Every time $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ tags the upper channel stretching back to the 2009 bottom —
It gets REJECTED.
2011.
2014.
2018.
2022.
2025.
Five touches.
Five rejections.
Zero exceptions.
You know what follows every single one?
Mean reversion to the channel midpoint - at MINIMUM.
2026 just became touch #6.
Number six won't be different.
Blaming Elliott Wave is like blaming technical analysis for a bad trade.
The framework didn't fail — the PRACTITIONER did.
Almost everyone is awful at it.
But the one time they apply it CORRECTLY, at the right time?
They're not reading charts anymore.
They're holding a crystal ball.
One taste of that precision and you're HOOKED.
Comments
Great article, would you like to share it?