters more than EPS. Positioning feels stretched and resistance overhead looks heavy. Earnings gamma and Vanna flows may drive swings. Seeing parallels in $Riot Platforms(RIOT)$ structure.

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What news/movements are worth noting in the market today? Any stocks to watch? \n2. What trading opportunities are there? 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BTC holdings +5.1% in Q4, but diluted shares +7.8%.. so a -2.5% drop in BTC/share. With $BTC below avg cost & short interest at 12%, this stays a high-beta, sentiment-driven trade ⚠️ $MSTR has lost nearly $100 Billion in market cap since July 2025 Down 74% in 6.5 months If Bitcoin goes to $65k, Strategy could see $75 😱 ⓗⓐⓟⓟⓨ ⓣⓡⓐⓓⓘⓝⓖ ⓐⓗⓔⓐⓓ! ⓒⓗⓔⓔⓡⓢ, ⓑⓒ🍀🍀🍀","highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":34,"commentSize":15,"repostSize":211,"favoriteSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/529239143429472","repostId":0,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":5615,"commentLimit":10,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"symbols":["MSTR","COIN","BTCmain"],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"EN","currentLanguage":"EN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"andRepostAutoSelectedFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":449,"optionInvolvedFlag":false,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ORIG"},"commentList":[{"id":529324295075296,"commentId":"529324295075296","gmtCreate":1770251615283,"gmtModify":1770251621237,"authorId":4186428661919372,"author":{"id":4186428661919372,"idStr":"4186428661919372","authorId":4186428661919372,"name":"PetS","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/b11b28506a08a6a6f4635855bae885a7","vip":1,"currentWearingBadge":{"badgeId":"a83d7582f45846ffbccbce770ce65d84-1","templateUuid":"a83d7582f45846ffbccbce770ce65d84","name":"Real Trader","description":"Completed a transaction","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2e08a1cc2087a1de93402c2c290fa65b","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4504a6397ce1137932d56e5f4ce27166","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4b22c79415b4cd6e3d8ebc4a0fa32604","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":1,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2024.10.08","individualDisplayEnabled":0,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1100},"crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":529239143429472,"objectIdStr":"529239143429472","type":1,"supId":0,"supIdStr":"0","prevId":0,"prevIdStr":"0","content":"I like how your post frames <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/MSTR\">$Strategy(MSTR)$</a> as a structure story, not just earnings noise. <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/BTCmain\">$CME Bitcoin - main 2602(BTCmain)$</a> share dilution shifts positioning and volatility fast. Watching liquidity pockets and gamma flow into earnings. Similar regime risk sits in <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/COIN\">$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$</a> momentum here.","text":"I like how your post frames <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/MSTR\">$Strategy(MSTR)$</a> as a structure story, not just earnings noise. <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/BTCmain\">$CME Bitcoin - main 2602(BTCmain)$</a> share dilution shifts positioning and volatility fast. Watching liquidity pockets and gamma flow into earnings. Similar regime risk sits in <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/COIN\">$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$</a> momentum here.","html":"I like how your post frames <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/MSTR\">$Strategy(MSTR)$</a> as a structure story, not just earnings noise. <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/BTCmain\">$CME Bitcoin - main 2602(BTCmain)$</a> share dilution shifts positioning and volatility fast. Watching liquidity pockets and gamma flow into earnings. Similar regime risk sits in <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/COIN\">$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$</a> momentum here.","likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"subComments":[],"verified":10,"allocateAmount":0,"commentType":"hot","coins":0,"score":0,"disclaimerType":0},{"id":529325875094776,"commentId":"529325875094776","gmtCreate":1770251999192,"gmtModify":1770252307122,"authorId":4186117467483482,"author":{"id":4186117467483482,"idStr":"4186117467483482","authorId":4186117467483482,"name":"Cool Cat Winston","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/00bf531d62a6793687bac561025edfdb","vip":1,"crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":529239143429472,"objectIdStr":"529239143429472","type":1,"supId":0,"supIdStr":"0","prevId":0,"prevIdStr":"0","content":"Your post nails how sentiment dominates <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/MSTR\">$Strategy(MSTR)$</a> here. Liquidity pockets below support matter if <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/BTCmain\">$CME Bitcoin - main 2602(BTCmain)$</a> slips again. Momentum and cross asset flow still rule this regime. Watching earnings reaction similar to <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/COIN\">$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$</a> positioning lately.","text":"Your post nails how sentiment dominates <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/MSTR\">$Strategy(MSTR)$</a> here. Liquidity pockets below support matter if <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/BTCmain\">$CME Bitcoin - main 2602(BTCmain)$</a> slips again. Momentum and cross asset flow still rule this