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10-07

The lot is finally emptying out. Delivering 22,141 units over production isn't just a beat—it puts an end to the "unsold inventory sitting in parking lots" narrative that bears traded on all summer. The stock cheered with a clean +4.65% pop to $370.59.  

My Personal Read:

The Trap: Don’t confuse an inventory flush with an immediate earnings explosion. Clearing stock often means financing incentives and price trimming. Volume is back, but margins will write the next chapter.

The Opportunity: TSLA is still down -17.60% YTD while the market is up double digits (+12.81%). That’s massive underperformance ripe for a vicious mean-reversion squeeze if Q4 guidance surprises to the upside.  

How I’m Playing It:

I’m letting momentum runners ride with a trailing stop just below $355, but holding off on adding fresh capital until we see how gross margins hold up at the print.


@TigerWire  @TigerStars  @Daily_Discussion  @Tiger_comments  @TigerEvents  

Tesla Delivered 22K More Cars Than It Built — How Far Can This Rally Run?
Tesla's Q3 deliveries beat expectations and ran 22,141 units above production — it sold more than it built. The stock closed +4.65% at $370.59 Friday and is on pace for its first annual delivery growth since 2023. It's still -17.60% YTD vs the S&P 500's +12.81%. Bulls read the beat plus the inventory drawdown as real demand, not channel stuffing; bears note most of the decline is multiple compression, not falling sales, so deliveries alone may not restore it. How would you score this rebound?
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