Obigoot
10-14

🔥 CPI DROPS TODAY — Here’s the quick estimate everyone’s watching

US CPI (September data) releases today at 8:30 AM ET.

Market consensus estimates:

Headline CPI: +0.6% month-over-month → 3.6% year-over-year (up from 3.4% last month)

Core CPI (ex food & energy): +0.2% month-over-month → ~2.4–2.5% year-over-year

Likely range most expect:

Headline YoY: 3.5% – 3.7%

Core YoY: 2.4% – 2.5%

Energy prices are the main reason headline is expected to tick higher. Core is expected to stay relatively calm.

Markets will react fast to any surprise — hotter = higher yields / stronger dollar; cooler = the opposite.

Simple as that. Watch the number. What do you think will be the numbers for CPI?

$TQQQ 20261030 60.0 PUT$  

$Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$  $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$  $NVIDIA(NVDA)$  

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Comments

  • LesleyNewman
    10-14
    LesleyNewman
    Core probably lands around 2.4% to 2.5%, and that is the part QQQ cares about more. If core stays there, yields probably cool a bit
    • Obigoot: 
      too bad all came in hotter than expected. odds of Fed rate hike increases, tonight will be bloody...
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