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Part 3 of 5 > S&P500 outlook (13Apr26) - most indicators are b...ish

Market Outlook of S&P500 (13Apr2026)

Technical Analysis Overview

MACD Indicator

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator for the S&P 500 has completed a bottom cross-over, showing an uptrend.

Chaikin Money Flow

The Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) stands at -0.14, indicating there is more selling momentum than buying pressure in the market.

Moving Averages

Examining the moving averages, the most recent price action shows the last candlestick has been above the 50-day moving average (MA50) and the 200-day moving average (MA200). This pattern indicates a bullish shift in both the short and long term. Notably, the MA50 line has begun to slope downward for the first time in recent months, raising the possibility of a “death cross” forming—a bearish technical pattern where the MA50 crosses below the MA200.

Exponential Moving Averages

The exponential moving average (EMA) lines have converged and a bullish outlook is expected following this confirmation.

Other Technical Analysis

The technical analysis of the S&P 500, based on daily intervals, reveals a highly favourable outlook for the index. Out of a total of 20 indicators reviewed, 19 are signalling a “buy” rating, while just one suggests a “sell” rating. This strong majority of buy recommendations indicates robust positive sentiment and positions the S&P 500 as a “strong buy” for the upcoming week.

CNN Fear & Greed Index

The market sentiment remains in the “Fear” zone with a score of 38. While it is an improvement from last week’s score of 15, the market continues to reflect a “fearful” sentiment.

Weekly Outlook

Considering the above, the overall technical picture leans towards a (slightly) bullish outlook for the S&P 500 in the coming week.

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$Vanguard S&P 500 ETF(VOO)$

$Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$

Buffett Said No to "Bottom Fish": Is He Waiting For Further Decline?

The recent market turbulence has rattled plenty of investors. Yet Buffett brushed it off in a single line: "This is nothing." In his own historical frame of reference, Berkshire Hathaway's stock has gone through three separate drawdowns exceeding 50%. Measured against that, the current pullback barely registers. He said, "We aren't in it to make 5% or 6%." "If there is a big decline... we will deploy." Q1: What does Buffett's "big decline" actually mean to you? S&P 500 down another 10%? Q2: If you were Buffett right now, what would you do? Q3: What's your current positioning?

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