NVIDIA stock upgraded to Buy Candidate

(Market data through Sep 24, 2026)

Buy or Hold candidate since Sep 17, 2026 Gain 2.39%

The NVIDIA stock price decreased by -0.412% on the last trading day (Thursday, 24th Sep 2026), dropping from $225.51 to $224.58. Throughout the last trading session, the stock experienced fluctuations of 1.74%, ranging from a low of $221.09 to a high of $224.94. The price has increased in 6 of the past 10 days and has risen by 2.85% over the last two weeks. Volume also decreased on the last day alongside the stock price, which is generally a positive indicator as volume should align with stock movements. On the last trading day, the volume dropped by -14 million shares, leading to a total of 76 million shares being traded for approximately $17.01 billion.

The stock lies in the middle of a wide and strong rising trend in the short term and a further rise within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 13.85% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $237.11 and $269.02 at the end of this 3-month period.

NVDA Signals & Forecast

The NVIDIA stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $223.12 and $220.45. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Friday, September 04, 2026, and so far it has fallen -2.51%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell together with the price during the last trading day and this reduces the overall risk as volume should follow the price movements.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for NVIDIA stock

NVIDIA finds support from accumulated volume at $222.27 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved $3.85 between high and low, or 1.74%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 2.15%.

Our recommended stop-loss: $214.63 (-4.43%) (This stock has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 13 days ago.)

Trading Expectations (NVDA) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Friday 25th

For the upcoming trading day on Friday, 25th we expect NVIDIA Corporation to open at $223.54, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $221.57 and $227.59, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$6.02 (+/-2.72%) up or down from last closing price. If NVIDIA Corporation takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 2.72% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $222.27 (1.03%) than the resistance at $227.98 (1.51%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..

Insider sentiment for NVIDIA (NVDA) is Negative, driven by significant open-market selling from key executives.

Over the last year, insiders have collectively bought or received $53.7M worth of shares and sold $1.61B across 100 transactions. However, focusing on high-impact open-market transactions, insiders purchased $0 and sold $1.48B worth of NVIDIA stocks. The most recent trade was made 4 days ago by Teter Timothy S. (Evp, General Counsel And Sec), who sold shares worth approximately $1.01M. The overall evaluation results in a strongly negative Insider Power Score. The system gives more weight to recent, high-impact sales from key executives than to routine, low-impact transactions like stock awards or option exercises.

Is NVIDIA Corporation stock A Buy?

Several short-term signals, along with a general good trend, are positive and we conclude that the current level may hold a buying opportunity as there is a fair chance for NVIDIA stock to perform well in the short-term. We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Hold to a Buy candidate.