SpaceX Falls 1.4% Monday; European Rival Eyes $2B Valuation as Challenger?

SpaceX-linked shares closed down 1.36% Monday, falling alongside broader Musk-related names. A European rocket startup is racing toward a $2 billion valuation, directly targeting SpaceX's launch dominance; analysts note its closest IPO comparable 'is not Tesla.' The competitive landscape and valuation benchmarks for commercial space are under fresh scrutiny. With a European challenger entering the arena and proxy-share premiums under pressure, how long can SpaceX's scarcity premium hold?

avatar非一般股民
07-30 14:20
rocket
avatarJC888
07-30 11:31

MS : SPCX is $15 from Zero AI value ! True ?

. $SpaceX(SPCX)$ stock story since its June 2026 IPO has been dramatic. On Fri, 12 Jun 2026, SPCX shares debuted at $160.95, then briefly soared past $200, hitting an all-time-high of $225.64 on 16 Jun 2026, and then (without warning) collapsed to nearly $115 by late July 2026, erasing over a trillion dollars in market value, in the process. (see below) As of 27 Jul 2026 endday On Mon, 27 Jul 2026, it continues to slide, pushing closer to the $100 mark that $Morgan Stanley(MS)$ warned. (see above) It showed that market is willing to push closer to the threshold where that “worthless AI” framing becomes more than just a provocative headline. Morgan Stanley Says. MS, MD & Global Auto & Shared Mobility
MS : SPCX is $15 from Zero AI value ! True ?
avatarSPOT_ON
07-29 08:59
BULLISH ADOBE !!!
avatarTigerOptions
07-28 16:48

Why SpaceX’s Post-IPO Decline Is Testing the Market’s Most Ambitious Valuation

$SpaceX(SPCX)$ completed the largest initial public offering in history in June, but its shares have since fallen below their $135 offering price. The decline shows that even a dominant launch and satellite company must ultimately justify its valuation through revenue, cash flow and capital discipline. SpaceX priced its IPO on June 11 and began trading on June 12. The company sold approximately 555.6 million shares and raised $75 billion, valuing the business at roughly $1.77 trillion. Elon Musk retained approximately 82% voting control. Reuters’ June 11 IPO report provides the financing and governance details. The bullish case begins with vertical integration. SpaceX manufactures rockets, launches payloads and operates Starlink, enabling it to re
Why SpaceX’s Post-IPO Decline Is Testing the Market’s Most Ambitious Valuation
Never underestimate Elon. $spcx was probably one of biggest trap , but buying under 100 $, tt to step in around 80$ and holding for years that's certainly will be great 
$SPCX$  Is SpaceX worth buying at around US$111/share?  My view: Yes, if you believe in Starlink. Many investors are focused on Starship, AI, and future moon or Mars missions. But let’s ignore all of that for a moment and assume a conservative scenario where Starlink is the only meaningful business. Base case  Starlink remains SpaceX’s core revenue and profit engine, contributing the majority of the company’s operating earnings. It has grown rapidly to over 10 million subscribers and continues to expand globally. (Reuters⁠) Independent estimates place Starlink’s 2026 revenue in the US$18–20 billion range. (tradingkey.com⁠) Using a conservative technology infrastructure valuation: Revenue: US$20 billion R

Why Rocket Lab’s $266 Million Contract Matters More Than Its Initial Stock Gain

$Rocket Lab USA, Inc.(RKLB)$’s new US Space Force award demonstrates that the company is developing a second launch franchise alongside its established orbital business. The contract is strategically meaningful, although the valuation still assumes substantial future execution. The Space Force awarded Rocket Lab a firm-fixed-price contract worth as much as $266 million for 12 suborbital launch vehicles, with an option for six additional vehicles. Launches are expected from Alaska’s Pacific Spaceport Complex, and $112 million was initially obligated. The award occurred on July 21 and was reported publicly on July 22. GovConWire’s contract report details the quantity, structure and funding. The missions will use HASTE, a suborbital derivative of Roc
Why Rocket Lab’s $266 Million Contract Matters More Than Its Initial Stock Gain

Three Earnings, Three AI Realities: Google Monetizes, Tesla Burns Cash, IBM Gets Squeezed

Alphabet, Tesla and IBM reported earnings on the same night—and together they offered one of the clearest snapshots yet of where the AI spending cycle stands. Google showed that AI infrastructure can already drive explosive cloud growth. Tesla showed how quickly AI, robotaxi and robotics investment can consume cash before those businesses generate meaningful revenue. IBM showed another side of the cycle: corporate customers are prioritizing scarce servers, memory and storage, while some traditional IT projects are being delayed. The market is moving past a simple question—“Who is investing in AI?”—and focusing on something harder: Who can turn AI spending into revenue, margins and free cash flow? Google: AI demand is turning into cloud revenue Alphabet delivered the strongest operating gro
Three Earnings, Three AI Realities: Google Monetizes, Tesla Burns Cash, IBM Gets Squeezed

Best or Worst? Tesla 26Q2: Record Sales, Weaker Profits

Key Takeaways Revenue rose 26% YoY to US$28.24B. Deliveries hit 480,126 units, up 25% YoY. Automotive gross margin ex-credits fell to 16.3%. Operating margin dropped to 1.4%. CapEx reached US$5.79B, causing negative FCF of US$1.09B. 2026 CapEx will exceed US$25B. FSD paid users reached 1.48M. Robotaxi passed 380,000 unsupervised miles with no notable incidents. SpaceX gains added about US$1B to Tesla’s net income. TSLA fell around 4% after hours as investors focused on margins and cash flow. Tesla reported strong Q2 2026 revenue and record deliveries, but profit quality was much weaker. Revenue reached US$28.24B, up 26% YoY and above market estimates. Adjusted EPS came in at US$0.33, below the expected US$0.49. The result was clear: Tesla sold more cars, but earned less from each dollar of
Best or Worst? Tesla 26Q2: Record Sales, Weaker Profits
avatarJovan
07-22
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5x Gold and 3x Silver DLCs Rally >10% as Precious Metals Bounce Back