regime. Watching earnings reaction similar to <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/COIN\">$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$</a> positioning lately.","html":"Your post nails how sentiment dominates <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/MSTR\">$Strategy(MSTR)$</a> here. Liquidity pockets below support matter if <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/BTCmain\">$CME Bitcoin - main 2602(BTCmain)$</a> slips again. Momentum and cross asset flow still rule this regime. Watching earnings reaction similar to <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/COIN\">$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$</a> positioning lately.","likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"subComments":[],"verified":10,"allocateAmount":0,"commentType":"hot","coins":0,"score":0,"disclaimerType":0},{"id":529343297209000,"commentId":"529343297209000","gmtCreate":1770256369321,"gmtModify":1770256870334,"authorId":4185249037082782,"author":{"id":4185249037082782,"idStr":"4185249037082782","authorId":4185249037082782,"name":"Queengirlypops","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/ad05acb3d3297a3680627eb89cafdbc8","vip":1,"crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":529239143429472,"objectIdStr":"529239143429472","type":1,"supId":0,"supIdStr":"0","prevId":0,"prevIdStr":"0","content":"nah this post actually flipped my brain, everyone screaming earnings but you zoomed straight into <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/BTCmain\">$CME Bitcoin - main 2602(BTCmain)$</a> per share dilution and positioning, like THAT’S the real momentum driver rn?? volatility crazy, liquidity pockets below, gamma and Vanna flow ready to send things either way, whole cross asset regime feels shaky and <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/MSTR\">$Strategy(MSTR)$</a> legit moves on sentiment vibes now, tomorrow gonna be chaos fr 🧃","text":"nah this post actually flipped my brain, everyone screaming earnings but you zoomed straight into <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/BTCmain\">$CME Bitcoin - main 2602(BTCmain)$</a> per share dilution and positioning, like THAT’S the real momentum driver rn?? volatility crazy, liquidity pockets below, gamma and Vanna flow ready to send things either way, whole cross asset regime feels shaky and <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/MSTR\">$Strategy(MSTR)$</a> legit moves on sentiment vibes now, tomorrow gonna be chaos fr 🧃","html":"nah this post actually flipped my brain, everyone screaming earnings but you zoomed straight into <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/BTCmain\">$CME Bitcoin - main 2602(BTCmain)$</a> per share dilution and positioning, like THAT’S the real momentum driver rn?? volatility crazy, liquidity pockets below, gamma and Vanna flow ready to send things either way, whole cross asset regime feels shaky and <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/MSTR\">$Strategy(MSTR)$</a> legit moves on sentiment vibes now, tomorrow gonna be chaos fr 🧃","likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"subComments":[],"verified":10,"allocateAmount":0,"commentType":"hot","coins":0,"score":0,"disclaimerType":0},{"id":529339699213496,"commentId":"529339699213496","gmtCreate":1770255505758,"gmtModify":1770256869956,"authorId":4172293714339752,"author":{"id":4172293714339752,"idStr":"4172293714339752","authorId":4172293714339752,"name":"Kiwi Tigress","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/44439795b309a195e7cd7613ce58f08f","vip":1,"currentWearingBadge":{"badgeId":"9427a906234c4b18a82ec3d7730b7fa8-1","templateUuid":"9427a906234c4b18a82ec3d7730b7fa8","name":"Star Contributor","description":"Published at least 3 PICK posts (or 10 IDEA posts) and, within the past 30 days, posted at least 1 PICK post (or 4 IDEA posts) and 1 comment","bigImgUrl":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/1866dcf97a73be1c330f85862546aedc","smallImgUrl":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/4f5c5fa8e2c7683bb5a7fce8753ee456","redirectLinkEnabled":1,"redirectLink":"https://ttm.financial/activity/market/2023/star-contributors/","hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":1,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2025.01.08","individualDisplayEnabled":0,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":2007},"crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":529239143429472,"objectIdStr":"529239143429472","type":1,"supId":0,"supIdStr":"0","prevId":0,"prevIdStr":"0","content":"yeah kinda wild seeing how you broke down dilution vs <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/BTCmain\">$CME Bitcoin - main 2602(BTCmain)$</a> per share, fr makes the earnings less hype and more structure driven. ngl volatility on <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/MSTR\">$Strategy(MSTR)$</a> feels heavy and momentum still shaky, lowkey watching how flow reacts after numbers","text":"yeah kinda wild seeing how you broke down dilution vs <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/BTCmain\">$CME Bitcoin - main 2602(BTCmain)$</a> per share, fr makes the earnings less hype and more structure driven. ngl volatility on <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/MSTR\">$Strategy(MSTR)$</a> feels heavy and momentum still shaky, lowkey watching how flow reacts after numbers","html":"yeah kinda wild seeing how you broke down dilution vs <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/BTCmain\">$CME Bitcoin - main 2602(BTCmain)$</a> per share, fr makes the earnings less hype and more structure driven. ngl volatility on <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/MSTR\">$Strategy(MSTR)$</a> feels