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It's the end for Strategy. Cash running out. Promised dividend payouts growing more since they have been selling more prefered shares to buy Bitcoin, at above $184k even! Now, MSCI sacking MSTR from the inclusion in the funds means institutional funds will be dumping MSTR shares. When the bad news hit normal companies, they can fall back to the continuity of the commerce activities. But with MSTR, they have no business other than holding Bitcoin in their treasury. It's gone.
Bitcoin Plummets to Three-Month Low as Spot Bitcoin ETFs See Major Outflows
Eh, Bitcoin has now fallen below $65k. At what point does this bring on the realisation that Cryptocurrencies are essentially make believe moneys whose value is purely based on sentiments and not industry. Whereas Anthropic (and OpenAI) has yet to show genuine operational profit, they do offer a service where one can see an already growing global adoption transform into the new engine of technology usuage. It is not surprising to see people dumping a make-believe idea for a visible and functioning new Industrial catalyst. Yes, I do see the money moving around and Cryptocurrencies will likely be the ones it is moving from.
Bitcoin Could Fall Even Further if Investors Cash Out to Buy into the Anthropic IPO
Possible Huangate After-Effect I am thinking though the possible effects we will be seeing from this very sad and unnecessary episode. 1) Congress and the US may ban Nvidia from selling all chips to China. 2) This may also apply to Singapore specifically, where Megaspeed was operating and buying from. 3) US based Datacentres/Neocloud companies may actually benefit as this means their allocation of chips increases. Plus, now Nvidia will have to go all out to support them to make up the export deficit. 4) Conversely, the new CEO may not want to continue the circular financing strategy for these US based customers.
NVIDIA and all Related AI Counters This week is ending with a whole series of bad news. Jensen's affair(s), can be called to be the single worst mistake of a single man in the history of the technology market, and probably the entire stock market, history. His departure comes at the worst time for NVDA. Not because NVDA is doing badly but because the market has already been spooked by all the noise about a bubble and the gigantic demands for funds to keep, not just the momentum, but the whole AI industry alive. But if NVDA can hold above $150 on Monday, and if on their Tuesday earnings call coming, stellar results are announced, the market may calm down and look beyond Jensen, and focus on the performance of the company. Further, if the board announces an A-Star name to ta
$NVIDIA(NVDA)$ This week is ending with a whole series of bag news. Jensen's departure being the worst for NVDA. But if NVDA can hold above $150, and if their coming results are stellar as expected, AND the AI bubble pop does not happen, we may see NVDA, and it's AI hanger-ons go even higher.
$Strategy(MSTR)$
$NEBIUS(NBIS)$ It's the Jensen effect. Coupled with a fear that AI stocks have become super-overpriced. NeoCloud in particular are hit bad due to Jensen being seen as the Godfather of all these companies. He is the one who was using Nvidia finances to lend them cash. To be used to buy Nvidia chips. Now we have to see if his successor will continue this strategy.
SMCI in Singapore and several other Asian countries have been reported to be under investigation for the reshipments of Nvidia chips. Watch for further news.
Why Super Micro Stock Rebounded After Hours Following an 11% Drop amid DOJ Probe Reports
Swimming Against The Tide I have written this before, about expecting the unexpected. Today, after Jensen's departure from Nvidia, everyone is saying the world is back to ending. Again, I repeat, if 90% of the post says to sell, I usually go the otherway and look for things to buy. No prize to guess who I am buying now.....
Post-Jensen AI Story I believe the bigger threat is more about it valuation than just the exit of one man. Even one a giant like Jensen. But what is also true is the negative impact on all those "newbie" companies that are supported by his "funding". CRWV, NBIS, Iren, etc. I worry for them as they will find it more difficult to get the money to spend on their needed Capex investments.
And yet it tanks 15% after results release. Once again, sell-on-news story. What this suggest to me is the market is just waiting to run. The AI players are in here for only a short time.
Nebius Beats Quarterly Revenue Estimates on Strong AI Demand
$Strategy(MSTR)$ Ponzi......
$NVIDIA(NVDA)$
We are not out of the woods. The reasons for the plunge last week is still there. High CAPEX and cash drain. Astronomical finance cost, negative cash conversions (for most of the AI stocks). The only thing that changed is due to one Quarterly results announcement from CRWV which sounded positive but needs careful reasing between the lines. Fact for CRWV is they are still needing fundings. But the CFO is now saying their funding costs is at a "lower" 7+%!!! 7+% is positive? Nuts. Expect the unexpected. Study the numbers but always expect the market to act purely on emotions. But when things settle down, the water finds the real level.
ETF Daily | CRWX, CWVX Soar 50%; DJTU Surges 42%; SOXL Jumps 18%; AI Cloud Infrastructure Rally Leads
It's about time! MSCI is not a viable business. It's a ponzi relying on just the value of their holdings of BTC. How is it that the SEC has nit dien anything at all?
MSCI to Drop Strategy from Global Indexes, Putting Billions in Fund Inflows at Risk
Opps. Will this be a drag on the rest of tech? Especially those AI neoclouds which depends so heavily on the benevolence of Jensen Huange?
Nvidia Is Preparing to Oust CEO Jensen Huang, WSJ Reports
$Tradr 2X Short NBIS Daily ETF(NBIZ)$ Ooh. Interesting actions going on right now at post-market. Seems EBIS and by reverse, EBIZ is making sharp course changes.
Frankly, amongst all the AI plays, CRWV is the weakest on fundamentals. As the previous commentator said, "Debt is Debt". And to use future orders as collateral reminds of companies which have gone bust doing the same and eventually losing value as either the orders gets delayed or cancelled. Not just that, the forward guidance on the interest charged for debt, whilst showing an inprovement, is still less desirable than a forward guidance on say profit margins or astronomical revenue growth. CRWV is still a promise play. Not a fundamental play. I prefer to stake in other companies which has better foundations like Apple or Google. Or even Nvidia (which is still in the dog-house). Then again, no risk no gain.
How CoreWeave's Big Debt Pivot Calmed AI Fears
$Marvell Technology(MRVL)$
Always expect the unexpected. Just as I said before, whenever I hear the crowds calling one way or another, it usually mean the movement will be in the other direction.
24H | CoreWeave Surges 13%; Nebius Jumps 10%; Chip, Optical Communication Stocks Rally; Rigetti Computing Drops 5%
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