Gold rallied nearly 2% on Tuesday (21 July), trading around $4,080 following two consecutive weeks of losses as investors bought into the dip. Gold held its gains as traders weighed higher energy prices against softer US economic data, with the key US$4,000 psychological level continuing to provide technical support. Tracking the move, $SPDR Gold ETF(GLD)$ rose 1.96%, lifting the $GLD US 5xLongSG280609(GLDW.SI)$ by close to 10%, with the $GLD US 5xShortSG280609(GOSW.SI)$ declining a similar magnitude Silver staged an even stronger rebound, jumping more than 4% in its largest advance in over five weeks. $iShares Silv
5x Gold and 3x Silver DLCs Rally >10% as Precious Metals Bounce Back
$AST SpaceMobile, Inc.(ASTS)$  stay away till end of lockup
avatarzhingle
07-21
🚀 SpaceX Hits 7 Straight Red Days - Opportunity or Value Trap? This is exactly the type of setup that separates investors from traders. A stock falling 47% from its highs and trading below its IPO price ($135) doesn’t automatically make it cheap. It simply means sentiment has completely flipped. 📉 Why is SpaceX falling? This isn’t just because Elon Musk made controversial comments. There are multiple headwinds happening simultaneously: 🔹 1. IPO euphoria has completely unwound SpaceX listed with an extremely small public float. Scarcity pushed the stock above $220 within days, creating a valuation that many believed priced in years of future success. Now that excitement has faded, investors are asking harder questions: * How quickly can profits materialize? * Can AI investments justify toda

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Tesla Q2 Preview: Strong Deliveries, Heavy Spending, Flying SpaceX

Key Takeaways Q2 deliveries rose 34% QoQ to 480,126 vehicles. Deliveries exceeded production by 28,368 units, helping reduce inventory. Revenue may rise 23% QoQ, while gross margin may fall to 19.5%. Energy storage deployment jumped 53% QoQ to 13.5GWh. Q2 free cash flow may fall to negative US$3.25 billion. Capex may reach US$6.70 billion, equal to 24% of revenue. Robotaxi, FSD and Optimus still need clearer operating data. Terafab may support Tesla’s chip supply, but could add funding pressure. TSLA still trades at about 305 times 2026 GAAP earnings. $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ will report its Q2 2026 results after market close on 22 July.$Direxion Daily TSLA Bull 2X Shares(TSLL)$
Tesla Q2 Preview: Strong Deliveries, Heavy Spending, Flying SpaceX

CEO: SpaceX's record IPO was the space economy's opening act. Here's what comes next.

Every quarter, Space Capital tracks every dollar flowing into the space economy. The midyear numbers are in: Private investment totaled $31.6 billion across 129 space companies in the first half of 2026 — more than all of 2025, making this the strongest year on record for the space economy, with two quarters still to go. Since $SpaceX(SPCX)$ came online in 2009, the space economy has attracted $488 billion across more than 2,400 companies. If the SpaceX initial public offering (IPO) felt like a climax for the sector, the data suggests it was just the opening act. No event looms larger over these numbers than that IPO. The market finally has a public benchmark for the company that has done more than any other to shape the modern spa
CEO: SpaceX's record IPO was the space economy's opening act. Here's what comes next.
avatarAI_Dig
07-19

$SPCX: Rising Short Interest, Falling Shares, and a Divided Market

$SpaceX(SPCX)$ remains one of the market's most closely watched stocks—and one of its most polarizing. The stock has fallen roughly 45% from its June high, traded lower in nine of the last ten sessions, and recently slipped below its IPO price for the first time. At the same time, short sellers have continued to build positions, with reported short interest now approaching one-third of the company's public float, representing roughly $25 billion in bearish bets. Two Very Different Views The recent selloff has split investors into two camps. The bearish argument is centered on valuation. Even after the sharp decline, critics argue the company still trades at a rich multiple relative to revenue, suggesting much of its long-term growth is already ref
$SPCX: Rising Short Interest, Falling Shares, and a Divided Market
avatarIsleigh
07-18

SPCX Breaks Below $150: JPMorgan Says Merger Makes Sense. Morgan Stanley Says It Needs $672 Billion. Both Are Right.

The most important sentence published this week about SpaceX did not come from JPMorgan. It came from Morgan Stanley, which issued a Buy rating with a $300 price target and simultaneously disclosed that SpaceX faces a $672 billion funding gap with no projected free cash flow until 2035. Jim Chanos called that disclosure "truly glorious." He is correct. When your own bull case requires acknowledging a $672 billion capital hole and a decade without positive cash flow, the bull case needs more than a price target. It needs a compelling argument for why the market should fund that gap at current multiples. SPCX has fallen 35.6% from its all-time high of $225.64. It breached $150 this week, briefly traded below the $135 IPO price on July 15, and is currently trading around $123 to $139 dependin
SPCX Breaks Below $150: JPMorgan Says Merger Makes Sense. Morgan Stanley Says It Needs $672 Billion. Both Are Right.