Cadi Poon
05-13
Q1 revenue $14.7M, vs. Street expectations of $39M, a gap of over 60%. Loss per share $0.66, Street expected $0.24, loss nearly tripled. Operating expenses $164.1M, engineering and administrative expenses climbed significantly.

Only bright spot: Full-year guidance maintained at $150–200M, cash reserves $3.5 billion, no short-term shortage of money. Obtained FCC authorization allowing 248 satellites to provide commercial services in the US. Technically, Block 1 satellites peaked at 98.9 Mbps download; Block 2 is expected to double. Market cap once reached 32 billion, while Q1 actual revenue was $14.73 million. Launch execution is the most critical variable this year—3 satellites in mid-June, followed by 20+. Blue Origin let a satellite enter the wrong orbit last month; execution risk is real.

SpaceX Rebounds 2.6% but BofA Issues Cautious Target — Can You Trust Wall Street's Bull Chorus?
SpaceX (SPCX) rebounded 2.60% to $152, halting a steep decline — but the signals conflict. A wave of Wall Street "buy" ratings just emerged, yet Bank of America set a target markets are calling "alarming," fueling debate over what analysts see that retail doesn't. Two new ETFs have even explicitly excluded Musk-linked assets. With institutions shouting buy while flashing cautious targets, do you trust the bullish call on SpaceX — or stay wary of a high-volatility falling knife?
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