The short-term pullback I called for is now playing out. I'm leaning toward more downside before the market finds support. 📉 Two key scenarios to watch for $S&P 500(.SPX)$ : Path 1: Weekly support at 7,350–7,275. Path 2: If that support zone breaks, a deeper correction toward 7,000 comes into play. The bigger picture remains unchanged: my long-term target is still 10,000. ⚠️ $E-mini S&P 500 - main 2612(ESmain)$ JUST DROPPED 200 POINTS — RIGHT INTO THE TARGET The sell signal was sent. The setup: • Bearish SMT divergence with $YM at the prior week's high. • iFVG trigger confirmed the short setup. • A sharp Wave 3 decline followed, matching the projected path. This setup combines the SMT Model wi

The bearish setup is now active. $E-mini S&P 500 - main 2612(ESmain)$ has triggered a sell signal after several technical factors aligned: bearish SMT divergence against $YM at the prior week's high, followed by an inverse Fair Value Gap (iFVG) entry trigger. The weekly chart is adding another warning. 📉 $ES: The Bearish Case Three signals are lining up: 1️⃣ Bearish SMT: $ES and $YM showed relative weakness at the previous week's high, signaling a potential loss of upside momentum. 2️⃣ iFVG Trigger: Price subsequently confirmed the bearish setup through an inverse Fair Value Gap, providing the entry signal. 3️⃣ Weekly Candle Sweep: The weekly chart also printed a bearish sweep, adding higher-timeframe confirmation to the setup. 🎯 Downside

The rally may have more room to run, but don't mistake a bounce for a confirmed uptrend. 👀 📉 What I'm Watching Early weakness tomorrow could bring a dip before the FOMC decision. The downtrend line drawn from the recent highs remains intact and has not yet been broken. After a potential pullback, the FOMC could trigger another push higher toward last week's high and daily fair value gap (FVG) resistance at 7,754. ⚠️ The Bigger Picture I'm still leaning toward another move higher in the short term, but this remains a corrective rally—not a confirmed trend reversal. The key is how price reacts around resistance. A rally into 7,754 doesn't automatically mean the market has turned bullish. 🎯 My Plan: Watch for early weakness first, then see whether the FOMC provides the catalyst for another le

📊 Smart Money Zones have delivered mixed results this month. Some setups failed despite strong historical track records, while others are already paying off. 🟣 $Hut 8 Mining Corp(HUT)$ — Watching for a Bounce $HUT is sitting at the top of its weekly Smart Money Zone. Historically, this area has acted as a long-term buying signal about 70% of the time, often preceding a rebound. The stock has historically returned to its $140 swing high within 8–12 months. 🎯 Optimal buy zone: ~$59 🛑 Stop loss: Below $42 🔻 $Cipher Mining Inc.(CIFR)$ — The Setup Failed Last month, I was extremely bullish on $CIFR as it pulled back into the weekly Smart Money Zone. Historically, price often bounces from this level and returns

$WTI Crude Oil - main 2612(CLmain)$ broke through its March highs — and the oil trade played out exactly as planned. I said oil wasn't done, the equal highs were the magnet, and a continued rally in crude would put pressure on equities. That's exactly what happened. Oil pushed to new highs while stocks sold off, following the scenario I laid out. 📈 The trade was executed live: Ticker: $United States Oil Fund LP(USO)$ Entry: $152.79 on Oct. 13 Exit: $168.58 Return: +10.33% The setup was built around the W4/W5 structure, with equal highs serving as the upside target. The key was identifying the likely path before the breakout and sticking to the plan as price moved toward that level. The oil thesis playe

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ just hit daily resistance right into the gap, while the $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ divergence near the highs raises another warning. Another push higher? Sure, it’s possible. But the bigger picture hasn’t changed. 🎯 My target: October lows. The next multi-week move is likely lower. Don’t confuse a short-term bounce with a trend reversal. Stay disciplined. Respect resistance. Let price action confirm the move. Markets are always moving - and sometimes, the best move is knowing what works for you. With Treasury yields, oil prices and rate expectations keeping markets on edge this week, investors are once again thinking carefully about where to position next. There’s no one-size-fits-all choice in

