This is the part I am payong m-To The Moon - Tiger Brokers Online Investing Community - To The Moon

This is the part I am payong most attention to right now.

"a 5% yield on the 10-year Treasury note BX:TMUBMUSD10Y could tip the tide into a selloff."

This is something we need to be aware of. The big money institution favors protection and returns as much as possible even as they love profit. A 5% treasury yield is guaranteed by the US Government.

This have the potential to suck up liquidity from the markets big time.

And let's not forget the US is busy raising cash to save the Japanese ¥. As well as fund their Iran quagmire.

The Fed Could Raise Interest Rates Three Times. Here's Where the Market Could Face the Stiffest Test.

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The big money institution favors protection and returns as much as possible even as they love profit. A 5% treasury yield is guaranteed by the US Government.&nbsp;</p>\n<p>This have the potential to suck up liquidity from the markets big time.</p>\n<p>And let's not forget the US is busy raising cash to save the Japanese ¥. As well as fund their Iran quagmire.</p></body></html>","htmlText":"<html><head></head><body><p>This is the part I am payong most attention to right now.&nbsp;</p>\n<p>\"a 5% yield on the 10-year Treasury note BX:TMUBMUSD10Y could tip the tide into a selloff.\"</p>\n<p>This is something we need to be aware of. The big money institution favors protection and returns as much as possible even as they love profit. A 5% treasury yield is guaranteed by the US Government.&nbsp;</p>\n<p>This have the potential to suck up liquidity from the markets big time.</p>\n<p>And let's not forget the US is busy raising cash to save the Japanese ¥. As well as fund their Iran quagmire.</p></body></html>","text":"This is the part I am payong most attention to right now. \"a 5% yield on the 10-year Treasury note BX:TMUBMUSD10Y could tip the tide into a selloff.\" This is something we need to be aware of. The big money institution favors protection and returns as much as possible even as they love profit. A 5% treasury yield is guaranteed by the US Government. This have the potential to suck up liquidity from the markets big time. And let's not forget the US is busy raising cash to save the Japanese ¥. As well as fund their Iran quagmire.","highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/607335356261056","repostId":2666577292,"repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2666577292","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Dow Jones","id":"106","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"pubTimestamp":1789293368,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2666577292?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2026-09-13 17:56","market":"fut","language":"en","title":"The Fed Could Raise Interest Rates Three Times. Here's Where the Market Could Face the Stiffest Test.","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2666577292","media":"Dow Jones","summary":"Economists note that the Fed historically has not been content to raise rates only onceFederal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh has stressed his concern about the outlook for inflation. The markets expect an interest-rate hike next week.With financial markets convinced the Federal Reserve will hike interest rates on Wednesday, two questions naturally follow: How high will rates go, and will tighter monetary policy lead to any breaks in financial markets?","content":"<html><head></head><body><p style=\"text-align: left;\">Economists note that the Fed historically has not been content to raise rates only once</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh has stressed his concern about the outlook for inflation. The markets expect an interest-rate hike next week.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">With financial markets convinced the Federal Reserve will hike interest rates on Wednesday, two questions naturally follow: How high will rates go, and will tighter monetary policy lead to any breaks in financial markets?</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">Economists note that the Fed historically has not been content to raise rates only once.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">Ian Lyngen, head of U.S. rates strategy at BMO Capital Markets, said he assumes that a quarter-point hike this month would be followed by similar hikes at both the Fed&#39;s October and December meetings.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">This would effectively undo the 2025 rate cuts pushed by former Fed Chairman Jerome Powell, and would bring the central bank&#39;s benchmark interest rate to a range of 4.25% to 4.5%.