When Nobody Wants $MSTR, Opportunity Often Starts to Build

Everyone wanted $Strategy(MSTR)$ at $450.

Down 75%, nobody wants it.

That’s usually where real bottoms form.

$MSTR has been crushed, but price is now compressing right under my Smart Money Zone.

Structure has marked long‑term bottoms about 65% of the time.

It now looks like we have both a long‑term and short‑term bottom in play.

Sentiment across crypto is awful.

That’s the job of a bottom.

Discounts show up when everyone hates it.

Premiums show up when retail is bragging about it.

Today’s tape: about $4M in calls traded, October 16 expiry, $130 strike.

By itself, that is not a reason for me to buy. But when unusual call flow lines up with smart‑money discount pricing, it usually precedes a meaningful short‑term move.

Inside my framework, I’m pricing in roughly a 50% move to the upside into late October / early November, with a decent chance of a rejection from that area on the first test.

If I were a long‑term investor in MSTR, this is a spot I’d be comfortable starting a position inside my rules. For a full move back to $450, I’d mentally budget up to 24 months.

On both timeframes it looks attractive.

The cost is patience.