The $S&P 500(.SPX)$ just made a new all-time high. But $E-mini S&P 500 - main 2612(ESmain)$ didn’t. 👀 We saw the same divergence in February 2025. What followed? A 20% selloff in just seven weeks. Could history repeat itself? Maybe not. There’s no guarantee we’ll see another 20% drop this time. But this divergence is a warning sign worth watching. 🚨 📉 New highs without confirmation from futures deserve attention. Don't assume the market will crash. But don't ignore the signal, either. Stay alert. Protect your capital. Let price action confirm the next move. 🛡️ Markets are always moving - and sometimes, the best move is knowing what works for you. With Treasury yields, oil prices and rate expec

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ The bearish setup we flagged on Wednesday is now playing out. The ending diagonal has been confirmed, strengthening the case that October’s high could hold for weeks, not just days. 🎯 Downside targets: 7,600 — First target 7,500 — Next downside level Bulls had their chance to defend the structure, but the breakdown has shifted the near-term outlook. ⚠️ Watch how price reacts at 7,600. Until the market shows a convincing reversal, the risk of further downside remains. The top may be in. Now the levels matter. 📊 Markets are always moving - and sometimes, the best move is knowing what works for you. With Treasury yields, oil prices and rate expectations keeping markets on edge this week, investors are once again thinking carefully

The bearish $S&P 500(.SPX)$ setup is now taking shape. The ABC-up within the final 5th wave is confirmed, and the daily iFVG has triggered. The weekly signal could be next. My read: the ending diagonal is complete, and the all-time high may hold as the market turns lower. 🎯 First downside target: 7,600 — where the B-wave low aligns with the 2/4 channel. The key now is whether the weekly signal confirms the daily bearish setup. Markets are always moving - and sometimes, the best move is knowing what works for you. With Treasury yields, oil prices and rate expectations keeping markets on edge this week, investors are once again thinking carefully about where to position next. There’s no one-size-fits-all choice in investing — and the same goes f

I’m looking for early strength this week, followed by a pullback toward last week’s low, then one final extension higher. 🎯 Final upside targets $S&P 500(.SPX)$ : 7,865–7,900 $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ : 783.50–787 That’s the zone where I expect the final 5th wave to terminate and the ending diagonal to complete. But the reversal signal matters more than the target. 🚨 The trigger to watch $SPX daily close below 7,754 Equivalent $SPY level: 772.65 A daily close below that threshold would trigger my sell signal and point to the start of a sharp move lower. The plan: Watch for early strength, let the final extension develop, and stay alert for confirmation of the reversal. The upside targets are co

🚨 $S&P 500(.SPX)$ FAKE BULLISH REVERSAL The sell signal TRIGGERED. $SPX pushed lower, then recovered sharply into the close. That rebound looks more like a setup for a short than a confirmed reversal. 👀 I’m watching for the short setup tomorrow. If sellers step back in, the rally could get SOLD. 🎯 Key downside levels: → 7,600 | $SPY 758 next → 7,500 | $SPY 747 if it flushes The key question now: does tomorrow’s bounce attract buyers, or does it become another opportunity for sellers? ⚠️ Markets are always moving - and sometimes, the best move is knowing what works for you. With Treasury yields, oil prices and rate expectations keeping markets on edge this week, investors are once again thinking carefully about where to position next. There’s n

🚨 $S&P 500(.SPX)$ SELL SIGNAL TRIGGERED. The setup just shifted decisively lower. 🔻 Bearish SMT with $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ at the August high 🔻 Closed below 7,657 🔻 Daily FVG support has now inverted 🔻 Bearish W3 decline is officially in play The levels I’m watching next: 🎯 $SPX 7,600 If that breaks: ⚠️ $SPX 7,500 And if the selling really accelerates: 💥 $SPY 747 The key change here is the loss of 7,657. That level was holding the structure together. Now it has been lost, and the former support zone has flipped into resistance. 📉 Momentum has shifted. Now we watch whether $SPX can stabilize around 7,600 — or whether the W3 move starts accelerating. Markets are always moving - and sometimes, the best move

$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ Price has rallied straight back into Daily FVG resistance and is now showing rejection. 📉 I’m leaning toward the 2/B-wave rally topping here. Key levels matter: 🔻 Below 762 on a daily close → SELL SIGNAL → Daily FVG could invert → Opens the door to the next larger wave DOWN 🚀 Above 772.57 → Bearish setup invalidated → Bias flips bullish → ATHs back in play For now, the market is sitting right at the decision zone. 762 = breakdown trigger772.57 = bullish reclaim 👀 Let price confirm the next move. Markets are always moving - and sometimes, the best move is knowing what works for you. With Treasury yields, oil prices and rate expectations keeping markets on edge this week, investors are once again thinking carefully a