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">Josh Hirt, senior U.S. economist at Vanguard, said a forecast of three hikes is a &#34;pretty reasonable starting place&#34; for thinking about where the Fed might go. In an interview, he said the range of possible hikes is anywhere from one to six moves.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">As far as the repurcussions of such tighter monetary policy, Derek Tang, a policy economist at Monetary Policy Analytics, said two areas of potential financial-market vulnerabilities are clear: the optimism fueling the artificial-intelligence spending cycle, and the insurance sector&#39;s holdings of private credit.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">&#34;Those are a few things I think people should pay more attention to,&#34; Tang said.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">There is also growing unease about the U.S. budget deficit. Ruchir Sharma, chair of Rockerfeller International, said in a recent op-ed in the Financial Times that he was worried higher borrowing costs might short-circuit the AI boom. When Big Tech has to compete with a government paying a yield of 5% on its bonds, many firms may be crowded out of the debt markets.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">Charlie Ripley, senior portfolio manager at Allianz Investment Management, agreed that a 5% yield on the 10-year Treasury note BX:TMUBMUSD10Y could tip the tide into a selloff.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">In an interview with MarketWatch, Ripley pointed to the heavy borrowing needs of the &#34;hyperscalers&#34; of the AI race, including estimates of $1 trillion in capital expenditures annually over the next few years. Higher long-dated yields push up the cost of all that borrowing.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">The International Monetary Fund, meanwhile, has warned about the opaque nature of insurance companies that are partly or fully owned by private-equity firms. These firms have been investing in riskier fixed-income assets, and losses cause by volatility in the interest-rate environment could spill over into the banking sector.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">Vanguard&#39;s Hirt said the Fed&#39;s potential hiking cycle this year is different from previous cycles that led to seminal financial crises, like the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank in 2023 or the municipal bankruptcy of <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OBT\">Orange County</a>, Calif., in 1994.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">The Fed recently pursued a significant hiking cycle between 2022 and 2024, interest rates generally remain high and it would not be a sudden shift in expectations, he noted. In those famous cases that led to crises, the Fed was flipping the narrative; in this case, it is simply trying to find a level of rates that would put some downward pressure on inflation.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">There have been historical exceptions to the idea that one rate hike would lead to several more: In 1997, the Fed hiked rates once, and then made no moves until a rate cut 18 months later.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The Fed Could Raise Interest Rates Three Times. 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Here's Where the Market Could Face the Stiffest Test.\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2026-09-13 17:56</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p style=\"text-align: left;\">Economists note that the Fed historically has not been content to raise rates only once</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh has stressed his concern about the outlook for inflation. The markets expect an interest-rate hike next week.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">With financial markets convinced the Federal Reserve will hike interest rates on Wednesday, two questions naturally follow: How high will rates go, and will tighter monetary policy lead to any breaks in financial markets?</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">Economists note that the Fed historically has not been content to raise rates only once.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">Ian Lyngen, head of U.S. rates strategy at BMO Capital Markets, said he assumes that a quarter-point hike this month would be followed by similar hikes at both the Fed&#39;s October and December meetings.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">This would effectively undo the 2025 rate cuts pushed by former Fed Chairman Jerome Powell, and would bring the central bank&#39;s benchmark interest rate to a range of 4.25% to 4.5%.