$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ $Microsoft(MSFT)$ $Alphabet(GOOGL)$ π¨ Options Frenzy: $TSLA, $MSFT and $NVDA Lead as Earnings Season Heats Up ππ₯
Options activity is exploding as earnings season shifts into top gear, with AI, mega-cap tech and EVs dominating trader attention.
Microsoft $MSFT is one of the most interesting setups. Despite falling after 6 of its last 8 earnings reports, options traders remain overwhelmingly bullish. Its 50-day call/put ratio sits above 96% of all readings over the past year, showing traders continue to position for upside despite recent post-earnings weakness.
Top 10 Stocks by 10-Day Options Volume:
π₯ $NVDA: 35.89M
π₯ $TSLA: 26.43M
π₯ $AAPL: 15.61M
4οΈβ£ $MU: 8.24M
5οΈβ£ $META: 7.65M
6οΈβ£ $AMZN: 7.04M
7οΈβ£ $INTC: 6.78M
8οΈβ£ $SPX: 6.58M
9οΈβ£ $MSFT: 6.48M
π $NFLX: 6.09M
Tesla $TSLA also heads into tonightβs earnings as one of the marketβs biggest volatility events.
Current Wall Street expectations:
β’ Revenue: $27.58B, +23% YoY
β’ Adjusted EPS: $0.55, +38% YoY
β’ Automotive margin (ex-credits): 18.1%
β’ Free cash flow: -$3.25B
FY2026 expectations:
β’ Revenue: $105.22B
β’ Adjusted EPS: $2.08
β’ Deliveries: 1.73M vehicles
β’ Capex: $25.32B
β’ Free cash flow: -$9.85B
Key catalysts investors will be watching:
β‘ Automotive margins following record Q2 deliveries.
π€ Robotaxi rollout and international expansion.
π Cybercab production timeline.
π§ FSD subscription growth and monetisation.
π Whether management raises capital expenditure guidance above $25B.
Options markets are pricing a move of roughly Β±5% to Β±5.5% after the report, compared with Teslaβs average earnings move of about 7.5% over the past eight quarters. That suggests traders expect elevated volatility, but not an outsized surprise relative to history.
Other notable implied earnings moves tonight:
π $NOW: Β±10.51%
π $QS: Β±10.95%
π $KNX: Β±8.99%
π $TXN: Β±8.14%
π $LUV: Β±5.96%
π $IBM: Β±5.25%
π $GOOG: Β±5.15%
π $GOOGL: Β±4.85%
π $CSX: Β±3.58%
π $KMI: Β±2.93%
With AI leaders, EVs and enterprise software all reporting within days of each other, this could be one of the most important weeks of the quarter for market direction. Volatility often creates opportunity, but separating genuine breakouts from post-earnings traps will be the real challenge.
πβWhat surprises do you expect tonight? Will Tesla ignite the next rally, or will Microsoft finally buck its recent post-earnings trend?
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Trade like a boss! Happy trading ahead, Cheers, BC πππππ
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