Gagan Rajpal
06-07

*SpaceX IPO Countdown Hammers Space Stocks — Long or Short?* 🚀

SpaceX keeps teasing an IPO “someday” but every rumor sends space stocks swinging. Right now the “countdown” chatter is hitting tickers like $RKLB, $ASTR, $SPCE, $REDW hard. Why? Retail FOMO + rotation.

*The bull case - Long:*

If SpaceX files for IPO, it validates the whole commercial space thesis. Starship progress, Starlink cash flow, and government contracts make SpaceX the “Apple of space”. That hype lifts the entire sector. Funds that can’t buy private SpaceX will rotate into the closest public proxies like Rocket Lab $RKLB. An IPO also brings liquidity + media attention = more eyeballs on space. For long-term believers, dips on rumors are entry points.

*The bear case - Short:*

Most space SPACs are still burning cash with no profit. SpaceX IPO news actually steals the spotlight. Why buy a loss-making small launch company when you can finally own the real deal? That’s why you see space ETFs drop on SpaceX headlines. Plus “IPO soon” rumors have been around since 2019. If it’s another false alarm, stocks that pumped will get sold fast.

I’m not trading this on rumors alone. Space is high-risk, high-reward. If you’re long, size small and expect volatility. If you’re shorting, respect how fast hype moves.

SpaceX to Join Nasdaq 100, Space Stocks Surge, What to Buy?
SpaceX surged 7.15% ahead of its Nasdaq 100 inclusion, triggering mandatory passive fund allocation and igniting the broader space sector: Rocket Lab soared 15.93% and AST SpaceMobile spiked 21.44%. The index addition raises SpaceX's valuation anchor, with capital spillover fueling the entire launch and satellite-to-mobile connectivity chain. After a 20%-plus single-day sector rally, however, short-term sentiment is overheated and pullback risk is building. Will you chase the lead ETF SPCX, or bet on higher-beta RKLB and ASTS?
Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

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