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">Josh Hirt, senior U.S. economist at Vanguard, said a forecast of three hikes is a &#34;pretty reasonable starting place&#34; for thinking about where the Fed might go. In an interview, he said the range of possible hikes is anywhere from one to six moves.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">As far as the repurcussions of such tighter monetary policy, Derek Tang, a policy economist at Monetary Policy Analytics, said two areas of potential financial-market vulnerabilities are clear: the optimism fueling the artificial-intelligence spending cycle, and the insurance sector&#39;s holdings of private credit.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">&#34;Those are a few things I think people should pay more attention to,&#34; Tang said.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">There is also growing unease about the U.S. budget deficit. Ruchir Sharma, chair of Rockerfeller International, said in a recent op-ed in the Financial Times that he was worried higher borrowing costs might short-circuit the AI boom. When Big Tech has to compete with a government paying a yield of 5% on its bonds, many firms may be crowded out of the debt markets.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">Charlie Ripley, senior portfolio manager at Allianz Investment Management, agreed that a 5% yield on the 10-year Treasury note BX:TMUBMUSD10Y could tip the tide into a selloff.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">In an interview with MarketWatch, Ripley pointed to the heavy borrowing needs of the &#34;hyperscalers&#34; of the AI race, including estimates of $1 trillion in capital expenditures annually over the next few years. Higher long-dated yields push up the cost of all that borrowing.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">The International Monetary Fund, meanwhile, has warned about the opaque nature of insurance companies that are partly or fully owned by private-equity firms. These firms have been investing in riskier fixed-income assets, and losses cause by volatility in the interest-rate environment could spill over into the banking sector.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">Vanguard&#39;s Hirt said the Fed&#39;s potential hiking cycle this year is different from previous cycles that led to seminal financial crises, like the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank in 2023 or the municipal bankruptcy of <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OBT\">Orange County</a>, Calif., in 1994.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">The Fed recently pursued a significant hiking cycle between 2022 and 2024, interest rates generally remain high and it would not be a sudden shift in expectations, he noted. In those famous cases that led to crises, the Fed was flipping the narrative; in this case, it is simply trying to find a level of rates that would put some downward pressure on inflation.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">There have been historical exceptions to the idea that one rate hike would lead to several more: In 1997, the Fed hiked rates once, and then made no moves until a rate cut 18 months later.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"UUP":"美元ETF-PowerShares DB","SCHO":"嘉信短期美国国债ETF","UDN":"做空美元指数-PowerShares","EDV":"美国延期国债ETF-Vanguard","TLH":"iShares安硕10-20年国债ETF","LQD":"债券指数ETF-iShares iBoxx投资级公司债","BND":"债券指数ETF-Vanguard美国","GBIL":"Goldman Sachs Access Treasury 0-1 Year ETF","SHV":"美国短期国债ETF-iShares","VCSH":"美国短期公司债-Vanguard","BSV":"短期国债指数ETF-Vanguard","VGSH":"美国短期国债ETF-Vanguard","SHY":"债券指数ETF-iShares Barclays 1-3年国债","BIL":"债券指数ETF-SPDR Barclays美国1-3月国债","MINT":"PIMCO Enhanced Short Maturity Exchange-Traded Fund","TBIL":"US Treasury 3 Month Bill ETF","VGIT":"中期国债ETF-Vanguard","USHY":"iShares Broad USD High Yield Corporate Bond ETF","IEI":"iShares Barclays 3-7 Year Trea","JPST":"JPMorgan Ultra-Short Income ETF","DBND":"DoubleLine Opportunistic Bond ETF","VCIT":"美国中期公司债-Vanguard","MUB":"美国市政债ETF-iShares","BOXX":"ALPHA ARCHITECT 1-3 MONTH BOX ETF","AGG":"债券指数ETF-iShares Barclays综合国债","KBE":"银行指数ETF-SPDR KBW","SKRE":"TUTTLE CAPITAL DAILY 2X INVERSE REGIONAL BANKS ETF","NGHT":"Nicholas Bitcoin and Treasuries AfterDark ETF","UBT":"债券20+美国债-ProShares两倍做多","TMF":"3倍做多20年期以上国债ETF-Direxion","FAZ":"三倍做空金融ETF-Direxion","HYG":"债券指数ETF-iShares iBoxx高收益公司债","VGLT":"美国长期国债ETF-Vanguard","ZROZ":"PIMCO 25+ Year Zero Coupon U.S","PBDC":"Putnam Bdc Income ETF","TYO":"3倍做空7-10年期国债ETF-Direxion","BOND":"Pimco Total Return ETF","GOVT":"iShares安硕核心美国国债ETF","TLTW":"iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond Buywrite Strategy ETF","TBT":"债券20+美国债指数ETF-ProShares两倍做空","GOLY":"Strategy Shares Gold Enhanced Yield ETF","TIP":"通胀债券指数ETF-iShares Barclays"},"source_url":"https://dowjonesnews.com/newdjn/logon.aspx?AL=N","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2666577292","content_text":"Economists