heavy and momentum still shaky, lowkey watching how flow reacts after numbers","likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"subComments":[],"verified":10,"allocateAmount":0,"commentType":"hot","coins":0,"score":0,"disclaimerType":0},{"id":529360957797152,"commentId":"529360957797152","gmtCreate":1770260684672,"gmtModify":1770260761144,"authorId":4177356503735472,"author":{"id":4177356503735472,"idStr":"4177356503735472","authorId":4177356503735472,"name":"Tui Jude","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c07f673d37a33a824f84d9bc27efb2f7","vip":1,"currentWearingBadge":{"badgeId":"a83d7582f45846ffbccbce770ce65d84-1","templateUuid":"a83d7582f45846ffbccbce770ce65d84","name":"实盘交易者","description":"完成一笔实盘交易","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2e08a1cc2087a1de93402c2c290fa65b","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4504a6397ce1137932d56e5f4ce27166","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4b22c79415b4cd6e3d8ebc4a0fa32604","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":1,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2024.04.30","individualDisplayEnabled":0,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1100},"crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":529239143429472,"objectIdStr":"529239143429472","type":1,"supId":0,"supIdStr":"0","prevId":0,"prevIdStr":"0","content":"Your breakdown shows cross asset pressure clearly, <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/BTCmain\">$CME Bitcoin - main 2602(BTCmain)$</a> weakness feeding into <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/MSTR\">$Strategy(MSTR)$</a> support tests. Momentum feels flow driven, not fundamental. Earnings could reset regime expectations. Seeing similar volatility structure in <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/MARA\">$MARA Holdings(MARA)$</a> lately.","text":"Your breakdown shows cross asset pressure clearly, <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/BTCmain\">$CME Bitcoin - main 2602(BTCmain)$</a> weakness feeding into <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/MSTR\">$Strategy(MSTR)$</a> support tests. Momentum feels flow driven, not fundamental. Earnings could reset regime expectations. Seeing similar volatility structure in <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/MARA\">$MARA Holdings(MARA)$</a> lately.","html":"Your breakdown shows cross asset pressure clearly, <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/BTCmain\">$CME Bitcoin - main 2602(BTCmain)$</a> weakness feeding into <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/MSTR\">$Strategy(MSTR)$</a> support tests. Momentum feels flow driven, not fundamental. Earnings could reset regime expectations. Seeing similar volatility structure in <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/MARA\">$MARA Holdings(MARA)$</a> lately.","likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"subComments":[],"verified":10,"allocateAmount":0,"commentType":"valid","coins":0,"score":0,"disclaimerType":0},{"id":529363018220080,"commentId":"529363018220080","gmtCreate":1770261229739,"gmtModify":1770265715289,"authorId":4172287591330932,"author":{"id":4172287591330932,"idStr":"4172287591330932","authorId":4172287591330932,"name":"Hen Solo","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e8f9d57b757c07c87986ef8a0be25085","vip":1,"currentWearingBadge":{"badgeId":"a83d7582f45846ffbccbce770ce65d84-1","templateUuid":"a83d7582f45846ffbccbce770ce65d84","name":"Real Trader","description":"Completed a transaction","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2e08a1cc2087a1de93402c2c290fa65b","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4504a6397ce1137932d56e5f4ce27166","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4b22c79415b4cd6e3d8ebc4a0fa32604","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":1,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2024.03.23","individualDisplayEnabled":0,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1100},"crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":529239143429472,"objectIdStr":"529239143429472","type":1,"supId":0,"supIdStr":"0","prevId":0,"prevIdStr":"0","content":"I’m aligned with your macro view, dilution versus <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/BTCmain\">$CME Bitcoin - main 2602(BTCmain)$</a> per share matters more than EPS. Positioning feels stretched and resistance overhead looks heavy. Earnings gamma and Vanna flows may drive swings. Seeing parallels in <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/RIOT\">$Riot Platforms(RIOT)$</a> structure.","text":"I’m aligned with your macro view, dilution versus <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/BTCmain\">$CME Bitcoin - main 2602(BTCmain)$</a> per share matters more than EPS. Positioning feels stretched and resistance overhead looks heavy. Earnings gamma and Vanna flows may drive swings. Seeing parallels in <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/RIOT\">$Riot Platforms(RIOT)$</a> structure.","html":"I’m aligned with your macro view, dilution versus <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/BTCmain\">$CME Bitcoin - main 2602(BTCmain)$</a> per share matters more than EPS. Positioning feels stretched and resistance overhead looks heavy. Earnings gamma and Vanna flows may drive swings. Seeing parallels in <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/RIOT\">$Riot Platforms(RIOT)$</a> structure.","likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"subComments":[],"verified":10,"allocateAmount":0,"commentType":"valid","coins":0,"score":0,"disclaimerType":0}],"isCommentEnd":false,"isTiger":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"url":"/m/post/529239143429472"}