$MSFT$
The most striking move: 150k call contracts printed on Wednesday — 100k bought in the 575 strike, 50k in the 625 strike. Another 100k short on the 675 call.
$MSFT 20270115 575.0 CALL$ — 100k opened
$MSFT 20270115 625.0 CALL$ — 50k opened
$MSFT 20270115 675.0 CALL$ — 50k opened
$MSFT 20261218 675.0 CALL$ — 50k opened
Not much fundamental support for a run to new highs right now. That said, the stock looks washed out — solid candidate for selling puts.
$SPY$
One clean short-vol collar: sell 710 call $SPY 20260417 710.0 CALL$ , sell 640 put $SPY 20260417 640.0 PUT$ . Tells you where the street thinks we trade into Q2 earnings.
$TSLA$
Still range-bound. Sell puts sub-370 works.
Notable: 28k 410 calls opened Monday $TSLA 20260320 410.0 CALL$ — execution looked neutral, but tagged as sell flow.
Institutions selling 412.5 calls $TSLA 20260306 412.5 CALL$ , hedging with 425s. Breakout unlikely near term.
$GOOGL$
A "haircut" put trade: $GOOGL 20260515 215.0 PUT$ . Down 14% from highs but still expensive on P/E. Deep OTM puts like this are betting the market punishes names that haven't corrected hard. Probably won't get there.
Realistic support? Nov low at 270. Might not even see that.
$NVDA$
Good news: put expectations are converging. Bad news: they're converging on 160–170.
$AAPL$
Some 0DTE call selling at 270 — not everyone's on the same page with the pullback thesis.
Pre-war, a sell-put order on the April 270 put $AAPL 20260417 270.0 PUT$ went through: 7,736 contracts.
$AMZN$
Similar to MSFT — drawdown target is the prior low.
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