Gagan Rajpal
06-07

*SpaceX IPO Countdown Hammers Space Stocks — Long or Short?* 🚀

SpaceX keeps teasing an IPO “someday” but every rumor sends space stocks swinging. Right now the “countdown” chatter is hitting tickers like $RKLB, $ASTR, $SPCE, $REDW hard. Why? Retail FOMO + rotation.

*The bull case - Long:*

If SpaceX files for IPO, it validates the whole commercial space thesis. Starship progress, Starlink cash flow, and government contracts make SpaceX the “Apple of space”. That hype lifts the entire sector. Funds that can’t buy private SpaceX will rotate into the closest public proxies like Rocket Lab $RKLB. An IPO also brings liquidity + media attention = more eyeballs on space. For long-term believers, dips on rumors are entry points.

*The bear case - Short:*

Most space SPACs are still burning cash with no profit. SpaceX IPO news actually steals the spotlight. Why buy a loss-making small launch company when you can finally own the real deal? That’s why you see space ETFs drop on SpaceX headlines. Plus “IPO soon” rumors have been around since 2019. If it’s another false alarm, stocks that pumped will get sold fast.

I’m not trading this on rumors alone. Space is high-risk, high-reward. If you’re long, size small and expect volatility. If you’re shorting, respect how fast hype moves.

SpaceX IPO Friday, Valuation Top Microsoft: Buy or Wait?
SpaceX is set to officially IPO this Friday in what may be the most consequential public offering in years. Some traders expect its market cap to surpass Microsoft on debut, while Wall Street projects AI-related revenue to surge 100x by 2030. The listing is widely seen as having drained hundreds of billions in liquidity ahead of last week's AI selloff — once IPO capital unlocks, oversold sectors could rebound sharply. Tradeable proxies including Rocket Lab and ASTS offer early exposure. Will you chase shares on day one, or wait for post-IPO euphoria to fade?
Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

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