note that the Fed historically has not been content to raise rates only onceFederal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh has stressed his concern about the outlook for inflation. The markets expect an interest-rate hike next week.With financial markets convinced the Federal Reserve will hike interest rates on Wednesday, two questions naturally follow: How high will rates go, and will tighter monetary policy lead to any breaks in financial markets?Economists note that the Fed historically has not been content to raise rates only once.Ian Lyngen, head of U.S. rates strategy at BMO Capital Markets, said he assumes that a quarter-point hike this month would be followed by similar hikes at both the Fed's October and December meetings.This would effectively undo the 2025 rate cuts pushed by former Fed Chairman Jerome Powell, and would bring the central bank's benchmark interest rate to a range of 4.25% to 4.5%.Josh Hirt, senior U.S. economist at Vanguard, said a forecast of three hikes is a \"pretty reasonable starting place\" for thinking about where the Fed might go. In an interview, he said the range of possible hikes is anywhere from one to six moves.As far as the repurcussions of such tighter monetary policy, Derek Tang, a policy economist at Monetary Policy Analytics, said two areas of potential financial-market vulnerabilities are clear: the optimism fueling the artificial-intelligence spending cycle, and the insurance sector's holdings of private credit.\"Those are a few things I think people should pay more attention to,\" Tang said.There is also growing unease about the U.S. budget deficit. Ruchir Sharma, chair of Rockerfeller International, said in a recent op-ed in the Financial Times that he was worried higher borrowing costs might short-circuit the AI boom. When Big Tech has to compete with a government paying a yield of 5% on its bonds, many firms may be crowded out of the debt markets.Charlie Ripley, senior portfolio manager at Allianz Investment Management, agreed that a 5% yield on the 10-year Treasury note BX:TMUBMUSD10Y could tip the tide into a selloff.In an interview with MarketWatch, Ripley pointed to the heavy borrowing needs of the \"hyperscalers\" of the AI race, including estimates of $1 trillion in capital expenditures annually over the next few years. Higher long-dated yields push up the cost of all that borrowing.The International Monetary Fund, meanwhile, has warned about the opaque nature of insurance companies that are partly or fully owned by private-equity firms. These firms have been investing in riskier fixed-income assets, and losses cause by volatility in the interest-rate environment could spill over into the banking sector.Vanguard's Hirt said the Fed's potential hiking cycle this year is different from previous cycles that led to seminal financial crises, like the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank in 2023 or the municipal bankruptcy of Orange County, Calif., in 1994.The Fed recently pursued a significant hiking cycle between 2022 and 2024, interest rates generally remain high and it would not be a sudden shift in expectations, he noted. In those famous cases that led to crises, the Fed was flipping the narrative; in this case, it is simply trying to find a level of rates that would put some downward pressure on inflation.There have been historical exceptions to the idea that one rate hike would lead to several more: In 1997, the Fed hiked rates once, and then made no moves until a rate cut 18 months later.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"BSV":1.5,"TBT":1.5,"BIL":1.5,"BND":1.5,"US7Y.BOND":1.5,"TBIL":1.5,"SHV":1.5,"US10Y.BOND":1.5,"TLH":1.5,"US6M.BOND":1.5,"SCHO":1.5,"LQD":1.5,"MUB":1.5,"VGIT":1.5,"GOLY":1.5,"TMF":1.5,"MINT":1.5,"TIP":1.5,"US2Y.BOND":1.5,"HYG":1.5,"DBND":1.5,"USHY":1.5,"VGSH":1.5,"KBE":1.5,"BOXX":1.5,"UDN":1.5,"ZROZ":1.5,"US3Y.BOND":1.5,"SKRE":1.5,"EDV":1.5,"IEI":1.5,"VGLT":1.5,"PBDC":1.5,"TLTW":1.5,"AGG":1.5,"TYO":1.5,"US12M.BOND":1.5,"VCSH":1.5,"SHY":1.5,"US5Y.BOND":1.5,"FAZ":1.5,"JPST":1.5,"NGHT":1.5,"UUP":1.5,"US30Y.BOND":1.5,"BOND":1.5,"UBT":1.5,"GBIL":1.5,"VCIT":1.5,"GOVT":1.5}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":24,"commentLimit":10,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"symbols":[],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"EN","currentLanguage":"EN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"andRepostAutoSelectedFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":433,"optionInvolvedFlag":false,"subscribersOnly":false,"subscribersOnlyAccessible":false,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ORIG"},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"isTiger":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"url":"/m/post/607335356261056"}